Kroger Company AI Stock Analysis
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Kroger Company (KR) AI Stock Analysis
Kroger Company
(NYSE:KR)
KR’s score is primarily weighed down by balance-sheet leverage and thin/volatile profitability despite resilient scale and steady cash generation. The latest earnings call supports the outlook with maintained profit/EPS guidance and strong progress in e-commerce, retail media, and cost savings, but reduced identical sales guidance and ongoing cost/sales headwinds temper the upside. Technically, indicators are neutral, and valuation remains a drag due to the high P/E relative to the business profile.
Kroger Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Store Count Indicates the total number of retail locations, highlighting the company's market reach and potential for customer engagement. A growing store count can signal expansion and increased market penetration.
Kroger’s store base has generally shrunk with a brief 2024 uptick then a 2025 drop, reflecting inconsistent store strategy and execution—management concedes it hasn’t opened enough locations and ~20% of stores underperform, creating a self-imposed cap on physical sales growth. The bright spot: a stronger balance sheet, ahead‑of‑plan cost savings and profitable e‑commerce give Kroger optionality to invest rather than retrench, but regaining share will require targeted openings and fixing underperformers to convert digital momentum into sustained total‑company growth.
Kroger Company (KR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $41.23B
- Dividend Yield
- 2.06%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 6.83M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 37.7
- Beta (1Y)
- -0.35
- Revenue Growth
- 1.58%
- EPS Growth
- -53.21%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 403,000
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Sector Strength
- 62
- Industry
- Grocery Stores
Kroger Company Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
The Kroger Co. functions as a significant retail entity throughout the United States, encompassing a varied collection of store formats. Its operations include integrated food and drug stores, which stock a broad range of products from natural and or...
How the Company Makes Money
Kroger primarily makes money by selling consumer goods through its retail stores and digital channels. The largest revenue stream is retail sales of food and everyday essentials, including fresh items (e.g., produce and meat), packaged groceries, bev...
Kroger Company Earnings Call Summary
The call was broadly positive on execution and profitability, with strong e-commerce, retail media, private-label brands, cost savings, gross-margin performance, market-share progress, cash flow and balance-sheet flexibility. However, sales growth was weak, full-year identical sales guidance was reduced, and the company faces ongoing pressure from cyclospora, pharmacy changes, consumer budget constraints, shrink, transportation costs and softer fuel margins. The highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights because Kroger maintained its full-year profit and EPS outlook while reporting progress across multiple strategic initiatives.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Kroger lowered full year identical sales without fuel guidance to a new range of 0.2% to 0.8% from its initial range of 1% to 2%, while maintaining adjusted FIFO operating profit guidance of $5 billion to $5.2 billion and adjusted net earnings per diluted share guidance of $5.10 to $5.30; it expects ID sales without fuel to be slightly better in Q3 than in Q4, consistent year over year earnings growth between the third and fourth quarters, cost saving initiatives to build through the second half, FIFO gross margin growth to be positive, on a full year basis, and gross margin to be positive through the second half of the year, with inflation within this 1 to 2.5 range for the balance of the year and below CPI, while the Inflation Reduction Act headwind is projected to accelerate to approximately 150 basis points in the fourth quarter, with no impact on profit in the fourth quarter, or in 2027; fuel margins are expected to be softer than H1, and after repurchasing approximately $1.2 billion of shares under the existing $2 billion authorization, Kroger expects to complete the remaining repurchases during the second half of the year and continues to expect the Giant Eagle transaction to close in 2027.
Kroger Company Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Cash generation is a relative strength (TTM operating cash flow ~$6.6B; consistently positive free cash flow), but profitability is structurally thin (TTM EBIT margin ~0.9%, net margin ~1.3%) and earnings have been volatile year-to-year. The main financial constraint is leverage and a reduced equity cushion (TTM debt-to-equity ~4.13x), which increases sensitivity to any margin pressure.
Income Statement
56NeutralBalance Sheet
44NeutralCash Flow
63Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 149.33B | 147.64B | 147.12B | 150.04B | 148.26B | 137.89B |
| Gross Profit | 34.51B | 34.40B | 33.40B | 33.36B | 31.78B | 30.35B |
| EBITDA | 5.55B | 5.76B | 7.64B | 7.03B | 7.02B | 6.05B |
| Net Income | 1.08B | 1.02B | 2.67B | 2.16B | 2.24B | 1.66B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 49.49B | 49.94B | 52.62B | 50.51B | 49.62B | 49.09B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.68B | 4.58B | 5.27B | 3.10B | 2.14B | 2.90B |
| Total Debt | 24.16B | 24.68B | 25.08B | 19.25B | 20.41B | 20.44B |
| Total Liabilities | 43.65B | 44.01B | 44.34B | 38.90B | 39.61B | 39.66B |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.84B | 5.93B | 8.29B | 11.62B | 10.04B | 9.45B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.27B | 3.35B | 1.78B | 2.88B | 1.23B | 3.58B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 6.60B | 7.21B | 5.79B | 6.79B | 4.31B | 6.19B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -4.20B | -3.91B | -3.23B | -3.75B | -3.02B | -2.61B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.67B | -3.98B | -490.00M | -2.17B | -2.29B | -3.44B |
Kroger Company Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.80, above the 50-day MA of 62.54, and above the 200-day MA of 63.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KR.
Kroger Company Risk Analysis
Kroger Company disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kroger Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksKroger Company Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
WMK70Outperform
SFM63Neutral
IMKTA62Neutral
GO56Neutral
KR54.4Neutral
ACI54Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70Outperform | $2.00B | 19.39 | 7.37% | 1.73% | 4.06% | 6.87% | |
| 63Neutral | $4.66B | 9.78 | 33.82% | ― | 5.25% | 0.53% | |
| Sector * | 62Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% |
| 62Neutral | $1.57B | 15.00 | 6.30% | 0.79% | 1.02% | 84.32% | |
| 56Neutral | $1.30B | -3.27 | -44.12% | ― | 3.97% | -8190.34% | |
| 54Neutral | $41.04B | 37.67 | 17.17% | 2.06% | 1.58% | -53.21% | |
| 54Neutral | $6.12B | -438.17 | -2.78% | 5.01% | 2.26% | -106.73% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KR | Kroger Company | 69.81 | 4.83 | 7.43% | |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Inc | 83.89 | 10.48 | 14.28% | |
| WMK | Weis Markets | 78.57 | 14.33 | 22.31% | |
| SFM | Sprouts Farmers Market | 51.38 | -31.20 | -37.78% | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | 12.85 | 1.72 | 15.45% | |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies, Inc. | 13.18 | -4.12 | -23.82% |
Kroger Company Corporate Events
Kroger Announces Senior Notes Offering to Refinance Debt
PositiveOn April 21, 2026, Kroger filed a shelf registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, enabling the company to issue an indeterminate amount of securities over time. Under this framework, Kroger has arranged underwriting and pricing a...
Kroger appoints Mark Ibbotson to lead store operations
PositiveOn August 31, 2026, Kroger appointed veteran retail executive Mark Ibbotson, 63, as Executive Vice President and Chief Store Operations Officer, with his role effective September 14, 2026. The decision was publicly announced in a September 2, 2026 pr...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 05, 2026
