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Kosmos Energy Ltd (KOS)
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Kosmos Energy (KOS) AI Stock Analysis

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KOS

Kosmos Energy

(NYSE:KOS)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(1.35% Upside)
Kosmos Energy's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability, and negative cash flow trends. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, further weighing on the score. However, positive developments from the earnings call, such as production increases and cost reductions, provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
Production Increase
Increased production at key fields like Jubilee and GTA enhances Kosmos Energy's revenue potential and strengthens its market position.
Cost Reductions
Significant cost reductions in CapEx and operating expenses improve profitability and cash flow, supporting long-term financial health.
Balance Sheet Enhancements
Securing a term loan and maintaining a strong borrowing base enhances financial stability and reduces leverage risk.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Ongoing revenue decline impacts profitability and limits growth potential, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse the trend.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow growth indicates challenges in generating sufficient cash to cover operations, affecting long-term sustainability.
Operational Challenges
Operational setbacks like well abandonment can delay production timelines and increase costs, impacting overall project efficiency.

Kosmos Energy (KOS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kosmos Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKosmos Energy Ltd., a deep-water independent oil and gas exploration and production company, focuses along the Atlantic Margins. The company's primary assets include production offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, and the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, as well as a gas development offshore Mauritania and Senegal. It also maintains a proven basin exploration program. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyKosmos Energy generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company earns money by operating oil and gas fields, selling the extracted hydrocarbons to refiners and distributors at market rates. Key revenue streams include production from its operated fields, as well as royalties and production-sharing agreements with host governments in the countries where it operates. Additionally, Kosmos engages in joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies, which can provide shared resources and reduce operational costs, further enhancing profitability. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuating commodity prices, operational efficiency, and successful exploration results that lead to new production opportunities.

Kosmos Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in production increases and cost reductions, coupled with proactive balance sheet management. However, operational challenges in Winterfell and subsea pump issues in Equatorial Guinea presented notable setbacks. The overall sentiment is positive due to the strong financial and operational improvements overshadowing the operational issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Production in Jubilee and GTA
Jubilee's first well of the 2025/26 campaign delivered around 10,000 barrels per day of gross oil production. GTA production ramped up, lifting 13.5 gross LNG cargos by the end of October, with the first condensate cargo lifted as well.
Cost Reductions
CapEx continues to fall, expected to be below $350 million, a reduction of around $500 million year-on-year. Operating costs are down almost 40% quarter-on-quarter, with targeted savings of $25 million in overhead by year-end.
Balance Sheet Enhancements
A $250 million term loan from Shell was secured to address upcoming debt maturities. A semi-annual re-determination of the RBL was successfully completed, maintaining a borrowing base above $1.35 billion.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges at Winterfell
Winterfell-4 well was abandoned due to issues with the production casing collapse. The operator has faced completion challenges, leading to a focus on simpler operations for future wells.
Subsea Pump Issues in Equatorial Guinea
Net production in Equatorial Guinea was down quarter-on-quarter due to subsea pump issues. Repair progress is being made, but normalized production is not expected until the first half of 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Kosmos Energy's Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company outlined significant progress and future expectations across several metrics. Key highlights include the Jubilee oil field's first new well in the 2025/26 drilling campaign, producing around 10,000 barrels of oil per day, with production at Jubilee increasing by 13% quarter-on-quarter to 62,500 barrels per day. In the Gulf of America, net production was 16,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day, aligning with guidance. The GTA project in Senegal and Mauritania showed a 60% production increase, with 6.8 gross LNG cargos lifted in the quarter. The company announced a reduction in CapEx expectations for the year, now predicted to be below $350 million, a decrease from the previous forecast of $500 million, and highlighted significant cost reductions in operating expenses and overhead. Kosmos has also taken steps to strengthen its balance sheet, including a $250 million term loan from Shell, aimed at addressing upcoming debt maturities. The company has improved its leverage position by hedging 8.5 million barrels of oil for 2026, with a floor of $66 and a ceiling of $73 per barrel.

Kosmos Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kosmos Energy faces financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability, high leverage in past periods, and negative cash flow trends. While there is some improvement in leverage, the company must address profitability and cash flow issues to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Kosmos Energy's income statement reveals a challenging environment with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a negative net profit margin of -10.74%, indicating losses. Revenue has decreased by 3.52% compared to the previous period, and gross profit margin has significantly dropped from 34.20% to 17.23%. Despite a positive EBITDA margin of 37.30%, the overall profitability is under pressure.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 in the TTM, a significant improvement from previous years, indicating reduced leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -14.18%, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio stands at 19.52%, suggesting a stable capital structure but with room for improvement in profitability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights a negative free cash flow growth rate of -19.44% in the TTM, with free cash flow to net income ratio at -1.60, indicating cash flow challenges. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22, showing limited cash generation relative to net losses. The company needs to enhance cash flow management to support operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.39B1.68B1.70B2.25B1.33B804.03M
Gross Profit251.81M573.01M866.58M1.34B518.79M-20.31M
EBITDA400.28M896.78M930.52M938.11M531.63M175.66M
Net Income-329.22M189.85M213.52M226.55M-77.84M-411.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.09B5.31B4.94B4.58B4.94B3.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.03M84.97M95.34M183.41M131.62M149.03M
Total Debt250.00M2.76B2.39B2.23B2.62B2.11B
Total Liabilities3.49B4.11B3.91B3.79B4.41B3.43B
Stockholders Equity898.79M1.20B1.03B787.85M529.24M440.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-59.73M-255.41M-167.43M321.10M-563.65M-183.45M
Operating Cash Flow274.46M678.25M765.17M1.13B374.34M196.15M
Investing Cash Flow-522.17M-966.06M-994.85M-703.86M-973.38M-345.59M
Financing Cash Flow273.89M274.32M141.62M-414.70M624.16M69.86M

Kosmos Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.48
Price Trends
50DMA
1.67
Negative
100DMA
1.82
Negative
200DMA
2.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
41.48
Neutral
STOCH
40.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.55, below the 50-day MA of 1.67, and below the 200-day MA of 2.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KOS.

Kosmos Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$687.90M-26.82
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$805.96M43.573.50%10.28%3.96%29.26%
$782.02M7.226.80%2.58%-20.30%-27.90%
$628.43M-54.63%5.26%-309.56%
$707.82M-31.42%-22.15%-248.33%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KOS
Kosmos Energy
1.48
-2.23
-60.11%
VTLE
Vital Energy
15.08
-12.03
-44.37%
HPK
HighPeak Energy
6.20
-8.10
-56.64%
VTS
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
21.47
-2.55
-10.62%
TXO
TXO Energy Partners LP
13.17
-2.70
-17.01%
INR
Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. Class A
11.30
-10.59
-48.38%

Kosmos Energy Corporate Events

Kosmos Energy Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 4, 2025

Kosmos Energy Ltd. is a deepwater exploration and production company with operations in offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania, Senegal, and the Gulf of America, focusing on oil and gas production and development opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Kosmos Energy Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results with Strategic Focus on Growth and Cost Reduction
Negative
Nov 3, 2025

Kosmos Energy reported a net loss of $124 million for the third quarter of 2025, with an adjusted net loss of $72 million. Despite the financial loss, the company achieved a 3% increase in net production, reaching approximately 65,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day. The company is focusing on increasing production, reducing costs, and enhancing balance sheet resilience. Key developments include the operational ramp-up of the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim LNG project, a senior secured term loan with Shell, and ongoing drilling campaigns in Ghana. Kosmos is also actively managing its financial obligations and hedging strategies to mitigate commodity price volatility, aiming for long-term value creation through strategic production growth and cost management.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Kosmos Energy Reports Q3 2025 Results with Focus on Production Growth and Cost Reduction
Negative
Nov 3, 2025

Kosmos Energy reported a net loss of $124 million for the third quarter of 2025, with an adjusted net loss of $72 million. Despite the financial loss, the company increased its net production by 3% to approximately 65,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day, driven by the ramp-up at the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) LNG project and increased production at Jubilee. The company has focused on reducing costs, with capital expenditures expected to be below $350 million for the year, and has taken steps to enhance its balance sheet by securing a $250 million loan from Shell. Kosmos is also advancing its hedging program to protect against commodity price volatility, with significant portions of its 2025 and 2026 oil production hedged. The company remains committed to long-term value creation through production growth, cost reduction, and debt repayment.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kosmos Energy to Announce Q3 2025 Results and Host Webcast
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

Kosmos Energy announced it will release its third quarter 2025 results on November 3, 2025, before the UK market opens. The company will also host a conference call and webcast on the same day to discuss these results, providing stakeholders with insights into its operational performance and strategic direction. This announcement is significant as it provides an opportunity for investors and analysts to assess the company’s financial health and market positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Kosmos Energy Secures New Loan Agreement with Shell
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Kosmos Energy Ltd. announced that its subsidiary, Kosmos Energy Gulf of Mexico Operations, LLC, entered into a Senior Secured Term Loan Credit Agreement with Shell Trading (US) Company and Ankura Trust Company, LLC. The agreement includes a term loan facility structured in two tranches, with the first tranche of $150 million to be funded on October 1, 2025, and a second tranche of up to $100 million available until April 1, 2026. The proceeds will be used to repay the company’s outstanding senior notes due in 2026, and for working capital and general operating expenses. This agreement is expected to impact the company’s financial flexibility and operational funding in the Gulf of Mexico, with implications for its debt management and strategic positioning in the energy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOS) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kosmos Energy stock, see the KOS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Kosmos Energy Secures $250 Million Loan Facility with Shell
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

Kosmos Energy has entered into a senior secured term loan facility with Shell Trading (US) Company for up to $250 million, with funding expected on October 1, 2025. This facility will be used to repay outstanding unsecured notes, enhancing the company’s financial resilience amid volatile commodity prices. The loan is structured in two tranches, with the first $150 million tranche to be drawn at closing and a second $100 million tranche available until April 2026. This move aligns with Kosmos’ strategy to organically reduce net debt through free cash flow generation while strengthening its strategic relationship with Shell in the Gulf of America.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kosmos Energy Announces CCO Retirement and Leadership Change
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Kosmos Energy Ltd. announced that Christopher J. Ball, the Chief Commercial Officer, will retire effective September 30, 2025. His responsibilities will be taken over by Neal D. Shah, the current Chief Financial Officer. Following his retirement, Mr. Ball will continue to provide advisory services to the company under an Advisory Agreement, for which he will be compensated. This transition marks a significant change in the company’s leadership structure, potentially impacting its commercial operations and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOS) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kosmos Energy stock, see the KOS Stock Forecast page.

Kosmos Energy’s Mixed Earnings Call: Milestones and Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

Kosmos Energy’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture of the company’s current standing and future prospects. While the company celebrated significant achievements, such as reaching key production milestones and reducing costs, it also faced challenges, including lower-than-expected production outcomes in certain fields and ongoing debt management efforts. Despite positive strides, operational setbacks tempered the overall sentiment of the call.

Kosmos Energy Reports Q2 2025 Results Amid Operational Milestones
Aug 5, 2025

Kosmos Energy Ltd. is a deepwater exploration and production company operating in the oil and gas sector, with diversified assets offshore in regions such as Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania, Senegal, and the Gulf of America.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Kosmos Energy Reports Q2 2025 Loss Amid Operational Milestones
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

Kosmos Energy reported a net loss of $88 million for the second quarter of 2025, with adjusted net loss standing at $93 million. Despite the financial setback, the company achieved significant operational milestones, including the successful commencement of commercial operations on the Gimi floating LNG vessel at the GTA project. The company is focused on increasing production, reducing costs, and enhancing balance sheet resilience, with production expected to rise as more wells are brought online. Kosmos has revised its capital expenditure guidance down to $350 million for the year, reflecting efforts to lower costs. The company is also actively managing its financial position through hedging strategies and a new term loan facility to support its operations and debt repayments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025