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Kingfisher (KGFHY)
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Kingfisher (KGFHY) AI Stock Analysis

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KGFHY

Kingfisher

(OTC:KGFHY)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▼(-0.82% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/22/26
KGFHY scores 63 primarily because financial performance is stable but muted by multi-year revenue softness and materially lower margins/returns versus prior peaks, despite manageable leverage and solid free cash flow. The earnings call is a meaningful positive due to upgraded profit and free cash flow guidance, but mixed technical momentum (negative MACD and price below shorter-term averages) and a not-cheap P/E temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Trade customer growth
Strong trade growth and rising trade penetration broaden Kingfisher’s customer base beyond discretionary DIY shoppers. Higher-frequency professional purchasing can support more resilient demand, improve store productivity, and create a durable channel for growth across its banners.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue and margin pressure
Several years of revenue softness indicate that Kingfisher’s demand environment remains challenging, while the sharp margin decline shows reduced earnings power versus prior peaks. Persistently lower profitability could constrain reinvestment, returns, and the company’s ability to absorb further disruption.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Trade customer growth
Strong trade growth and rising trade penetration broaden Kingfisher’s customer base beyond discretionary DIY shoppers. Higher-frequency professional purchasing can support more resilient demand, improve store productivity, and create a durable channel for growth across its banners.
Read all positive factors

Kingfisher (KGFHY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kingfisher Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kingfisher plc, alongside its various subsidiary companies, operates as a prominent international retailer, primarily delivering products and services related to home improvement. While its core business is concentrated in the United Kingdom, Irel...
How the Company Makes Money
Kingfisher makes money primarily by selling home improvement and DIY products to consumers and trade customers through its retail store network and online platforms. The company’s main revenue stream is product sales (retail revenue) across catego...

Kingfisher Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 22, 2026
(Q2-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 23, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly constructive, with broad-based profit, cash flow, trade, digital, Marketplace and international growth, alongside upgraded full-year guidance and continued shareholder returns. Challenges included a mixed market, weather-related demand disruption, bathroom and Brico Depot underperformance, operating cost inflation and the still-developing profitability of Screwfix France, but management described these issues as being actively addressed and emphasized confidence in the outlook.
Positive Updates
Sales and Profit Growth
H1 sales, including marketplace GMS, grew 1.6% in a mixed market environment. Adjusted profit before tax increased 9.9% to GBP 404 million, while adjusted earnings per share grew 16%, supported by profit performance and the share buyback program.
Negative Updates
Mixed Consumer and Market Environment
Management described the market environment as mixed, with the UK market remaining soft and DIY demand softer than trade demand. The company also noted that big-ticket categories were weaker.
Read all updates
Q2-2027 Updates
Negative
Sales and Profit Growth
H1 sales, including marketplace GMS, grew 1.6% in a mixed market environment. Adjusted profit before tax increased 9.9% to GBP 404 million, while adjusted earnings per share grew 16%, supported by profit performance and the share buyback program.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Kingfisher upgraded adjusted profit before tax guidance to a range of GBP 595 million to GBP 635 million, an increase of GBP 20 million at the midpoint, and upgraded free cash flow guidance by GBP 20 million, now expecting free cash flow between GBP 480 million and GBP 520 million; second-half assumptions remain largely unchanged, including a mixed consumer environment, a limited impact from events in the Middle East on energy and freight costs, rational pricing behavior across markets, and maintaining competitive prices while managing gross margin and cost effectively.

Kingfisher Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are stable but not strong: revenue has been modestly declining and profitability has compressed materially versus 2021–2022 (net margin ~1.9% most recently). Offsets include manageable leverage (~0.38x debt-to-equity) and continued meaningful free cash flow generation (~£1.02B), though free cash flow fell ~24.9% year over year.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.79B12.56B12.78B12.98B13.06B13.18B
Gross Profit4.92B4.78B4.76B4.78B4.71B4.85B
EBITDA1.32B1.28B1.09B1.25B1.32B1.71B
Net Income294.52M237.74M185.00M345.00M471.00M843.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.41B11.43B11.44B11.90B12.10B12.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments411.67M466.39M297.00M360.00M286.00M823.00M
Total Debt2.34B2.35B2.32B2.48B2.56B2.39B
Total Liabilities5.30B5.26B5.10B5.30B5.44B5.57B
Stockholders Equity6.11B6.18B6.34B6.60B6.66B6.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow882.44M1.02B980.00M954.00M368.00M752.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.24B1.41B1.30B1.32B824.00M1.16B
Investing Cash Flow-509.71M-351.28M-316.00M-339.00M-441.00M-389.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.04B-958.74M-997.00M-898.00M-938.00M-1.01B

Kingfisher Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.57
Price Trends
50DMA
8.60
Positive
100DMA
8.26
Positive
200DMA
8.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
63.31
Neutral
STOCH
42.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KGFHY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.01, below the 50-day MA of 8.60, and above the 200-day MA of 8.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KGFHY.

Kingfisher Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$8.43B16.316.17%―4.50%26.62%
66
Neutral
$4.96B21.349.74%―1.82%10.69%
63
Neutral
$7.64B20.144.86%3.45%4.42%71.71%
62
Neutral
$328.44B22.99102.68%2.82%2.50%-2.95%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$117.30B17.66-71.79%2.34%8.16%-2.84%
54
Neutral
$2.78B24.82184.91%―3.35%3.38%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KGFHY
Kingfisher
9.43
1.71
22.11%
HD
Home Depot
329.20
-38.73
-10.53%
LOW
Lowe's
209.07
-21.50
-9.32%
MHK
Mohawk
139.41
28.21
25.37%
RH
RH
146.66
-23.41
-13.76%
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings
47.59
-12.05
-20.20%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 22, 2026