Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) AI Stock Analysis

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Kolibri Global Energy

(NASDAQ:KGEI)

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Rating:73Outperform

Price Target:$6.00▲(18.81% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:11/13/26

Strong financial performance is the primary support, reinforced by favorable valuation and broadly positive earnings-call results. Weak technical momentum and negative free cash flow reduce the score, while production and operating-cost risks add caution.

Positive Factors

Strong ProfitabilityStrong margins and recent revenue growth indicate that Kolibri converts production into meaningful operating and net income. This profitability can support drilling, debt management, and resilience over the next several quarters, although historical margin swings mean the strength remains partly dependent on operating conditions.

Negative Factors

Recurring Negative Free Cash FlowHeavy reinvestment means operating cash generation has not consistently covered capital spending, leaving Kolibri dependent on continued operating strength to fund growth. Persistent negative free cash flow can reduce financial flexibility and increase reliance on debt or asset performance if conditions weaken.

Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: $258.38M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 153.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.3
Beta (1Y): 0.10
Revenue Growth: 24.79%
EPS Growth: 0.31%
Country: US
Employees: 8
Sector: Energy
Sector Strength: 65
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Kolibri Global Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. is a U.S.-based company founded in 2008. The firm actively participates in the entire lifecycle—from discovery and development to extraction and commercialization—of crude oil, na...

How the Company Makes Money

KGEI primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and, where applicable, natural gas liquids—from its operated and/or owned oil and gas properties. Revenue is generated when produced volumes are sold at prevaili...

Kolibri Global Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-9.17%|Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2024

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Management reported substantial year-to-date revenue, EBITDA, production, net income, EPS, and netback growth; current production is approximately 5,700 BOE per day; liquidity remains strong; and the initial False Caney well results have expanded the stated drilling and reserve opportunity. These positives were tempered by lower third-quarter production, higher operating expenses, commodity contract losses, flat quarterly net income, elevated gas levels in some new wells, and expectations that production guidance may land toward the lower end of the range.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Growth

Third-quarter revenue increased 22% to $18.3 million, driven by 34% higher prices, while adjusted EBITDA increased 20% to $13.3 million from $11.1 million.

Negative Updates

Third-Quarter Production Decline

Average third-quarter production declined 9% year over year to 3,876 BOE per day, due to shut-in wells during the quarter and normal decline, while the new wells did not begin producing until the fourth quarter.

Company Guidance

Kolibri expects production to be “within that range, probably a little on the lower end” of the guidance provided earlier in the year, with current production “around 5,700 BOE a day” and “about 5,700 BOE a day”; it said this “gives us strong results into the year-end” and “should also lead to strong cash flows extending into the next year,” while 2027 drilling will include “a minimum that we're going to drill” and “hopefully, it's going to be a whole lot more than that,” with plans adjusted for higher or lower oil prices.

Kolibri Global Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability, improving operating cash flow, low leverage, and steady asset growth support the score. Volatile revenue and recurring negative free cash flow are material weaknesses.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Mar 2024	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	72.27M	57.85M	74.59M	64.39M	48.38M	19.13M
Gross Profit	45.51M	31.00M	34.40M	29.69M	25.07M	8.42M
EBITDA	48.67M	41.64M	43.34M	40.09M	25.33M	75.50M
Net Income	19.41M	15.75M	18.11M	19.28M	16.64M	71.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	308.12M	293.41M	248.76M	224.36M	184.08M	157.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.64M	2.79M	5.03M	598.00K	1.04M	7.32M
Total Debt	45.37M	50.45M	33.99M	31.90M	17.85M	16.91M
Total Liabilities	90.34M	89.90M	59.95M	53.94M	33.88M	23.93M
Stockholders Equity	217.77M	203.50M	188.81M	170.41M	150.20M	133.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-11.93M	-21.62M	7.64M	-14.53M	-15.05M	5.61M
Operating Cash Flow	47.59M	42.12M	38.89M	38.65M	22.04M	6.30M
Investing Cash Flow	-59.52M	-56.15M	-36.21M	-49.87M	-29.24M	-2.88M
Financing Cash Flow	10.45M	12.49M	1.04M	10.79M	922.00K	2.98M

Kolibri Global Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price5.05

Price Trends

50DMA6.44Negative

100DMA5.90Negative

200DMA5.44Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.37Positive

RSI30.69Neutral

STOCH20.08Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KGEI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.35, below the 50-day MA of 6.44, and below the 200-day MA of 5.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KGEI.

Kolibri Global Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

KGEI against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TSE:ALV	77Outperform	CAD 338.01M	7.41	30.35%	7.47%	36.37%	58.90%
TSE:HME	75Outperform	CAD 212.53M	6.70	38.81%	7.05%	1.90%	4.58%
KGEI	73Outperform	$199.89M	9.29	9.33%	―	24.79%	0.31%
Sector *	65Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
TSE:SEI	45Neutral	CAD 187.31M	-10.24	-21.26%	―	―	―
TSE:ORC.B	43Neutral	CAD 47.61M	-0.77	-28.96%	363.88%	-23.27%	-777.54%
TSE:BNE	42Neutral	CAD 223.63M	-106.01	-0.41%	―	2.67%	68.98%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

KGEI and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
KGEI	Kolibri Global Energy Inc.	5.05	0.91	21.98%
TSE:ALV	Alvopetro Energy	8.98	3.39	60.53%
TSE:HME	Hemisphere Energy	2.27	0.26	12.77%
TSE:SEI	Sintana Energy	0.34	-0.16	-33.00%
TSE:BNE	Bonterra Energy	6.17	2.70	77.81%
TSE:ORC.B	Orca Exploration Group Class B	0.70	0.05	7.69%

Kolibri Global Energy Corporate Events

Kolibri Global Energy Reports Nine-Month 2026 Oil and Gas Revenue of $60.421 Million

Nov 13, 2026

On November 13, 2026, Kolibri Global Energy furnished a Form 6-K containing unaudited interim financial statements and management’s discussion for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2026. The filing reported nine-month oil and natural gas...

Kolibri Global Energy Reports Lovina False Caney Well Averaging 636 BOEPD

Nov 12, 2026

On November 11, 2026, Kolibri reported that its first False Caney well, Lovina 5-8-1HF, had averaged 636 barrels of oil equivalent per day, including about 545 barrels of oil per day, from a 1.2-mile lateral. The company said False Caney could add fu...

Kolibri Global Energy Files Q2 2026 Interim Results and Updates U.S. Registrations

Aug 13, 2026

On August 13, 2026, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, furnishing unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements and management’s discussion and analysis for the three and six...

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026

Kolibri Global Energy AI Stock Analysis