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Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) AI Stock Analysis
Kolibri Global Energy
(NASDAQ:KGEI)
The overall score is driven primarily by strong profitability, conservative leverage, and improving operating cash generation, together with record recent revenue, production, and EBITDA growth and supportive liquidity from an increased borrowing base. Positive price and momentum signals, with the stock trading above all major moving averages and showing strong but not extreme momentum, further reinforce the outlook. These strengths are moderated by volatile revenue and free cash flow, higher recent operating costs, and execution and geologic risks around new wells and guidance sensitivity, plus a moderate valuation without dividend support, keeping the stock in an attractive but not top‑decile range.
Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $361.88M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 152.83K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 13.2
- Beta (1Y)
- -0.01
- Revenue Growth
- 24.79%
- EPS Growth
- 0.31%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 8
- Sector
- Energy
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Kolibri Global Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. is a U.S.-based company founded in 2008. The firm actively participates in the entire lifecycle—from discovery and development to extraction and commercialization—of crude oil, na...
How the Company Makes Money
KGEI primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and, where applicable, natural gas liquids—from its operated and/or owned oil and gas properties. Revenue is generated when produced volumes are sold at prevaili...
Kolibri Global Energy Earnings Call Summary
The call communicated strong operational and financial progress: record quarterly revenue, production and adjusted EBITDA, large YoY percentage gains in revenue (+109%), production (+46%) and adjusted EBITDA (+114%). Liquidity improved with a 15% larger borrowing base and development catalysts include newly drilled Clifton Mack wells and a first-ever test of the False Caney with encouraging core data. Offsetting these positives were temporary operational disruptions from well shut-ins, higher operating costs (OpEx/BOE +24% quarter-over-quarter) and some commodity contract losses and cost inflation. Management emphasized growth tied to four new wells expected to materially affect Q4, but results remain sensitive to timing and execution. On balance, the highlights substantially outweigh the lowlights and the tone is optimistic about future upside while acknowledging known near-term risks.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated its late‑June guidance and said the single biggest variable is the timing and performance of four 2026 wells (expected to contribute a full quarter of production in Q4), noting Q3 is likely the low quarter and Q4 the high; they confirmed no other material changes despite three wells being shut in for ~1/3 of Q2 and a multi‑period gas purchaser volume adjustment, and cautioned that hitting the low end of guidance would require H2 to be roughly flat to H1. Key metrics cited on the call include Q2 revenue $22.5M (+109% YoY), Q2 average production 4,690 BOE/d (+46% YoY; YTD avg 4,688 BOE/d, +29% YTD), Q2 adjusted EBITDA $16.4M (YTD $31.3M), Q2 net income $8.5M (EPS $0.24; YTD net income $12.5M, EPS $0.35), Q2 netback $43.92/BOE (YTD $41.18/BOE), Q2 OpEx $8.90/BOE (up from $7.15/BOE; $0.59/BOE due to a non‑op workover), and a 15% increase in the borrowing base to $75M (from $65M) to support working capital.
Kolibri Global Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial performance is strong overall: revenue has rebounded to around $72 million TTM from roughly $58 million in 2025, profit margins are in the mid‑20% range, EBIT/EBITDA profitability is consistently high, leverage is low with debt‑to‑equity around 0.12–0.25, and operating cash flow has grown to nearly $48 million TTM and regularly exceeds net income. These strengths are offset by volatile revenue and earnings trends and frequently negative, volatile free cash flow due to heavy reinvestment and capital intensity, which introduce uncertainty around long‑term excess cash generation.
Income Statement
82Very PositiveBalance Sheet
86Very PositiveCash Flow
68Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2024 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 72.27M | 57.85M | 74.59M | 64.39M | 48.38M | 19.13M |
| Gross Profit | 45.51M | 31.00M | 34.40M | 29.69M | 25.07M | 8.42M |
| EBITDA | 48.67M | 41.64M | 43.34M | 40.09M | 25.33M | 75.50M |
| Net Income | 19.41M | 15.75M | 18.11M | 19.28M | 16.64M | 71.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 308.12M | 293.41M | 248.76M | 224.36M | 184.08M | 157.02M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.64M | 2.79M | 5.03M | 598.00K | 1.04M | 7.32M |
| Total Debt | 45.37M | 50.45M | 33.99M | 31.90M | 17.85M | 16.91M |
| Total Liabilities | 90.34M | 89.90M | 59.95M | 53.94M | 33.88M | 23.93M |
| Stockholders Equity | 217.77M | 203.50M | 188.81M | 170.41M | 150.20M | 133.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -11.93M | -21.62M | 7.64M | -14.53M | -15.05M | 5.61M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 47.59M | 42.12M | 38.89M | 38.65M | 22.04M | 6.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -59.52M | -56.15M | -36.21M | -49.87M | -29.24M | -2.88M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 10.45M | 12.49M | 1.04M | 10.79M | 922.00K | 2.98M |
Kolibri Global Energy Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KGEI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.80, above the 50-day MA of 6.52, and above the 200-day MA of 5.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KGEI.
Kolibri Global Energy Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
TSE:ALV85.3Outperform- KGEI80.6Outperform
TSE:HME75Outperform
TSE:BNE57Neutral
TSE:ORC.B49Neutral
TSE:SEI45Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSE:ALV | 85Outperform | CAD 355.17M | 9.23 | 27.62% | 7.05% | 28.63% | 24.06% |
| KGEI | 81Outperform | $258.13M | 13.21 | 9.33% | ― | 24.79% | 0.31% |
| TSE:HME | 75Outperform | CAD 217.72M | 6.82 | 38.81% | 6.93% | 1.90% | 4.58% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
| TSE:BNE | 57Neutral | CAD 252.84M | -120.45 | -0.41% | ― | 2.67% | 68.98% |
| TSE:ORC.B | 49Neutral | CAD 40.52M | -0.90 | -28.96% | 318.40% | -23.27% | -777.54% |
| TSE:SEI | 45Neutral | CAD 201.29M | -11.01 | -21.26% | ― | ― | ― |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KGEI | Kolibri Global Energy Inc. | 7.18 | 3.00 | 71.77% | |
| TSE:ALV | Alvopetro Energy | 9.52 | 3.56 | 59.87% | |
| TSE:HME | Hemisphere Energy | 2.31 | 0.36 | 18.58% | |
| TSE:SEI | Sintana Energy | 0.36 | -0.16 | -30.77% | |
| TSE:BNE | Bonterra Energy | 7.01 | 3.44 | 96.36% | |
| TSE:ORC.B | Orca Exploration Group Class B | 0.80 | 0.12 | 17.47% |
Kolibri Global Energy Corporate Events
Kolibri Global Energy Files Q2 2026 Interim Results and Updates U.S. Registrations
On August 13, 2026, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, furnishing unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements and management’s discussion and analysis for the three an...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2026