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Kolibri Global Energy
(NASDAQ:KGEI)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(30.89% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/19/26
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability and a conservatively levered balance sheet, supported by favorable technical momentum and a constructive earnings-call tone with record operating results. Offsetting factors include repeated negative free cash flow (capex intensity), guidance sensitivity to well timing/performance, and some near-term cost/operational volatility.
Positive Factors
Strong production and profitability growth
Rapid growth in production, revenue, EBITDA, and net income indicates that recent drilling has translated into meaningful operating scale and earnings improvement. If execution continues, the stronger production base can support sustained cash generation and reinforce the company’s position in its Oklahoma assets.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flow
Strong operating cash flow has not covered capital spending consistently, indicating that growth and maintenance investment consume substantial internal funding. Continued negative free cash flow could reduce financial flexibility and make future development more dependent on operating performance or additional borrowing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong production and profitability growth
Rapid growth in production, revenue, EBITDA, and net income indicates that recent drilling has translated into meaningful operating scale and earnings improvement. If execution continues, the stronger production base can support sustained cash generation and reinforce the company’s position in its Oklahoma assets.
Read all positive factors
Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$228.13M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)136.87K
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.4
Beta (1Y)0.08
Revenue Growth24.79%
EPS Growth0.31%
CountryUS
Employees8
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.54
Shares Outstanding35,869,698
10 Day Avg. Volume124,695
30 Day Avg. Volume136,865
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.65
Price to Book (P/B)0.69
Price to Sales (P/S)2.41
P/FCF Ratio-6.45
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.65
Revenue Forecast (FY)$81.22M
Kolibri Global Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. is a U.S.-based company founded in 2008. The firm actively participates in the entire lifecycle—from discovery and development to extraction and commercialization—of crude oil,...
How the Company Makes Money
KGEI primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons (crude oil and natural gas). Revenue is generated when oil and natural gas volumes produced from its wells are sold to third-party purchasers at prevailing market prices (often bench...
Kolibri Global Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated strong operational and financial progress: record quarterly revenue, production and adjusted EBITDA, large YoY percentage gains in revenue (+109%), production (+46%) and adjusted EBITDA (+114%). Liquidity improved with a 15% larger borrowing base and development catalysts include newly drilled Clifton Mack wells and a first-ever test of the False Caney with encouraging core data. Offsetting these positives were temporary operational disruptions from well shut-ins, higher operating costs (OpEx/BOE +24% quarter-over-quarter) and some commodity contract losses and cost inflation. Management emphasized growth tied to four new wells expected to materially affect Q4, but results remain sensitive to timing and execution. On balance, the highlights substantially outweigh the lowlights and the tone is optimistic about future upside while acknowledging known near-term risks.Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Second quarter revenue of $22.5 million, the highest quarterly revenue in company history, up 109% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Temporary Well Shut-Ins
Three Alicia Renee wells were shut in for roughly one-third of the quarter, creating operational disruptions despite the record results; timing and interactions with nearby wells influenced shut-in decisions.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue
Second quarter revenue of $22.5 million, the highest quarterly revenue in company history, up 109% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated its late‑June guidance and said the single biggest variable is the timing and performance of four 2026 wells (expected to contribute a full quarter of production in Q4), noting Q3 is likely the low quarter and Q4 the high; they confirmed no other material changes despite three wells being shut in for ~1/3 of Q2 and a multi‑period gas purchaser volume adjustment, and cautioned that hitting the low end of guidance would require H2 to be roughly flat to H1. Key metrics cited on the call include Q2 revenue $22.5M (+109% YoY), Q2 average production 4,690 BOE/d (+46% YoY; YTD avg 4,688 BOE/d, +29% YTD), Q2 adjusted EBITDA $16.4M (YTD $31.3M), Q2 net income $8.5M (EPS $0.24; YTD net income $12.5M, EPS $0.35), Q2 netback $43.92/BOE (YTD $41.18/BOE), Q2 OpEx $8.90/BOE (up from $7.15/BOE; $0.59/BOE due to a non‑op workover), and a 15% increase in the borrowing base to $75M (from $65M) to support working capital.Kolibri Global Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2024 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 72.27M | 57.85M | 74.59M | 64.39M | 48.38M | 19.13M |
| Gross Profit | 45.51M | 31.00M | 34.40M | 29.69M | 25.07M | 8.42M |
| EBITDA | 48.37M | 41.64M | 43.34M | 40.01M | 25.30M | 75.50M |
| Net Income | 19.41M | 15.75M | 18.11M | 19.28M | 16.64M | 71.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 308.12M | 293.41M | 248.76M | 224.36M | 184.08M | 157.02M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.64M | 2.79M | 5.03M | 598.00K | 1.04M | 7.32M |
| Total Debt | 45.37M | 50.45M | 33.99M | 31.90M | 17.85M | 16.91M |
| Total Liabilities | 90.34M | 89.90M | 59.95M | 53.94M | 33.88M | 23.93M |
| Stockholders Equity | 217.77M | 203.50M | 188.81M | 170.41M | 150.20M | 133.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -11.93M | -21.62M | 7.64M | -14.53M | -15.05M | 5.61M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 47.59M | 42.12M | 38.89M | 38.65M | 22.04M | 6.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -59.52M | -56.15M | -36.21M | -49.87M | -29.24M | -2.88M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 10.45M | 12.49M | 1.04M | 10.79M | 922.00K | 2.98M |
Kolibri Global Energy Technical Analysis
Positive
5.73
Price Trends
5.46
Positive
5.42
Positive
4.84
Positive
Market Momentum
0.28
Negative
70.70
Negative
74.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KGEI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.03, above the 50-day MA of 5.46, and above the 200-day MA of 4.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.70 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KGEI.
Kolibri Global Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | C$399.94M | 10.85 | 27.62% | 5.77% | 28.63% | 24.06% | |
75 Outperform | $228.13M | 12.36 | 9.33% | ― | 24.79% | 0.31% | |
75 Outperform | C$209.24M | 6.58 | 38.81% | 7.17% | 1.90% | 4.58% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
52 Neutral | C$220.38M | -107.73 | -0.41% | 8.28% | 2.67% | 68.98% | |
49 Neutral | C$75.53M | -2.55 | -28.96% | 168.89% | -23.27% | -777.54% | |
47 Neutral | C$220.86M | -11.93 | -21.26% | ― | ― | -27.99% |
* Energy Sector Average
KGEI
Kolibri Global Energy
6.72
1.29
23.76%
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Kolibri Global Energy Corporate Events
Kolibri Global Energy Files Q2 2026 Interim Results and Updates U.S. Registrations
Aug 13, 2026
On August 13, 2026, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, furnishing unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements and management’s discussion and analysis for the three...
Kolibri Global Energy Raises 2026 Outlook as It Expands Drilling Strategy in Oklahoma
Jun 29, 2026
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. on June 29, 2026 outlined an updated long‑term strategy that expands its focus beyond the Lower Caney formation in Oklahoma’s Tishomingo field to additional benches including the False Caney, Upper Caney, T&#...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.