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Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) AI Stock Analysis

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KD

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation

(NYSE:KD)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:$18.00▲(5.51% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is supported most by strong technical momentum (price above major moving averages with positive MACD) and a constructive earnings call featuring reaffirmed profitability/free-cash-flow targets and strong signings. This is tempered by mid-range financial performance due to sharp TTM revenue decline and leverage risk signals, while valuation is moderately attractive on a ~11.5 P/E but lacks dividend yield support.

Positive Factors
Margin ExpansionMeaningful margin expansion indicates that delivery efficiencies and workforce-rebalancing actions are improving the economics of Kyndryl’s services. If sustained, higher margins can strengthen profitability, support reinvestment in modernization capabilities, and improve resilience despite modest revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue DeclinePersistent revenue contraction limits operating leverage and makes the turnaround dependent on margin improvement rather than expanding demand. Flat-to-negative guidance also indicates that near-term growth is not yet established, which can constrain investment capacity and weaken the durability of earnings recovery.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyBreaks down Kyndryl’s sales across regions to highlight market concentration and where growth is coming from. Tracking regional trends helps investors spot expanding markets for infrastructure services and identify areas vulnerable to regulatory changes or economic headwinds.

$0.00$1.00B$2.00B$3.00B$4.00B$5.00BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

Principal Markets are the clearest weak spot, reflecting Europe softness and the shrinking IBM relationship that trims top‑line growth, while Japan shows a steady erosion from its post‑spin baseline. Strategic Markets have been the most resilient, with recent recoveries driven by hyperscaler work and Kyndryl Consult signings, but the latest modest pullback highlights conversion risk. Management’s improved signings quality, AI/delivery productivity and restructuring aim to restore margins; the investment thesis hinges on converting signings into recurring revenue in Principal Markets to offset structural headwinds.

Data provided by:The Fly

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%KD-29.27%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$3.73B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.14M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
49.4
Beta (1Y)
1.17
Revenue Growth
-0.74%
EPS Growth
-80.24%
Country
US
Employees
72,000
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. functions as a global technology and IT infrastructure services specialist. The firm delivers a comprehensive portfolio of IT solutions, encompassing cloud computing, foundational enterprise platforms, application development,...

How the Company Makes Money

Kyndryl makes money primarily by selling managed infrastructure services and related professional services to large organizations under contractual arrangements. A significant portion of revenue comes from long-term or recurring engagements to operat...

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q2-2027)|% Change Since:31.84%|Next Earnings Date:May 16, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was constructive and generally positive. Management highlighted strong signings, improving margins, U.S. growth, modernization and AI demand, completed workforce actions, balance-sheet flexibility, and reaffirmed fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028 objectives. These positives were partly offset by a 1.9% reported revenue decline, a first-half free cash flow use, higher amortization and interest expense, sequential deceleration in Kyndryl Consult growth, and continued challenges in Europe.

Positive Updates

Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $699 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.1%, up 190 basis points year-over-year. Adjusted pre-tax income was $150 million, with a 4.1% margin, up 80 basis points, largely driven by gross margin expansion.

Negative Updates

Q2 Revenue Declined Year-Over-Year
Q2 revenue was $3.65 billion, down 1.9% year-over-year as reported and down 80 basis points in constant currency.

Company Guidance

For fiscal 2027, Kyndryl reaffirmed adjusted pre-tax income of $600 million-$700 million, revenue flat to down 2% in constant currency, free cash flow of $400 million-$500 million, amortization expense of approximately $1.3 billion, and interest expense of approximately $160 million; it expects gross margins to expand through the remainder of the year, stronger revenue growth in the second half, and Kyndryl Consult growth of high single or low double-digit growth on a full year basis. The fiscal 2027 pre-tax income outlook includes approximately $200 million of workforce rebalancing charges and a similar amount of savings this year, while fiscal 2028 is expected to yield annualized operating expense savings in the range of $400 million-$500 million; the $1 billion adjusted free cash flow target for fiscal 2028 is still on track, and net leverage is expected to remain below one times adjusted EBITDA exiting the fiscal year.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Turnaround is evident with improved margins and a shift to modest profitability, plus operating cash flow and free cash flow turning positive. Offsetting this, TTM revenue is down sharply (~-26.5%) and the balance sheet profile is flagged as highly levered in the multi-year annual data (with some TTM inconsistency), keeping overall financial strength only mid-range.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.90B15.09B15.06B16.05B17.03B18.66B
Gross Profit3.32B3.29B3.14B2.86B2.53B2.11B
EBITDA2.02B3.28B1.55B1.14B617.00M-175.00M
Net Income78.00M198.00M252.00M-340.00M-1.37B-2.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.87B12.55B10.45B10.59B11.46B13.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.66B2.62B1.79B1.55B1.85B2.22B
Total Debt4.89B4.96B3.96B4.14B4.24B4.60B
Total Liabilities10.69B11.26B9.12B9.47B10.00B10.45B
Stockholders Equity1.08B1.18B1.22B1.01B1.36B2.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.00M340.00M337.00M-197.00M-84.00M-871.00M
Operating Cash Flow789.00M948.00M942.00M454.00M781.00M-119.00M
Investing Cash Flow-933.00M-561.00M-404.00M-553.00M-835.00M-572.00M
Financing Cash Flow525.00M457.00M-286.00M-170.00M-141.00M2.92B

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price17.06

Price Trends

50DMA13.25Positive
100DMA12.93Positive
200DMA13.16Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.09Negative
RSI69.07Neutral
STOCH81.72Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.78, above the 50-day MA of 13.25, and above the 200-day MA of 13.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KD.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Risk Analysis

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The SEC matter and related events are ongoing, and the timing for their resolution and outcome cannot be predicted.Q1, 2026
2.Material weaknesses in the Company's internal control over financial reporting have impacted the Company's ability to maintain an effective system of internal control over financial reporting.Q1, 2026
3.We continue to face a number of risks related to our separation from IBM, which could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.Q1, 2024

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

KD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ACNACN84Outperform$149.92B18.4526.77%2.64%6.47%11.19%
INFYINFY80Outperform$49.76B15.2633.75%4.39%-1.35%3.37%
IBMIBM79Outperform$234.60B20.6132.95%2.76%6.83%39.80%
CTSHCTSH77Outperform$28.80B11.6917.36%2.05%4.96%27.16%
KDKD63Neutral$3.73B49.386.91%―-0.74%-80.24%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
DXCDXC60Neutral$2.37B20.883.67%―-2.81%-67.00%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%KDACNCTSHINFYIBMDXCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
KD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
KDKyndryl Holdings Incorporation17.06-8.66-33.67%
ACNAccenture Plc249.9512.995.48%
CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions63.75-7.27-10.23%
INFYInfosys12.29-3.75-23.36%
IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation244.67-52.86-17.77%
DXCDxc Technology Company14.851.9415.03%

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Kyndryl Issues New Senior Notes to Refinance Debt

Neutral
Sep 28, 2026

On September 24, 2026, Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by J.P. Morgan, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley to issue $1.0 billion of senior unsecured notes, split between $600 million of 7.800% notes due 202...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026