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Kadant Inc (KAI)
NYSE:KAI
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Kadant (KAI) AI Stock Analysis

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KAI

Kadant

(NYSE:KAI)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$320.00
â–²(5.67% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/11/26
KAI scores well on fundamentals, led by strong profitability, healthy free cash flow, and a very strong balance sheet profile, with a supportive earnings update that included raised full-year guidance. The overall score is held back primarily by weak technical trends (price below all key moving averages and bearish momentum), plus a relatively high P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring Aftermarket Revenue
The record aftermarket business gives Kadant a recurring revenue stream supported by its installed base, reducing reliance on new capital-equipment projects. Replacement parts and consumables tied to uptime and efficiency can support margins and cash generation through industrial spending cycles.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
The gross-margin decline shows that revenue growth is currently accompanied by less favorable economics. Capital mix shifts, product mix, and acquisition-related accounting effects can weigh on earnings quality, while sustained pressure would constrain reinvestment and reduce operating leverage.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring Aftermarket Revenue
The record aftermarket business gives Kadant a recurring revenue stream supported by its installed base, reducing reliance on new capital-equipment projects. Replacement parts and consumables tied to uptime and efficiency can support margins and cash generation through industrial spending cycles.
Read all positive factors

Kadant (KAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kadant Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kadant Inc. supplies technologies and engineered systems worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Flow Control, Industrial Processing, and Material Handling. The Flow Control segment develops, manufactures, and markets fluid-handlin...
How the Company Makes Money
Kadant makes money primarily by selling engineered industrial equipment, components, and systems, and by generating recurring revenue from aftermarket parts and services that support its installed base. 1) Product and system sales (capital equipm...

Kadant Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong, record-setting operational and financial results including revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS and cash flow, supported by robust aftermarket demand, solid organic growth and positive contributions from recent acquisitions. These positives were tempered by margin pressure caused by mix shifts and acquisition-related amortization/deferrals, increased leverage from acquisition financing, and continued softness and timing uncertainty in capital equipment markets and certain regions. Management raised full-year revenue guidance but remained cautious on near-term capital spending timing.
Positive Updates
Record Company Revenue
Revenue of $312.9 million in Q2 2026, up 23% year-over-year and a company record; bookings increased 16% to $312 million.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure
Consolidated gross margin declined 210 basis points to 43.8% year-over-year, driven by a higher capital mix, product mix shifts, amortization of acquired profit and inventory deferrals tied to the Profil acquisition.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Company Revenue
Revenue of $312.9 million in Q2 2026, up 23% year-over-year and a company record; bookings increased 16% to $312 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Kadant raised its full‑year 2026 revenue guidance to $1.190–$1.210 billion (up from $1.178–$1.203B) and now expects adjusted EPS of $12.43–$12.68 (prior $12.33–$12.68), with adjusted EPS excluding approximately $2.17 of intangible amortization and $0.48 of acquisition‑related costs; Q3 revenue is guided to $297–$307 million with adjusted EPS of $2.90–$3.00 (excluding $0.55 of amortization and $0.07 of acquisition costs). Management noted the Q2 outperformance (adjusted EPS of $3.42 beat the prior high end by $0.44) but remains cautiously positioned for the back half of the year, and its 2026 guidance is based on assumptions of gross margin of 44.0–44.5%, SG&A of 27.2–27.7% of revenue, net interest expense of $19.5–$20.0 million, a tax rate of 27.8–28.3%, depreciation of $28.0–$28.5 million, and approximately $34 million of intangible amortization.

Kadant Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by high profitability (TTM gross margin ~44%, EBITDA margin ~22%), positive TTM revenue growth (~5.3%), and solid free cash flow (~$160M). Strength is reinforced by a notably strong balance sheet (reported total debt 0, debt-to-equity 0.0). Key offsets are modest margin compression (TTM net margin ~9.5% vs. ~10–13% in 2022–2024) and weaker cash conversion (operating cash flow below net income; coverage ~0.82).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.15B1.05B1.05B957.67M904.74M786.58M
Gross Profit512.06M475.73M466.15M416.31M389.56M337.37M
EBITDA249.88M210.38M222.69M200.71M207.05M151.18M
Net Income109.72M101.97M111.60M116.07M120.93M84.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.89B1.71B1.43B1.18B1.15B1.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments134.53M122.68M94.66M106.45M79.72M94.16M
Total Debt0.00374.50M322.84M135.61M223.44M294.07M
Total Liabilities855.55M721.11M572.22M399.43M494.31M566.60M
Stockholders Equity1.02B979.81M847.13M773.70M653.85M563.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow159.99M154.28M134.26M133.69M74.43M149.65M
Operating Cash Flow183.44M171.33M155.26M165.54M102.63M162.42M
Investing Cash Flow-383.57M-205.42M-319.14M-30.79M-29.52M-154.47M
Financing Cash Flow242.87M54.01M159.91M-111.11M-80.57M22.81M

Kadant Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price302.84
Price Trends
50DMA
300.09
Negative
100DMA
303.86
Negative
200DMA
309.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.69
Negative
RSI
33.31
Neutral
STOCH
15.97
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KAI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 302.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 275.09, above the 50-day MA of 300.09, and below the 200-day MA of 309.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.97 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KAI.

Kadant Risk Analysis

Kadant disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kadant reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kadant Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$9.29B25.8216.63%1.17%-0.26%29.38%
74
Outperform
$12.59B24.1520.27%1.49%4.58%12.51%
70
Outperform
$3.11B28.9111.12%0.52%12.50%3.37%
70
Outperform
$16.94B33.4412.91%1.24%7.32%12.36%
69
Neutral
$23.55B24.259.17%1.66%4.41%9.23%
65
Neutral
$11.93B35.9616.19%0.48%13.85%8.45%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KAI
Kadant
268.83
-33.29
-11.02%
FLS
Flowserve
74.37
22.22
42.61%
GGG
Graco
78.00
-5.58
-6.67%
IEX
IDEX
232.99
68.96
42.04%
XYL
Xylem
101.79
-45.99
-31.12%
CR
Crane Company
208.20
29.19
16.31%

Kadant Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kadant Announces Leadership Succession and CEO Transition Plan
Positive
Sep 10, 2026
On September 10, 2026, Kadant’s board approved a succession plan that elevates Michael C. Colwell to president and chief operating officer on October 1, 2026, and to president and chief executive officer on January 2, 2027, when he will also...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kadant Raises 2026 Guidance Following Record Second Quarter
Positive
Aug 4, 2026
In its second quarter ended July 4, 2026, Kadant reported record revenue of about $313 million, up 23% year on year, and a 24% increase in net income to $32 million, despite a 210-basis-point decline in gross margin, reflecting mix and lower-margi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2026