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Crane NXT (CXT) AI Stock Analysis

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CXT

Crane NXT

(NYSE:CXT)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:$67.00â–²(13.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is driven primarily by steady but pressured fundamentals: strong revenue and free cash flow are offset by notable margin compression and higher leverage. Technicals are a clear positive with a strong uptrend, while valuation is less supportive due to a higher P/E and modest yield. Earnings-call signals are constructive (raised EPS guidance, strong backlog/visibility) but tempered by margin dilution and segment softness in CPI/DTT.

Positive Factors
Long-term backlog and customer winsNear-record backlog and multi-year renewals provide unusually strong revenue visibility beyond the next quarter. Government, banking, card, and brand-protection wins deepen customer relationships and support sustained demand for Crane’s proprietary security technologies.
Negative Factors
Margin compression and acquisition dilutionThe sharp margin decline shows that recent growth is not yet translating proportionately into profitability. Antares Vision integration dilution and higher costs may continue to pressure earnings until expected synergies, productivity, and mix improvements fully offset the burden.

Crane NXT Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by SegmentShows profit generated by each business unit after operating costs, revealing which parts of Crane NXT are most profitable and where margins are under pressure. Useful for spotting which segments drive cash flow, where management should focus investment or cuts, and how changes in demand or cost structure could affect overall profitability.

-$300.00M-$200.00M-$100.00M$0.00$100.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Crane NXT’s operating income is now concentrated in SAT and Crane Payment Innovations after a 2023 reshuffle and a one‑off corporate hit in 2022; corporate costs remain a meaningful drag. Q1 2026 shows a near‑term pullback in segment operating income even as management forecasts 15–17% sales growth and touts the Antares acquisition—which will boost revenue but is initially margin dilutive and increases interest expense. Expect top‑line expansion this year, but margin recovery and true accretion are likely to play out into 2027 as integration synergies and leverage reduction materialize.

Data provided by:The Fly

Crane NXT (CXT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%CXT-3.85%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$3.55B
Dividend Yield
1.20%
Average Volume (3M)
588.80K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
26.6
Beta (1Y)
1.00
Revenue Growth
17.48%
EPS Growth
-17.39%
Country
US
Employees
4,800
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Crane NXT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Crane NXT, Co. focuses its efforts on developing technologies for payment processing and merchandising. The company supplies integrated electronic hardware and accompanying software solutions. These offerings are underpinned by its deep and proprieta...

How the Company Makes Money

Crane NXT makes money primarily by selling specialized products and solutions that support secure transactions and anti-counterfeiting, and by providing related services tied to those product deployments. Key revenue streams include: (1) currency and...

Crane NXT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-3.78%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive. Strong SAT performance, near-record backlog, long-term commercial wins, robust free cash flow, progress on the Antares Vision integration, capacity investments, and raised adjusted EPS guidance outweighed the stated challenges of DTT organic sales softness, CPI hardware and vending weakness, Antares-related margin dilution, and higher interest expense.

Positive Updates

Long-Term Commercial Wins Strengthen Revenue Visibility
Crane Currency secured multi-year U.S. government renewals for micro-optics and currency paper, and the Bank of Canada selected Crane's micro-optics technology for its new $20 banknote. Crane Authentication renewed a multi-year agreement with a global transaction-card customer, while a large multinational food brand selected Antares Vision for a turnkey traceability and serialization solution. CPI also continued expanding multi-vendor services into kiosks, smart safes, and self-checkout systems. Management said these awards strengthen revenue visibility for 2027 and beyond.

Negative Updates

Consolidated EBITDA Margin Declined Due to Antares Dilution
Third-quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 25.6%, down 190 basis points year over year, reflecting the expected dilution from the Antares Vision acquisition.

Company Guidance

For full-year 2026, Crane NXT raised adjusted EPS guidance to $4.32-$4.42, expects total sales growth of approximately 14%, SAT total sales growth of approximately 11%, DTT total sales growth in the high teens, adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 24%, non-operating expenses of approximately $75 million-$80 million, adjusted free cash flow conversion of approximately 90%-110%, and year-end net leverage of approximately 2.3x; full-year CapEx for the whole company will still be between 4% and 5% of sales. In 2027, the company expects continued broad-based growth in SAT, margin accretion in SAT, continued growth in Antares Vision and CPI service, CPI hardware markets to remain soft, and EBITDA margin accretion and continued strong free cash flow generation in CPI.

Crane NXT Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is strong (TTM up ~12%), and free cash flow is meaningful (~$211M TTM). Offsetting that, profitability has compressed materially (gross margin ~31% vs ~42% in 2025; net margin ~6.9% vs ~8.8% in 2025) and leverage has increased (debt up to ~$1.38B; debt/equity ~1.07), reducing flexibility.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

54Neutral

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.85B1.66B1.49B1.39B1.34B1.35B
Gross Profit764.60M703.80M665.10M654.10M626.20M598.90M
EBITDA336.10M347.90M361.00M368.00M383.30M403.50M
Net Income128.20M145.10M184.10M188.30M204.90M178.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.56B3.12B2.39B2.13B2.13B4.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments251.10M233.80M165.80M227.20M230.70M478.60M
Total Debt1.38B1.14B813.90M694.70M881.20M944.50M
Total Liabilities2.25B1.86B1.32B1.17B1.35B2.65B
Stockholders Equity1.29B1.26B1.06B964.00M783.80M1.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow211.40M198.30M168.70M245.20M284.70M444.60M
Operating Cash Flow276.30M241.50M214.10M276.30M306.00M498.50M
Investing Cash Flow-615.50M-549.00M-318.00M-31.10M-21.30M-300.00K
Financing Cash Flow402.40M363.60M62.10M-252.50M-135.00M-557.90M

Crane NXT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price59.29

Price Trends

50DMA51.81Positive
100DMA51.09Positive
200DMA47.77Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.66Negative
RSI61.44Neutral
STOCH67.85Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CXT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.68, above the 50-day MA of 51.81, and above the 200-day MA of 47.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CXT.

Crane NXT Risk Analysis

Crane NXT disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crane NXT reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Crane NXT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

CXT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IEXIEX79Outperform$17.17B30.8313.31%1.30%6.93%14.08%
DOVDOV77Outperform$28.29B23.4715.43%1.03%8.24%-47.25%
GGGGGG74Outperform$11.19B21.5819.92%1.74%5.39%5.94%
NDSNNDSN73Outperform$18.42B31.2717.59%1.09%7.02%24.24%
CXTCXT66Neutral$3.55B26.5910.15%1.20%17.48%-17.39%
SXISXI65Neutral$3.04B24.7015.23%0.59%8.32%115.10%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%40%CXTDOVGGGIEXNDSNSXIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CXT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CXTCrane Nxt, Co.59.29-2.24-3.65%
DOVDover Corporation202.5624.0613.48%
GGGGraco Inc67.97-12.52-15.55%
IEXIdex Corporation222.6056.9234.35%
NDSNNordson Corporation310.4980.7435.14%
SXIStandex International232.68-3.64-1.54%

Crane NXT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Crane NXT Adds Technology Leader Jeong H. Kim to Board

Positive
Oct 7, 2026

On October 6, 2026, Crane NXT’s Board of Directors appointed technology executive Jeong H. Kim as a director, effective October 29, 2026, for a term running until the next annual meeting. His compensation will be aligned with the company’...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Crane NXT Reaffirms 2026 Financial Guidance at Conference

Positive
Aug 11, 2026

On August 11, 2026, Crane NXT, Co. participated in the Oppenheimer 29th Annual Technology, Internet & Communications Conference, offering investors access to live and archived presentation materials via its website. During this event, the company...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026