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Kadant Inc (KAI)
NYSE:KAI
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Kadant (KAI) AI Stock Analysis

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KAI

Kadant

(NYSE:KAI)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$309.00
▲(14.84% Upside)
Kadant's overall stock score reflects solid financial health and strong cash flow management, which are offset by a bearish technical outlook and high valuation. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook with strong aftermarket performance but challenges in other segments. The stock's current valuation and technical indicators suggest caution, despite the company's operational strengths.
Positive Factors
Aftermarket Parts Revenue Growth
The growth in aftermarket parts revenue indicates strong recurring revenue potential and customer reliance on Kadant's ongoing support and services, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Material Handling Segment Growth
The robust growth in the Material Handling segment demonstrates Kadant's ability to capitalize on market demand, supporting future revenue potential and market position.
Strong Cash Flow
Strong cash flow generation enhances Kadant's financial flexibility, enabling investment in growth opportunities and providing a buffer against economic uncertainties.
Negative Factors
Decline in Industrial Processing Segment Revenue
The decline in the Industrial Processing segment reflects challenges in maintaining sales momentum, potentially impacting overall revenue growth and market competitiveness.
Challenges with Capital Project Orders
Weakness in capital project orders suggests a slowdown in new business opportunities, which could hinder future revenue growth and operational expansion.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Rising SG&A expenses may pressure profit margins, reducing operational efficiency and potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.

Kadant (KAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kadant Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKadant Inc. supplies technologies and engineered systems worldwide. It operates through three segments: Flow Control, Industrial Processing, and Material Handling. The Flow Control segment develops, manufactures, and markets fluid-handling systems and equipment, such as rotary joints, syphons, turbulator bars, expansion joints, and engineered steam and condensate systems; and doctoring, cleaning, and filtration systems and related consumables, consisting of doctor systems and holders, doctor blades, shower and fabric-conditioning systems, formation systems, and water-filtration systems. The Industrial Processing segment develops, manufactures, and markets ring and rotary debarkers, stranders, chippers, logging machinery, industrial automation and control systems, recycling and approach flow systems, and virgin pulping process equipment for use in the packaging, tissue, wood products, and alternative fuel industries. The Material Handling segment offers conveying and vibratory equipment, and balers and related equipment; and manufactures and sells biodegradable absorbent granules for carriers in as carriers in agricultural, home lawn and garden, professional lawn, turf, and ornamental applications, as well as for oil and grease absorption. The company was formerly known as Thermo Fibertek Inc. and changed its name to Kadant Inc. in July 2001. Kadant Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyKadant generates revenue through multiple key streams, including the sale of engineered systems and products, aftermarket parts, and services. The company earns a significant portion of its revenue from the sale of equipment used in paper and packaging production, which includes advanced technologies for drying, filtration, and fluid handling. Aftermarket services, including parts replacement, maintenance, and technical support, contribute to recurring revenue, as customers require ongoing support for their systems. Additionally, Kadant has established partnerships with various industrial players, enhancing its market reach and enabling the company to leverage collaborative opportunities for innovation and efficiency improvements, further driving its earnings potential.

Kadant Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Kadant's strong performance in the aftermarket parts segment and cash flow generation. However, challenges were noted in the form of revenue declines in key segments, increased expenses, and ongoing uncertainty in capital project orders. While the company remains optimistic about future capital demand and market improvements, they face considerable challenges that temper the overall outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Aftermarket Parts Revenue
Kadant achieved record aftermarket parts revenue in Q3 2025, which was up 6% compared to the third quarter of last year, contributing significantly to their solid earnings performance.
Material Handling Segment Growth
The Material Handling segment reported a revenue increase of 11% to a record $70 million, driven by an 18% increase in capital shipments compared to the same period last year.
Strong Cash Flow
Kadant reported strong cash flow from operations and free cash flow in Q3 2025, totaling $47 million and $44 million, respectively.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin improved by 50 basis points to 45.2% in Q3 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, demonstrating resilience against cost pressures.
Negative Updates
Decline in Industrial Processing Segment Revenue
Revenue in the Industrial Processing segment decreased by 4% to $106 million, primarily due to reduced capital shipments.
Flow Control Segment Revenue Decline
The Flow Control segment experienced a 3% decline in Q3 revenue compared to last year due to reduced capital shipments.
Decreased EPS
GAAP EPS decreased 12% to $2.35, and adjusted EPS decreased 9% to $2.59 in Q3 2025 compared to a record $2.84 in Q3 2024.
SG&A Expenses Increase
SG&A expenses as a percentage of revenue increased to 27.9% in Q3 2025 compared to 25.4% in the prior year period.
Challenges with Capital Project Orders
There was sustained weakness in capital project orders, with bookings remaining flat compared to the same period last year, impacting future revenue expectations.
Company Guidance
During Kadant's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported revenue of $272 million, with a record aftermarket parts revenue growth of 6% compared to the previous year. Despite a sluggish capital equipment market, Kadant achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $58 million, equivalent to a 21.4% margin, and generated $47 million in cash flow from operations, with free cash flow at $44 million. Bookings remained flat due to ongoing weakness in capital project orders, reflecting a broader economic slowdown since 2023. The Flow Control segment saw a 3% revenue decline, while the Industrial Processing segment experienced a 4% revenue decrease despite record aftermarket parts sales. The Material Handling segment, however, reported an 11% revenue increase to $70 million, driven by an 18% rise in capital shipments. The company anticipates strong aftermarket demand and improving business activity in Q4 2025, with revenue guidance adjusted to $1.36 billion-$1.46 billion for the full year. Adjusted EPS guidance remains at $9.05-$9.25, factoring in recent acquisitions but excluding certain costs.

Kadant Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kadant demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability margins and efficient cash flow management. While revenue growth has faced challenges, the company maintains operational efficiency and a stable balance sheet. The manageable debt levels and strong cash flow generation position Kadant well for future growth opportunities, despite the recent decline in revenue.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kadant's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of approximately 45% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 10.3% in TTM from 10.6% in the previous year. The revenue growth rate is negative at -1.87% in TTM, reflecting a decline in sales compared to the previous period. Despite this, the company maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30 in TTM, showing a manageable level of debt. Return on equity is solid at 12.5%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at approximately 59.9%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. However, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over the periods indicates potential challenges in equity growth.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Kadant's cash flow statement is robust, with a free cash flow growth rate of 9.82% in TTM, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.19, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.90, demonstrating effective cash management. These metrics suggest strong liquidity and cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue766.09M1.05B957.67M904.74M704.64M633.79M
Gross Profit348.81M466.15M416.31M389.56M293.76M278.28M
EBITDA162.12M222.69M200.71M187.77M123.17M117.71M
Net Income81.81M111.60M116.07M120.93M52.07M60.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.36B1.43B1.18B1.15B939.39M725.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.19M94.66M103.83M76.37M68.27M46.12M
Total Debt248.92M322.84M135.61M204.98M301.02M175.82M
Total Liabilities547.22M572.22M399.43M494.31M512.31M351.18M
Stockholders Equity926.02M847.13M773.70M653.85M427.08M374.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow103.81M134.26M133.69M74.43M87.46M46.43M
Operating Cash Flow115.80M155.26M165.54M102.63M97.41M62.98M
Investing Cash Flow-21.29M-319.14M-30.79M-29.52M-187.36M-16.36M
Financing Cash Flow-87.54M159.91M-111.11M-80.57M112.45M-74.16M

Kadant Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price269.06
Price Trends
50DMA
299.70
Negative
100DMA
314.49
Negative
200DMA
325.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.15
Positive
RSI
33.37
Neutral
STOCH
9.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KAI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 269.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 288.43, below the 50-day MA of 299.70, and below the 200-day MA of 325.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KAI.

Kadant Risk Analysis

Kadant disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kadant reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kadant Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$937.72M17.9611.74%3.08%35.81%
75
Outperform
$4.03B27.2621.40%1.03%8.75%64.82%
73
Outperform
$4.04B28.4113.29%0.32%14.87%15.63%
71
Outperform
$4.26B31.2610.89%1.12%5.06%-22.73%
70
Outperform
$3.69B24.0413.54%1.05%9.30%-12.55%
66
Neutral
$3.21B31.5311.32%0.50%-0.96%-11.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KAI
Kadant
269.06
-129.07
-32.42%
CXT
Crane NXT
62.45
6.42
11.46%
FELE
Franklin Electric Co
94.87
-11.72
-11.00%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
23.92
-1.56
-6.12%
THR
Thermon Group Holdings
34.21
5.76
20.25%
CSW
CSW Industrials
244.95
-173.57
-41.47%

Kadant Corporate Events

Kadant’s Earnings Call: Mixed Results Amid Challenges
Oct 31, 2025

Kadant’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture of the company’s financial health and future prospects. While the company celebrated strong performance in the aftermarket parts segment and robust cash flow generation, it also acknowledged challenges such as revenue declines in key segments, increased expenses, and ongoing uncertainty in capital project orders. Despite these hurdles, Kadant expressed optimism about future capital demand and market improvements, although the overall outlook remains tempered by existing challenges.

Kadant Inc. Reports Stable Revenue Amid Income Decline
Oct 30, 2025

Kadant Inc. is a global supplier of technologies and engineered systems focused on enhancing efficiency and productivity in process industries, with a significant presence in sustainable industrial processing. The company is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts, and operates in 22 countries worldwide.

Financial Disclosures
Kadant Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

Kadant Inc. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing stable revenue of $272 million but a decline in net income by 12% to $28 million. Despite challenges such as reduced demand for capital equipment and global trade uncertainties, the company achieved a solid gross margin of 45.2%, driven by strong performance in its aftermarket parts business. The company anticipates improved demand for its products in the fourth quarter, with revised revenue expectations for 2025 between $1.036 to $1.046 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAI) stock is a Hold with a $319.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kadant stock, see the KAI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Kadant Announces Acquisition of Clyde Industries
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Kadant Inc. will host a webcast and conference call to discuss its acquisition of Clyde Industries Holdings, Inc., a leading manufacturer of boiler efficiency and cleaning system technologies. The acquisition, valued at $175 million, aims to strengthen Kadant’s long-term growth strategy by integrating Clyde Industries into its Industrial Processing segment, leveraging Clyde’s market-leading position in the Pulp & Paper industry and its solid financial metrics. This move is expected to enhance Kadant’s market expansion and align with its sustainable industrial processing initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAI) stock is a Hold with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kadant stock, see the KAI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Kadant Completes Acquisition of Clyde Industries
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Kadant Inc. completed the acquisition of Clyde Industries Holdings, Inc. for $175 million in cash. Clyde Industries, known for its engineered boiler efficiency solutions in the pulp and paper industry, will be integrated into Kadant’s Industrial Processing segment. This acquisition supports Kadant’s strategic goals of expanding its industrial processing offerings and complements its existing product portfolio, enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAI) stock is a Buy with a $380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kadant stock, see the KAI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Kadant Expands Credit Facility with Eighth Amendment
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Kadant Inc. entered into an Eighth Amendment to its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with several banks and financial institutions, including Citizens Bank, N.A. This amendment increases the revolving loan commitments from $400 million to $750 million, extends the maturity date of the credit facility to September 26, 2030, and makes several other adjustments, such as adding Australian Dollars as a foreign currency and increasing various sublimits. These changes are expected to enhance Kadant’s financial flexibility and support its operational and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAI) stock is a Buy with a $380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kadant stock, see the KAI Stock Forecast page.

Kadant Inc. Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Results
Jul 31, 2025

Kadant Inc. is a global supplier of technologies and engineered systems that enhance efficiency and optimize productivity in process industries, with a presence in 20 countries worldwide.

Kadant’s Earnings Call: Mixed Results Amid Strong Aftermarket Performance
Jul 31, 2025

Kadant’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture of the company’s financial health and future prospects. The sentiment was generally positive, with notable achievements in aftermarket revenue and gross margins, as well as an increase in bookings and successful acquisitions. However, challenges such as a decrease in overall revenue and earnings, coupled with uncertainties in trade policies, were also highlighted.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025