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SoftBank Group Corp. (JP:9984)
:9984
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SoftBank Group (9984) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9984

SoftBank Group

(9984)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,124.00
▲(0.73% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/09/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash conversion (negative TTM operating and free cash flow) and elevated leverage, alongside mixed earnings quality (negative TTM operating profit despite positive net income). Technicals also lean bearish with a negative MACD and price below key moving averages. These risks are partly offset by attractive valuation metrics (low P/E and very high dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
A sustained increase in revenue indicates expanding scale across the group’s operating and investment-related activities. Continued growth provides a broader base for future profitability, although the quality of that growth depends on improving operating cash generation.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
High leverage increases exposure to refinancing costs, asset-value declines, and earnings volatility. It can also constrain new investments or force stake monetization at unfavorable times, making balance-sheet resilience dependent on portfolio performance and financing access.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
A sustained increase in revenue indicates expanding scale across the group’s operating and investment-related activities. Continued growth provides a broader base for future profitability, although the quality of that growth depends on improving operating cash generation.
Read all positive factors

SoftBank Group (9984) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SoftBank Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SoftBank Group Corp., headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, is a global conglomerate providing a wide array of services, with a core focus on telecommunications both domestically and internationally. Its extensive operations are strategically organized i...
How the Company Makes Money
SoftBank Group primarily makes money through (1) returns from investments and (2) earnings from consolidated operating subsidiaries. 1) Investment returns (core driver) - Capital gains and losses on investments: A major source of performance is t...

SoftBank Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with significant financial recovery and strategic investments in AI and technology sectors. However, ongoing market volatility and increased leverage were noted as challenges. Despite these, the company's strategic direction and financial achievements outweighed the concerns.
Positive Updates
Record Profitability
SoftBank Group reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years and an increase of JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility and Challenges
Weaker performance of tech stocks led to significant market volatility, impacting net asset value down by JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Profitability
SoftBank Group reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years and an increase of JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the earnings results announcement for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, SoftBank Group Corp. highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a net asset value of JPY 25.7 trillion, a decrease of JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year, but noted a recovery to JPY 27.4 trillion based on current share prices. The loan-to-value ratio increased to 18.0% from 8.4% the previous year, remaining below the 25% safety threshold. SoftBank achieved a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years, and net sales rose to JPY 7.2 billion, up JPY 487 billion year-on-year. The company is focused on advancing its AI strategy, including a significant investment commitment of up to $30 billion in OpenAI and the acquisition of Ampere for $6.5 billion. Additionally, SoftBank is preparing for the IPO of PayPay, which achieved an EBIT of JPY 45 billion and a GMV of JPY 15.4 trillion, reflecting a 23% year-on-year increase.

SoftBank Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows strong recent revenue growth and a rebound to high net profitability, but TTM operating profit is negative despite positive net income, raising earnings-quality concerns. Balance sheet leverage remains elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.48x most recently; TTM total debt ~¥28.0T). Cash flow is the weakest area: TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative, creating a major sustainability and flexibility risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.00T7.80T7.24T6.76T6.57T6.22T
Gross Profit4.12T4.02T3.75T3.54T3.33T3.27T
EBITDA6.77T7.83T3.15T1.47T980.26B365.37B
Net Income4.92T5.00T1.15T-227.65B-970.14B-1.71T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets65.14T60.75T45.01T46.72T43.94T47.54T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.25T7.50T3.71T6.19T6.93T5.33T
Total Debt27.98T25.86T18.91T16.19T16.05T17.79T
Total Liabilities43.98T40.47T31.06T33.49T33.29T35.84T
Stockholders Equity18.23T17.43T11.56T11.16T9.03T9.98T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.59T-2.48T118.98B-372.06B107.53B1.89T
Operating Cash Flow-862.31B-744.36B973.15B250.55B741.29B2.73T
Investing Cash Flow-6.26T-4.36T-1.71T-841.46B547.58B-3.02T
Financing Cash Flow6.13T6.01T-1.81T-606.22B191.52B602.22B

SoftBank Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥420.51B23.4016.96%1.49%6.44%8.66%
71
Outperform
¥608.91B23.6816.08%1.12%13.85%21.44%
69
Neutral
¥10.48T14.6414.41%2.71%4.05%18.81%
66
Neutral
¥11.43T20.803.88%7.91%8.35%
65
Neutral
¥14.42T13.0710.96%3.50%7.56%8.41%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
¥29.04T6.1824.50%0.20%8.63%188.96%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9984
SoftBank Group
5,200.00
1,232.68
31.07%
JP:9449
GMO Internet
4,129.00
273.98
7.11%
JP:3774
Internet Initiative Japan
3,262.00
524.35
19.15%
JP:9433
KDDI
2,880.50
371.78
14.82%
JP:9432
Nippon Telegraph and Telephone
168.20
16.10
10.58%
JP:9434
SoftBank Corp.
237.50
13.65
6.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2026