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Subaru Co., Ltd.
(9778)
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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,708.00
▼(-1.92% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance (declining revenue and sharply lower profits) and a very elevated P/E that appears disconnected from the earnings trend. Offsetting these negatives are a relatively stable balance sheet, generally positive but volatile cash generation, and neutral technical momentum without strong bullish confirmation.
Positive Factors
Stable balance sheet and falling debt
Moderate leverage and a consistent capital base improve solvency and financial flexibility over time. Equity and asset stability, plus reduced total debt in 2026, lower refinancing and distress risk and preserve optionality to invest in growth or weather cyclical weakness.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
Persistent top-line contraction reduces scale and competitive flexibility. Modest but sustained revenue declines (2025–2026) erode pricing power, make it harder to leverage fixed costs, and constrain the company’s capacity to reinvest in product, marketing or service improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable balance sheet and falling debt
Moderate leverage and a consistent capital base improve solvency and financial flexibility over time. Equity and asset stability, plus reduced total debt in 2026, lower refinancing and distress risk and preserve optionality to invest in growth or weather cyclical weakness.
Read all positive factors
Subaru Co., Ltd. (9778) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥3.28B
Dividend Yield2.17%
Average Volume (3M)510.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)156.5
Beta (1Y)0.17
Revenue Growth-1.06%
EPS Growth-63.12%
CountryJP
Employees300
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryEducation & Training Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)113.56
Shares Outstanding693,576
10 Day Avg. Volume880
30 Day Avg. Volume510
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.82
Price to Book (P/B)0.94
Price to Sales (P/S)1.01
P/FCF Ratio57.79
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥2,983.33Price Target Upside-48.74% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Subaru Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Subaru Co., Ltd. engages in the cram school business in Japan. The company offers learning and examination guidance for older children, elementary school students, junior high school students, and high school students; mock tests; special training...
How the Company Makes Money
null...
Subaru Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2026 | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 961.00K | 3.38B | 3.45B | 3.53B | 3.51B | 3.54B |
| Gross Profit | 244.00K | 611.22M | 622.62M | 707.48M | 831.12M | 894.53M |
| EBITDA | 103.72M | 256.16M | 224.08M | 266.33M | 421.71M | 439.01M |
| Net Income | 67.00M | 40.75M | 57.90M | 36.02M | 217.98M | 136.46M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 6.77B | 6.87B | 6.96B | 7.15B | 6.71B | 6.72B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 683.08M | 752.93M | 792.38M | 963.28M | 472.09M | 689.43M |
| Total Debt | 1.73B | 1.60B | 1.69B | 1.83B | 1.44B | 1.52B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.35B | 3.25B | 3.39B | 3.51B | 3.11B | 3.27B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.41B | 3.62B | 3.57B | 3.64B | 3.60B | 3.45B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 59.05M | 92.95M | 177.18M | -16.08M | 344.05M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 274.48M | 161.81M | 281.20M | 193.48M | 415.16M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -125.08M | -117.30M | -97.62M | -225.69M | 53.33M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -169.32M | -232.19M | 304.81M | -230.35M | -217.82M |
Subaru Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
5820.00
Price Trends
5674.80
Negative
5611.20
Negative
5844.39
Negative
Market Momentum
-18.89
Positive
38.99
Neutral
5.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9778, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5820 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5714.00, above the 50-day MA of 5674.80, and below the 200-day MA of 5844.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9778.
Subaru Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | ¥17.64B | 13.80 | ― | 3.54% | 6.26% | 21.52% | |
75 Outperform | ¥48.67B | 18.18 | ― | 2.56% | 7.90% | 7.66% | |
75 Outperform | ¥38.14B | 12.53 | ― | 3.55% | 3.53% | 11.39% | |
74 Outperform | ¥35.35B | 19.31 | ― | 5.00% | 2.77% | 16.87% | |
68 Neutral | ¥44.43B | 12.06 | ― | 2.28% | 7.30% | 12.44% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
51 Neutral | ¥3.28B | 156.50 | ― | 2.16% | -1.06% | -63.12% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
JP:9778
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.