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Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd. (JP:9049)
:9049
Japanese Market
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Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd. (9049) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9049

Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd.

(9049)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥7,227.00
▼(-3.12% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/17/26
The score is primarily supported by improved financial performance since 2021 (profitability recovery and strengthening leverage profile) and attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Offsetting these positives, technical indicators show a clear downtrend with weak momentum, and cash-flow consistency remains a key risk due to historical volatility and modest free cash flow versus earnings.
Positive Factors
Revenue & profitability recovery
Sustained revenue growth and the shift from losses to consistent profits since 2021 indicate structural improvement in demand and operational scale. Higher recurring ticket revenue and scale allow the company to better absorb fixed costs, supporting durable earnings power over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Uneven cash conversion
Volatile operating cash and swingy free cash flow undermine predictability for dividends, maintenance capex and debt reduction. FCF in 2026 was only about one-third of net income, indicating earnings do not consistently convert to cash and limiting sustainable capital returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & profitability recovery
Sustained revenue growth and the shift from losses to consistent profits since 2021 indicate structural improvement in demand and operational scale. Higher recurring ticket revenue and scale allow the company to better absorb fixed costs, supporting durable earnings power over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd. (9049) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Founded in Kyoto, Japan, in 1888, Keifuku Electric Railroad Co.,Ltd. is primarily engaged in the railway and cable car transportation industries within Japan. The company has diversified its operations significantly, encompassing real estate sales...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by providing passenger transportation on its railway/tram lines and collecting fares from riders. Revenue is generated through passenger ticket sales (e.g., single-ride fares and commuter passes) and other transpo...

Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength reflects a clear recovery since 2021 with higher revenue and sustained profitability, but operating profitability dipped versus 2025 and the growth signal is flagged as potentially inconsistent. The balance sheet has improved materially (lower debt-to-equity and higher equity) with moderate ongoing leverage typical for rail. Cash flow is the main constraint: operating cash flow and free cash flow have been volatile, and 2026 free cash flow is modest relative to earnings.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.64B14.88B14.46B14.04B13.32B11.60B
Gross Profit2.32B2.46B2.36B1.99B1.38B600.00M
EBITDA3.95B4.00B4.32B3.13B2.46B2.49B
Net Income1.72B1.83B1.74B2.09B1.22B673.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.95B26.62B25.25B23.00B21.18B20.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.78B2.39B2.16B1.96B1.97B1.72B
Total Debt7.09B6.36B7.06B7.36B7.86B8.66B
Total Liabilities10.69B10.90B11.59B11.22B11.72B12.05B
Stockholders Equity14.82B14.33B12.43B10.72B8.55B7.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00955.00M761.00M-222.00M879.00M538.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.002.88B3.63B2.46B2.33B1.58B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.65B-2.95B-1.75B-1.10B-975.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.01B-463.00M-715.00M-986.00M-936.00M

Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7460.00
Price Trends
50DMA
6739.20
Negative
100DMA
7040.50
Negative
200DMA
7206.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-52.94
Negative
RSI
41.68
Neutral
STOCH
54.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9049, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7460 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6666.00, above the 50-day MA of 6739.20, and above the 200-day MA of 7206.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -52.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9049.

Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
¥13.24B7.650.26%0.52%-4.08%
65
Neutral
¥243.28B6.8212.18%1.68%10.01%48.37%
63
Neutral
¥44.62B12.792.17%5.52%-6.89%
62
Neutral
¥321.99B12.831.61%3.35%12.80%
59
Neutral
¥19.89B14.080.81%4.75%17.17%
57
Neutral
¥19.22B12.531.28%18.12%2.46%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9049
Keifuku Electric Railroad Co., Ltd.
6,610.00
-382.14
-5.47%
JP:9031
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co., Ltd.
3,052.00
859.46
39.20%
JP:9033
Hiroshima Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
628.00
-10.90
-1.71%
JP:9044
Nankai Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
2,961.00
406.14
15.90%
JP:9046
Kobe Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
2,463.00
-26.45
-1.06%
JP:9052
Sanyo Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
2,016.00
-46.60
-2.26%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026