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Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd.
(9012)
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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,341.00
▲(15.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/08/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: profitability has improved recently, but cash generation remains weak with consistently negative free cash flow and a history of volatility. Valuation is supportive with a low P/E, while technicals are positive on trend but tempered by overbought signals.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Profit Recovery
Revenue growth from 2024 through 2026, alongside materially healthier 2026 gross and operating profit, indicates the core transport franchise is recovering. If maintained, this combination can improve operating leverage and provide a more durable earnings base over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative free cash flow means operating cash generation has not been sufficient to fund investment requirements. That can increase reliance on borrowing or other financing, limit capital allocation flexibility, and make the recent earnings recovery less resilient if cash conversion does not improve.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profit Recovery
Revenue growth from 2024 through 2026, alongside materially healthier 2026 gross and operating profit, indicates the core transport franchise is recovering. If maintained, this combination can improve operating leverage and provide a more durable earnings base over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. (9012) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥3.33B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)606.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)6.4
Beta (1Y)0.11
Revenue Growth7.10%
EPS Growth352.24%
CountryJP
Employees377
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryRailroads
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)338.62
Shares Outstanding1,500,000
10 Day Avg. Volume1,260
30 Day Avg. Volume606
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.04
Price to Book (P/B)0.57
Price to Sales (P/S)0.56
P/FCF Ratio-6.73
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. engages in the railway, tourism and real estate businesses. Its operations are carried out through the following segments: Railway, Real Estate, Tourism, Wholesale and Retail and Others. The Railway segment manages the f...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by operating transportation services and collecting fares from passengers using its railway network, including commuter and leisure travel demand along its service area. A secondary source of revenue comes from op...
Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
36
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.69B | 5.64B | 5.28B | 4.91B | 4.69B | 4.35B |
| Gross Profit | 1.91B | 1.86B | 1.57B | 1.34B | 987.42M | 981.00M |
| EBITDA | 808.58M | 690.64M | 396.38M | 414.55M | -5.73B | 217.55M |
| Net Income | 502.93M | 383.26M | 115.59M | 92.57M | -5.05B | -47.72M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 16.58B | 17.69B | 16.90B | 16.45B | 16.95B | 23.70B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 754.63M | 790.99M | 1.08B | 981.76M | 810.76M | 749.34M |
| Total Debt | 5.42B | 5.40B | 5.58B | 5.63B | 5.52B | 5.48B |
| Total Liabilities | 10.88B | 12.17B | 11.90B | 11.52B | 11.94B | 13.67B |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.69B | 5.52B | 5.00B | 4.92B | 5.02B | 10.02B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -471.56M | -116.08M | -704.72M | -787.62M | -1.69B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 310.65M | 538.27M | 34.28M | 333.38M | -724.16M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -477.89M | -406.07M | 19.96M | -299.67M | -754.97M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -119.53M | -36.22M | 116.76M | 27.71M | 959.98M |
Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
2028.00
Price Trends
2106.60
Positive
2106.89
Positive
2116.76
Positive
Market Momentum
11.74
Negative
63.98
Neutral
84.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9012, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2028 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2104.50, below the 50-day MA of 2106.60, and below the 200-day MA of 2116.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9012.
Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | ¥7.61B | 6.07 | ― | 0.51% | 2.06% | 11.44% | |
69 Neutral | ¥12.90B | 7.52 | ― | 0.31% | 0.52% | -4.08% | |
64 Neutral | ¥19.01B | 12.39 | ― | 1.29% | 18.12% | 2.46% | |
63 Neutral | ¥42.20B | 12.06 | ― | 2.63% | 5.52% | -6.89% | |
59 Neutral | ¥3.33B | 6.44 | ― | ― | 7.10% | 352.24% | |
59 Neutral | ¥18.77B | 13.26 | ― | 1.08% | 4.75% | 17.17% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
* General Sector Average
JP:9012
Chichibu Railway Co., Ltd.
2,180.00
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7.23%
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-5.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.