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Keisei Electric Railway Co
(9009)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,552.00
▲(15.73% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/09/26
Overall score is driven mainly by solid fundamentals (profitability recovery and improved leverage) but held back by weak recent free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Valuation looks reasonable with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Recovery
Revenue has recovered from the 2021–2022 downturn and continued growing through 2026, indicating renewed demand across the railway-led business. Continued top-line expansion can support network utilization and provide a durable base for related real-estate and leisure activities.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow turned negative in 2025 and deteriorated further in 2026 despite positive operating cash flow. That gap indicates heavier investment needs or weaker cash conversion, reducing surplus funds available for debt reduction, distributions, or discretionary growth over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Recovery
Revenue has recovered from the 2021–2022 downturn and continued growing through 2026, indicating renewed demand across the railway-led business. Continued top-line expansion can support network utilization and provide a durable base for related real-estate and leisure activities.
Read all positive factors
Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥716.18B
Dividend Yield1.63%
Average Volume (3M)1.59M
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.2
Beta (1Y)0.37
Revenue Growth4.15%
EPS Growth-26.13%
CountryJP
Employees13,231
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryRailroads
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)105.18
Shares Outstanding517,233,600
10 Day Avg. Volume1,503,750
30 Day Avg. Volume1,588,430
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.39
Price to Book (P/B)1.02
Price to Sales (P/S)1.70
P/FCF Ratio-13.31
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)90.77
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥354.93B
Keisei Electric Railway Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Keisei Electric Railway Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of public railway transportation services for local communities in Japan. It operates through the Transportation, Distribution, Real Estate, Leisure and Service, and Construction segments....
Keisei Electric Railway Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 335.73B | 332.42B | 319.31B | 296.51B | 252.34B | 214.16B |
| Gross Profit | 90.67B | 88.65B | 81.39B | 67.56B | 47.39B | 33.12B |
| EBITDA | 83.04B | 96.07B | 136.00B | 157.85B | 66.89B | 29.97B |
| Net Income | 50.72B | 48.02B | 69.96B | 87.66B | 26.93B | -4.44B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.21T | 1.18T | 1.09T | 1.06T | 965.57B | 900.35B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 42.96B | 34.39B | 51.53B | 82.46B | 34.61B | 25.51B |
| Total Debt | 441.10B | 369.41B | 329.40B | 398.34B | 396.53B | 379.32B |
| Total Liabilities | 628.20B | 606.19B | 569.46B | 595.04B | 554.62B | 512.64B |
| Stockholders Equity | 562.66B | 557.83B | 508.99B | 451.62B | 394.91B | 369.76B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -42.56B | -22.05B | 5.51B | 14.41B | -9.40B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 41.45B | 41.15B | 60.05B | 47.24B | 28.83B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -75.54B | -9.24B | 28.14B | -29.50B | -33.76B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 16.95B | -62.87B | -40.26B | -20.92B | 1.24B |
Keisei Electric Railway Co Technical Analysis
Positive
1341.00
Price Trends
1336.48
Positive
1252.16
Positive
1228.35
Positive
Market Momentum
13.33
Negative
66.38
Neutral
83.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9009, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1341 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1339.35, above the 50-day MA of 1336.48, and above the 200-day MA of 1228.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9009.
Keisei Electric Railway Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | ¥716.18B | 13.24 | 9.18% | 1.63% | 4.15% | -26.13% | |
69 Neutral | ¥580.87B | 10.22 | 9.24% | 2.53% | 5.23% | 13.35% | |
68 Neutral | ¥541.56B | 11.89 | 9.19% | 3.37% | 8.75% | -6.80% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | ¥338.24B | 13.16 | ― | 1.68% | 3.35% | 12.80% | |
60 Neutral | ¥641.75B | 17.66 | 6.99% | 3.35% | 2.63% | -13.44% | |
57 Neutral | ¥4.22T | 17.29 | 7.83% | 2.17% | 7.74% | 3.47% |
* Industrials Sector Average
JP:9009
Keisei Electric Railway Co
1,410.50
115.96
8.96%
JP:9020
East Japan Railway Company
3,736.00
132.82
3.69%
JP:9142
Kyushu Railway Company
3,506.00
-322.07
-8.41%
JP:9007
Odakyu Electric Railway Co
1,793.50
200.16
12.56%
JP:9001
Tobu Railway Co
2,962.50
455.15
18.15%
JP:9044
Nankai Electric Railway Co., Ltd.
3,122.00
276.71
9.73%
Keisei Electric Railway Co Corporate Events
Keisei Electric Railway to Make Fuel Supplier Chiba-Nisseki a Wholly Owned Subsidiary
Sep 24, 2026
Keisei Electric Railway will acquire all shares of Chiba-Nisseki Co., Ltd., a Funabashi-based supplier of petroleum products and operator of service stations and auto maintenance services founded in 1956. By turning Chiba-Nisseki into a wholly own...
Keisei Electric Railway Expands Shareholder Courtesy Privilege Program
Sep 7, 2026
Keisei Electric Railway has decided to expand its shareholder courtesy privilege program by allowing transport passes to be exchanged for a wider range of leisure products, including hot spring day-use tickets, theme park admission and movie ticke...
Keisei Electric Railway Delivers Strong Q1 but Sees Profit Dip Ahead
Jul 31, 2026
Keisei Electric Railway reported solid first-quarter results for the three months to June 30, 2026, with operating revenue rising 4% year on year to ¥86.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing 21.2% to ¥15.4 billio...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.