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Japan Securities Finance Co (8511) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8511

Japan Securities Finance Co

(TSE/TYO:8511)

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Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,309.00â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/14/26

The overall score is constrained by significant financial risks. The company's highly leveraged balance sheet and negative cash flows are major concerns, outweighing strong revenue growth. Weak technical momentum further pressures the score, while a reasonable valuation and high dividend yield provide some support.

Positive Factors
Revenue and EPS GrowthThe reported revenue and EPS expansion shows a substantially stronger earnings base and indicates effective growth in the company’s core activities. Sustained expansion can improve operating scale, support reinvestment, and strengthen JSF’s ability to serve securities-market participants over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Very High LeverageThe sharp increase in debt relative to equity leaves JSF heavily dependent on debt-funded balance-sheet capacity. High leverage can amplify results when conditions are favorable, but it also reduces resilience if funding conditions or asset values deteriorate and can constrain future financial flexibility.

Japan Securities Finance Co (8511) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:8511+33.91%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 169.51B
Dividend Yield
4.42%
Average Volume (3M)
296.53K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.3
Beta (1Y)
0.95
Revenue Growth
68.62%
EPS Growth
43.08%
Country
Japan
Employees
279
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Japan Securities Finance Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. (JSF), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified financial services entity across Japan. Its primary business lines include securities financing, trust banking, and real estate activities. Within sec...

Japan Securities Finance Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. Strong revenue growth (+54% latest year) and expanding operating margins are offset by a highly leveraged balance sheet (debt-to-equity >80x) and volatile, deeply negative operating and free cash flows, indicating high reliance on external financing.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

42Neutral

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue124.22B110.46B60.15B50.27B42.52B30.12B
Gross Profit109.52B96.31B50.17B30.04B27.70B18.37B
EBITDA103.53B88.51B42.01B21.64B16.00B12.70B
Net Income12.16B10.61B10.38B8.03B5.97B5.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.35T15.52T13.77T13.74T14.06T14.17T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.81T7.07T5.85T1.98T1.67T1.41T
Total Debt11.28T11.99T10.97T3.75T8.62T9.17T
Total Liabilities14.21T15.38T13.64T13.60T13.92T14.03T
Stockholders Equity140.67B137.49B134.35B144.61B135.73B138.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-360.29B-517.57B383.27B302.91B-123.10B
Operating Cash Flow0-360.18B-517.48B383.41B303.55B-122.30B
Investing Cash Flow0-403.00M1.75B4.58B3.45B4.91B
Financing Cash Flow01.02T-672.60B-6.62B-5.79B-5.09B

Japan Securities Finance Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2309.00

Price Trends

50DMA2278.44Positive
100DMA2324.62Negative
200DMA2243.64Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-34.04Negative
RSI61.38Neutral
STOCH81.19Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8511, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2309.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2123.50, above the 50-day MA of 2278.44, and above the 200-day MA of 2243.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -34.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8511.

Japan Securities Finance Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

JP:8511 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7164JP:716484OutperformJPY 427.55B13.0113.76%3.83%2.50%6.43%
JP:8591JP:859174OutperformJPY 5.70T5.8621.88%3.19%13.19%143.04%
JP:8425JP:842568NeutralJPY 443.55B6.75―3.82%11.45%31.25%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
JP:8593JP:859358NeutralJPY 1.94T19.154.97%3.73%2.28%-39.37%
JP:8511JP:851150NeutralJPY 169.51B14.288.85%4.42%68.62%43.08%
JP:8566JP:856641NeutralJPY 196.97B15.42―3.30%3.94%-5.94%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:8511JP:8593JP:8591JP:7164JP:8425JP:8566Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8511 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8511Japan Securities Finance Co 2309.00549.1431.20%
JP:8593Mitsubishi UFJ Lease & Finance Company 1312.50146.2112.54%
JP:8591ORIX Corporation5512.001638.0842.28%
JP:7164Zenkoku Hosho Co 3260.00270.229.04%
JP:8425Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited1441.00217.8017.81%
JP:8566Ricoh Leasing Company,Ltd.6420.00952.0917.41%

Japan Securities Finance Co Corporate Events

Japan Securities Finance Announces Employee Stock Incentive Plan

Nov 12, 2026

Japan Securities Finance said its board resolved on Nov. 12, 2026, to grant company shares to employees based on FY2026 performance under an Employee Stock Incentive Plan. The company said the plan is intended to enhance employee motivation and job s...

Japan Securities Finance Revises Medium-Term Plan and Shareholder Return Policy

Nov 12, 2026

Japan Securities Finance announced revisions to its 8th Medium-Term Management Plan and the shareholder return policy covering that plan, following a FY2026 financial results forecast that exceeds initial expectations. The board resolved the changes...

Japan Securities Finance Revises Long-Term Management Vision

Nov 12, 2026

Japan Securities Finance said its FY2026 financial-results forecast exceeds initial expectations, prompting its board on Nov. 12 to resolve a revision to the company’s long-term management vision. The revised shareholder-return policy is to take effe...

Japan Securities Finance Expands Share Repurchase Limit

Nov 12, 2026

Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. said its board resolved to expand the maximum size of its common-share repurchase under its shareholder-return policy. The ceiling rises by 300,000 shares to 2.1 million, equal to 2.6% of issued shares excluding tre...

Japan Securities Finance Raises Interim Dividend, Year-End Forecast

Nov 12, 2026

Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. announced that its interim dividend, with a September 30, 2026 record date, was raised to 56 yen per share from the previously forecast 47 yen and 40 yen a year earlier. The company also raised its year-end dividend...

Japan Securities Finance Revises Fiscal 2027 Full-Year Forecast Upward

Nov 12, 2026

Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. is engaged in securities financing centered on loans for margin transactions. It revised upward its consolidated full-year financial results forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, from the previous fore...

Japan Securities Finance Reports Fiscal 2026 First-Half Profit Growth

Nov 12, 2026

Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. reported operating revenues of ¥79,782 million for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 56.8% year on year. Operating profit rose 46.9% to ¥10,131 million, while ordinary profit increased 53.7% to ¥11,247 mil...

Japan Securities Finance Reports October Share Repurchases

Nov 6, 2026

Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd. is a Japan-based financial-services company focused on securities finance and capital-market operations. Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Prime Market, it announced further progress in its share-repurchase progr...

Japan Securities Finance Reports Progress on Ongoing Share Buyback Program

Oct 2, 2026

Japan Securities Finance Co. has reported progress on its ongoing share repurchase program authorized by its board in May 2026. The company bought back 122,000 shares of common stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between September 1 and September 30, 2...

Japan Securities Finance Advances Share Buyback Under Board-Approved Program

Sep 2, 2026

Japan Securities Finance Co. has reported the latest progress of its share repurchase program conducted under provisions of the Companies Act, confirming the buyback of 173,800 common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between August 1 and August 31,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2026