Want to see JP:8254 full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Saikaya Co., Ltd.
(8254)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
¥233.00
▼(-37.53% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/21/26
The score is primarily constrained by financial risk: high leverage (debt-to-equity ~6.3x), negative free cash flow in recent years, and ongoing revenue contraction despite a return to profitability. Technicals add further pressure as the stock trades well below major moving averages, signaling a persistent downtrend. Valuation is reasonable (P/E ~16.3, ~2.08% yield) but provides only modest support given the balance-sheet and cash-flow constraints.
Positive Factors
Return to Profitability
Returning to positive operating profit and net income across 2023–2026 marks a meaningful recovery from the 2021–2022 losses. Although margins are thin, continued profitability can improve resilience and provide an operating base for further stabilization.
Negative Factors
Persistent Revenue Contraction
Revenue has declined in every reported year, limiting the company’s ability to gain operating leverage and making fixed retail costs harder to cover. Persistent contraction also indicates that the return to profitability is not yet supported by a durable growth trend.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Return to Profitability
Returning to positive operating profit and net income across 2023–2026 marks a meaningful recovery from the 2021–2022 losses. Although margins are thin, continued profitability can improve resilience and provide an operating base for further stabilization.
Read all positive factors
Saikaya Co., Ltd. (8254) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥2.04B
Dividend Yield2.05%
Average Volume (3M)65.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)16.6
Beta (1Y)0.53
Revenue Growth-0.89%
EPS Growth-33.97%
CountryJP
Employees137
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryDepartment Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)12.04
Shares Outstanding8,386,350
10 Day Avg. Volume88,180
30 Day Avg. Volume65,850
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.58
Price to Book (P/B)1.22
Price to Sales (P/S)0.36
P/FCF Ratio-2.09
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Saikaya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Saikaya Department Store Co.,Ltd. operates department stores in Japan. It is involved in the wholesale of watches, jewelry, and precious metal products. The company also engages in trading business and apartment rentals and real estate related int...
How the Company Makes Money
Saikaya primarily makes money through retail sales to consumers at its department store operations, recognizing revenue when merchandise is sold in-store. Key revenue streams generally include (1) direct merchandise sales (e.g., apparel, living/ho...
Saikaya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
23
Negative
Cash Flow
32
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Aug 2026 | Aug 2025 | Aug 2024 | Aug 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.64B | 4.59B | 4.63B | 4.95B | 5.20B | 13.81B |
| Gross Profit | 2.23B | 1.94B | 2.30B | 2.29B | 3.12B | 2.82B |
| EBITDA | 475.30M | 502.47M | 537.30M | 445.66M | 378.40M | 45.24M |
| Net Income | 71.91M | 85.47M | 110.25M | 72.70M | 9.74M | -509.68M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 12.75B | 12.36B | 12.00B | 11.81B | 12.24B | 12.15B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.45B | 944.88M | 1.43B | 1.65B | 1.78B | 1.56B |
| Total Debt | 8.65B | 8.55B | 8.65B | 8.66B | 8.66B | 8.67B |
| Total Liabilities | 11.35B | 11.00B | 11.20B | 11.19B | 11.66B | 11.57B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.40B | 1.36B | 791.99M | 617.19M | 576.34M | 581.64M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -89.29M | -790.00M | -89.29M | -48.88M | 295.89M | -1.08B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 410.25M | 338.33M | 410.25M | 259.71M | 367.11M | -872.27M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -620.35M | -1.20B | -620.35M | -390.97M | -135.26M | -952.85M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.31M | 371.29M | -5.31M | -3.88M | -3.87M | 2.45B |
Saikaya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
373.00
Price Trends
297.81
Negative
288.08
Negative
305.51
Negative
Market Momentum
-11.96
Positive
31.27
Neutral
4.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8254, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 373 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 306.65, above the 50-day MA of 297.81, and above the 200-day MA of 305.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -11.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8254.
Saikaya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | ¥196.69B | 9.22 | ― | 3.58% | 8.92% | 33.42% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
57 Neutral | ¥31.95B | -187.17 | ― | 3.30% | -0.24% | 92.09% | |
57 Neutral | ¥196.76B | 11.22 | ― | 3.28% | 0.92% | 46.70% | |
54 Neutral | ¥172.76B | 19.99 | ― | 1.51% | -1.47% | 119.37% | |
49 Neutral | ¥159.43B | -23.65 | ― | 2.08% | 10.71% | -523.13% | |
44 Neutral | ¥2.04B | 16.60 | ― | 2.05% | -0.89% | -33.97% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:8254
Saikaya Co., Ltd.
244.00
-137.29
-36.01%
JP:3222
United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.
769.00
-82.84
-9.73%
JP:8217
Okuwa Co., Ltd.
788.00
-62.62
-7.36%
JP:8273
Izumi Co., Ltd.
916.00
-52.07
-5.38%
JP:8278
Fuji Co., Ltd.
1,993.00
44.63
2.29%
JP:9956
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,660.00
229.41
16.04%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.