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Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (JP:8052)
:8052
Japanese Market
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Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8052

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd.

(8052)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,961.00
▲(11.27% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial position (especially the very conservative balance sheet and steady profitability) and supportive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). These positives are tempered by the 2026 shift to negative operating/free cash flow and weak price trend versus key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
An almost debt-free balance sheet and minimal leverage materially reduce financial risk and interest burden. This durability gives the company flexibility to fund operations, absorb cyclical downturns, sustain dividends, and pursue opportunistic investments without refinancing stress.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow in 2026
The 2026 reversal to negative operating and free cash flow highlights cash conversion volatility and working-capital strain. Persistent weak cash generation can force external financing for growth, constrain capex or dividends, and raise execution risk despite low leverage.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
An almost debt-free balance sheet and minimal leverage materially reduce financial risk and interest burden. This durability gives the company flexibility to fund operations, absorb cyclical downturns, sustain dividends, and pursue opportunistic investments without refinancing stress.
Read all positive factors

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Established in Osaka, Japan, in 1916, Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. is a prominent distributor of industrial machinery, equipment, and components across the Japanese market. The company, initially known as Tsubakimoto Shoten Co., Ltd., adopted its p...
How the Company Makes Money
Tsubakimoto Kogyo primarily makes money through (1) trading margins earned by purchasing industrial products from suppliers and reselling them to corporate customers, and (2) revenue from providing value-added services associated with those sales....

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue momentum (notably the sharp 2026 acceleration) and an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with effectively no leverage and stable ~10–11% ROE support a high score. The main offset is weaker cash conversion, with operating and free cash flow turning negative in 2026, increasing near-term execution and working-capital risk despite solid profitability.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue130.31B131.03B124.32B113.50B107.96B96.89B
Gross Profit19.74B19.85B18.80B17.50B16.35B14.95B
EBITDA8.05B6.86B7.21B6.01B5.61B4.93B
Net Income5.33B5.02B4.69B4.00B3.67B3.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets96.66B100.06B100.67B94.76B84.47B76.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.20B24.10B28.95B26.86B22.93B17.60B
Total Debt251.00M0.0080.00M32.00M20.00M40.00M
Total Liabilities52.51B49.86B56.65B54.38B50.43B46.01B
Stockholders Equity43.90B49.92B43.74B40.13B33.81B30.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-3.90B3.18B4.51B6.35B6.46B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-3.55B3.59B5.01B6.72B6.57B
Investing Cash Flow0.00250.00M461.00M-69.00M-461.00M-152.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.63B-2.05B-1.08B-971.00M-808.00M

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2661.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2717.14
Positive
100DMA
2780.12
Negative
200DMA
2745.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.20
Negative
RSI
54.88
Neutral
STOCH
80.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8052, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2661 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2674.35, below the 50-day MA of 2717.14, and below the 200-day MA of 2745.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8052.

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥43.81B9.163.87%1.79%-12.61%
77
Outperform
¥308.80B21.451.68%8.46%26.64%
73
Outperform
¥52.36B9.933.00%5.40%8.39%
73
Outperform
¥154.63B9.941.72%46.71%77.52%
65
Neutral
¥28.13B14.132.98%2.25%40.48%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥146.79B9.322.42%8.46%-3.62%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8052
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd.
2,719.00
455.99
20.15%
JP:3176
Sanyo Trading Co., Ltd.
1,527.00
141.93
10.25%
JP:6454
Max Co., Ltd.
1,661.00
537.98
47.90%
JP:7456
Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd.
6,420.00
3,189.09
98.71%
JP:7628
Ohashi Technica Inc.
1,117.00
170.66
18.03%
JP:9830
Trusco Nakayama Corporation
2,226.00
222.35
11.10%

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Launches ATOM2028 Plan to Strengthen Earnings and ESG Focus
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo has unveiled its new three-year medium-term management plan, ATOM2028, running from FY2026 to FY2028, aimed at building a stronger earnings base and upgrading its financial strategies. The plan follows ATOM2025, which exceeded fi...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Overhauls Board and Executive Lineup to Strengthen Governance
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. has announced a broad reshuffle of its directors and executive officers, to take effect following the June 26, 2026 shareholders meeting. The board plans to appoint Koji Suzuki as a new outside director while outside di...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo to Grant Restricted Treasury Shares to Employee Shareholding Association
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo has approved the disposal of up to 88,000 treasury shares as restricted stock to its Employee Shareholding Association, with a reference disposal price of ¥2,920 per share and a potential total value of about ¥256.96 mi...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Lifts Dividend and Adds Payout for 110th Anniversary
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo’s board has approved a year-end dividend of ¥70 per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, comprising an ordinary dividend of ¥60 and a commemorative dividend of ¥10. This brings the total annual div...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Lifts Dividend as Profits and Equity Base Strengthen
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo reported consolidated net sales of ¥131.0 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, up 5.4% year on year, with operating profit rising 8.2% to ¥6.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent increasing ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 12, 2026