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Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd.
(8052)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,057.00
▲(14.88% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/17/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial positioning (near-zero leverage and stable returns) and solid growth, tempered by the recent turn to negative operating/free cash flow. Valuation is supportive with a low P/E and ~3% dividend yield, while technical signals are mostly neutral with slightly negative momentum (negative MACD).
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Minimal leverage limits interest and refinancing risk, while stable double-digit ROE indicates the company generates healthy returns without relying on debt. This supports resilience and preserves flexibility for investment or shareholder distributions.
Negative Factors
Recent negative cash conversion
The recent reversal in operating and free cash flow raises concern that revenue growth is consuming working capital or requiring heavier project investment. Persistent volatility could constrain internally funded growth despite the debt-free balance sheet.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Minimal leverage limits interest and refinancing risk, while stable double-digit ROE indicates the company generates healthy returns without relying on debt. This supports resilience and preserves flexibility for investment or shareholder distributions.
Read all positive factors
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥55.50B
Dividend Yield2.84%
Average Volume (3M)28.48K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.1
Beta (1Y)0.63
Revenue Growth-0.27%
EPS Growth-7.26%
CountryJP
Employees808
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryIndustrial - Distribution
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)266.82
Shares Outstanding19,493,908
10 Day Avg. Volume30,930
30 Day Avg. Volume28,476
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.00
Price to Sales (P/S)0.38
P/FCF Ratio-12.73
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in Osaka, Japan, in 1916, Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. is a prominent distributor of industrial machinery, equipment, and components across the Japanese market. The company, initially known as Tsubakimoto Shoten Co., Ltd., adopted its p...
How the Company Makes Money
Tsubakimoto Kogyo generates revenue primarily by acting as an intermediary between equipment/component manufacturers and end users, earning gross profit on product sales (the spread between procurement cost and selling price) and charging fees/mar...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 129.95B | 131.03B | 124.32B | 113.50B | 107.96B | 96.89B |
| Gross Profit | 19.81B | 19.85B | 18.80B | 17.50B | 16.35B | 14.95B |
| EBITDA | 6.97B | 7.80B | 7.21B | 6.01B | 5.61B | 4.93B |
| Net Income | 4.90B | 5.02B | 4.69B | 4.00B | 3.67B | 3.18B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 101.90B | 100.06B | 100.67B | 94.76B | 84.47B | 76.77B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 27.29B | 24.10B | 28.95B | 26.86B | 22.93B | 17.60B |
| Total Debt | 223.00M | 65.00M | 80.00M | 32.00M | 20.00M | 40.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 50.42B | 49.86B | 56.65B | 54.38B | 50.43B | 46.01B |
| Stockholders Equity | 51.21B | 49.92B | 43.74B | 40.13B | 33.81B | 30.58B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -3.90B | 3.18B | 4.51B | 6.35B | 6.46B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | -3.55B | 3.59B | 5.01B | 6.72B | 6.57B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 250.00M | 461.00M | -69.00M | -461.00M | -152.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.63B | -2.05B | -1.08B | -971.00M | -808.00M |
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
2661.00
Price Trends
2777.14
Positive
2749.09
Positive
2757.10
Positive
Market Momentum
14.18
Negative
62.28
Neutral
88.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8052, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2661 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2778.30, below the 50-day MA of 2777.14, and below the 200-day MA of 2757.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 14.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8052.
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | ¥341.34B | 22.74 | ― | 1.68% | 10.92% | 30.66% | |
76 Outperform | ¥30.55B | 13.26 | ― | 2.98% | 5.68% | 39.50% | |
75 Outperform | ¥65.20B | 11.95 | ― | 3.87% | 7.05% | 7.82% | |
69 Neutral | ¥55.50B | 11.06 | ― | 3.00% | -0.27% | -7.26% | |
69 Neutral | ¥160.90B | 9.75 | ― | 2.46% | 9.75% | -5.73% | |
62 Neutral | ¥170.53B | 8.65 | ― | 1.81% | 48.87% | 116.60% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
* General Sector Average
JP:8052
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Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Extends Executive Share Remuneration With Treasury Share Disposal
Jul 31, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd., a Japan-based industrial distributor listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, specializes in power transmission products and industrial machinery components for manufacturing and industrial clients. It plays a ...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Expands Director Share Remuneration Trust
Jul 31, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo has decided to continue its share-based remuneration plan for internal directors and delegated executive officers, a scheme originally introduced in 2020, and to extend the associated trust until the end of August 2029. The plan ...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Holds Profit Outlook and Dividend Plan Despite Softer Q1
Jul 31, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo reported consolidated net sales of ¥29.4 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, down 3.5% year on year, with operating profit falling 12.7% to ¥1.33 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent declini...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.