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Orchestra Holdings Inc.
(6533)
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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,034.00
▲(82.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/30/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but mixed financial performance: a strong 2025 rebound in profits and free cash flow is tempered by margin volatility and a sharp rise in leverage. Technicals show a powerful uptrend, but extremely overbought momentum signals elevate short-term downside risk. Valuation is broadly reasonable at ~16.9x earnings, though the low dividend yield offers limited support.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Revenue growth in each of the last three years indicates continued expansion rather than dependence on a single reporting period. This supports a constructive medium-term demand profile and gives the company a broader base from which to sustain investment and improve earnings.
Negative Factors
Margin Volatility
Margins peaked in 2022, then reset lower, while gross margin declined through 2025. This volatility indicates that recent profit recovery may not translate proportionally into durable operating leverage, limiting confidence that the 2025 improvement can be sustained.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Revenue growth in each of the last three years indicates continued expansion rather than dependence on a single reporting period. This supports a constructive medium-term demand profile and gives the company a broader base from which to sustain investment and improve earnings.
Read all positive factors
Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥19.26B
Dividend Yield0.63%
Average Volume (3M)19.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)16.9
Beta (1Y)0.37
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryJP
Employees1,178
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryAdvertising Agencies
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)113.65
Shares Outstanding10,034,200
10 Day Avg. Volume15,790
30 Day Avg. Volume19,853
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.09
Price to Book (P/B)1.65
Price to Sales (P/S)0.68
P/FCF Ratio11.16
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Orchestra Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Orchestra Holdings Inc., a Tokyo-based enterprise established in 2009, specializes in digital transformation, digital marketing, and various other business ventures across Japan. Their comprehensive suite of solutions spans IT engineer services, s...
Orchestra Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
59
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 15.81B | 15.77B | 14.04B | 12.11B | 10.38B | 16.64B |
| Gross Profit | 7.19B | 6.90B | 6.49B | 5.86B | 5.10B | 3.88B |
| EBITDA | 2.11B | 1.82B | 1.36B | 1.40B | 1.72B | 1.45B |
| Net Income | 1.07B | 816.84M | 331.75M | 474.22M | 853.71M | 757.23M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 18.32B | 16.16B | 12.82B | 12.71B | 11.41B | 10.56B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.25B | 3.54B | 3.30B | 3.28B | 3.07B | 4.96B |
| Total Debt | 6.89B | 5.29B | 2.88B | 3.01B | 1.71B | 1.53B |
| Total Liabilities | 11.06B | 9.15B | 6.70B | 6.68B | 5.67B | 5.62B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.72B | 6.50B | 5.68B | 5.63B | 5.33B | 4.47B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.03B | 961.81M | 1.09B | 972.40M | -533.72M | 1.11B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.04B | 1.04B | 1.12B | 1.00B | -484.54M | 1.11B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -692.43M | -1.23B | -380.87M | -2.00B | -1.21B | 166.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 34.83M | 425.10M | -716.78M | 1.20B | -195.42M | 2.26B |
Orchestra Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis
Positive
1116.00
Price Trends
1208.12
Positive
1134.27
Positive
1123.96
Positive
Market Momentum
84.19
Negative
91.03
Negative
95.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6533, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1116 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1217.40, below the 50-day MA of 1208.12, and below the 200-day MA of 1123.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 84.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 91.03 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6533.
Orchestra Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | ¥18.78B | 6.22 | ― | 1.01% | 289.34% | 309.72% | |
71 Outperform | ¥28.73B | 9.62 | ― | 5.43% | 2.87% | 0.74% | |
67 Neutral | ¥9.10B | 16.68 | ― | 2.24% | 10.50% | ― | |
62 Neutral | ¥19.26B | 16.89 | ― | 0.63% | ― | ― | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
51 Neutral | ¥14.67B | -5.30 | ― | 7.05% | -55.40% | -157.50% | |
45 Neutral | ¥9.31B | 4.78 | ― | ― | 10.01% | ― |
* General Sector Average
JP:6533
Orchestra Holdings Inc.
1,881.00
1,114.92
145.54%
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-3.00
-0.58%
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-93.93
-15.79%
Orchestra Holdings Inc. Corporate Events
Orchestra Holdings Doubles Ordinary Dividend and Expands Shareholder Benefits Ahead of 10th Anniversary
Sep 25, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. has approved an expansion of its shareholder benefit program and a substantial upward revision to its year-end dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. The move underscores management’s commitme...
Orchestra Holdings Delivers Profit Surge and Sharpens DM/DX Growth Strategy
Sep 7, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported modest revenue growth for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 but delivered strong profit expansion, with operating profit up 26.7% year on year and profit attributable to owners of the parent climbing 36.5%. Progres...
Orchestra Holdings to Make Sharing Innovations a Wholly Owned Subsidiary via Share Exchange
Aug 26, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. will convert its group company Sharing Innovations Inc. into a wholly owned subsidiary through a share exchange, using previously acquired treasury shares instead of issuing new stock. The move is designed to integrate mana...
Orchestra Holdings to Take Sharing Innovations Private in DX-Focused Restructuring
Aug 25, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. will acquire full ownership of its listed subsidiary Sharing Innovations Inc. through a simplified share exchange, with the deal expected to take effect on November 30, 2026. As part of the transaction, Sharing Innovations&...
Orchestra Holdings Boosts Profits and Ups Dividend as Assets Grow
Aug 14, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported largely flat revenue of ¥7.8 billion for the first six months of 2026, but delivered a strong improvement in profitability, with operating profit up 26.7% and profit attributable to owners of parent rising 36....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.