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Oriental Chain Mfg. Co., Ltd.
(6380)
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Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,435.00
▲(13.93% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/24/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow quality and sharply compressed recent operating margins, alongside meaningful leverage that increases sensitivity to profitability swings. Technicals are mixed with negative momentum despite longer-term support above the 100/200-day averages. Valuation is a headwind due to a high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Long-term Revenue Growth
Revenue growth across the 2021–2026 cycle indicates that the company has retained demand for its chain and power-transmission products over time. Although the latest increase was modest, the broader expansion provides a foundation for maintaining scale and supporting future operating improvement.
Negative Factors
Sharp Margin Compression
The sharp decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins shows that recent revenue has translated into substantially less operating profit. With EBIT margin near 0.4%, even modest cost or demand pressure could materially affect earnings, making profitability recovery central to the company’s outlook.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Long-term Revenue Growth
Revenue growth across the 2021–2026 cycle indicates that the company has retained demand for its chain and power-transmission products over time. Although the latest increase was modest, the broader expansion provides a foundation for maintaining scale and supporting future operating improvement.
Read all positive factors
Oriental Chain Mfg. Co., Ltd. (6380) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥6.88B
Dividend Yield0.72%
Average Volume (3M)13.49K
Price to Earnings (P/E)29.9
Beta (1Y)0.46
Revenue Growth-3.76%
EPS Growth165.31%
CountryJP
Employees205
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryManufacturing - Tools & Accessories
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)116.24
Shares Outstanding1,998,733
10 Day Avg. Volume7,720
30 Day Avg. Volume13,486
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.56
Price to Book (P/B)2.26
Price to Sales (P/S)1.18
P/FCF Ratio1.14K
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Oriental Chain Mfg. Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Oriental Chain Mfg. Co., Ltd. specializes in the manufacturing and sale of diverse roller chain products. Its extensive array of offerings encompasses standard, self-lubricating, extra heavy-duty, mini-pitch, and corrosion and heat-resistant chain...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling chain products and related components to customers that incorporate these parts into machines, production equipment, and vehicles. Revenue is generated mainly from product sales (recog...
Oriental Chain Mfg. Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.04B | 4.11B | 4.06B | 4.08B | 3.90B | 3.36B |
| Gross Profit | 831.21M | 742.85M | 780.50M | 777.53M | 633.46M | 574.39M |
| EBITDA | 383.16M | 283.44M | 361.62M | 397.45M | 303.75M | 259.66M |
| Net Income | 172.31M | 126.69M | 100.33M | 149.23M | 93.91M | 28.27M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.10B | 4.90B | 5.15B | 4.67B | 4.23B | 4.11B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 758.88M | 481.45M | 358.34M | 407.18M | 300.26M | 389.45M |
| Total Debt | 1.19B | 1.75B | 2.10B | 1.55B | 1.36B | 1.29B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.21B | 2.75B | 3.29B | 2.94B | 2.68B | 2.66B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.90B | 2.15B | 1.86B | 1.73B | 1.55B | 1.46B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 4.25M | -513.13M | 31.58M | -133.89M | -75.97M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 338.82M | -7.35M | 321.96M | 80.55M | 192.68M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -139.44M | -582.55M | -297.49M | -236.96M | -296.24M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -73.57M | 501.22M | 82.59M | 64.75M | 96.52M |
Oriental Chain Mfg. Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
3015.00
Price Trends
3826.79
Negative
4270.33
Negative
3825.56
Negative
Market Momentum
-98.41
Positive
34.06
Neutral
20.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6380, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3015 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3825.72, below the 50-day MA of 3826.79, and below the 200-day MA of 3825.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -98.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6380.
Oriental Chain Mfg. Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | ¥222.46B | 15.53 | 4.89% | 3.14% | 3.17% | ― | |
73 Outperform | ¥93.89B | 10.75 | ― | 2.59% | 17.28% | 26.43% | |
65 Neutral | ¥129.85B | 22.43 | ― | 1.68% | 20.64% | 186.33% | |
60 Neutral | ¥131.53B | 18.01 | 3.95% | 1.80% | 3.28% | 58.68% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
48 Neutral | ¥6.88B | 29.85 | ― | 0.72% | -3.76% | 165.31% | |
43 Neutral | ¥13.68B | -0.49 | ― | 5.29% | -1.43% | -1450.24% |
* General Sector Average
JP:6380
Oriental Chain Mfg. Co., Ltd.
3,470.00
1,009.56
41.03%
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.