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Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd
(6464)
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Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
¥333.00
▲(1.83% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/19/26
The score is primarily constrained by sharply deteriorated profitability and compressed margins alongside elevated leverage and a weakened equity base, despite a revenue rebound. Technicals add downside pressure as the stock trades below all key moving averages with a negative MACD. Valuation offers limited support because the negative P/E reflects losses and there is no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
TTM Revenue Rebound
The top-line rebound indicates recovering demand across the company’s precision-component markets. Sustained volume recovery would improve factory utilization and operating leverage, although profitability must recover for revenue growth to translate into durable earnings.
Negative Factors
Severe Profitability Compression
The sharp margin decline indicates substantial cost pressure and weak pricing power, limiting the benefit of the revenue rebound. Persistently negative operating results could constrain investment, weaken customer confidence, and delay earnings recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
TTM Revenue Rebound
The top-line rebound indicates recovering demand across the company’s precision-component markets. Sustained volume recovery would improve factory utilization and operating leverage, although profitability must recover for revenue growth to translate into durable earnings.
Read all positive factors
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd (6464) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥13.88B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)339.09K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.05
Revenue Growth-1.43%
EPS Growth-1450.24%
CountryJP
Employees2,447
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryManufacturing - Metal Fabrication
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-675.50
Shares Outstanding41,599,600
10 Day Avg. Volume261,480
30 Day Avg. Volume339,086
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.37
Price to Sales (P/S)0.20
P/FCF Ratio1.58
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)128.37
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥86.50B
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd., a global enterprise established in 1934 and headquartered in Katsuragi, Japan, specializes in the production and worldwide distribution of high-precision industrial components. The company operates through its principa...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling precision steel balls and related bearing/precision components to other businesses (B2B). Its core revenue stream comes from product sales of steel balls (a key input for ball bearings...
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 70.64B | 69.84B | 75.92B | 80.34B | 79.04B | 67.93B |
| Gross Profit | 4.24B | 3.25B | 10.52B | 13.16B | 7.76B | 13.61B |
| EBITDA | -5.35B | -18.12B | 6.56B | 4.58B | -4.81B | 9.38B |
| Net Income | -26.15B | -26.99B | 912.00M | -1.29B | -9.09B | 3.55B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 154.51B | 151.70B | 174.72B | 166.08B | 159.89B | 157.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 34.98B | 34.63B | 23.06B | 23.00B | 24.12B | 32.52B |
| Total Debt | 94.12B | 94.96B | 93.52B | 91.32B | 89.14B | 84.99B |
| Total Liabilities | 115.42B | 114.42B | 113.21B | 111.94B | 109.76B | 103.81B |
| Stockholders Equity | 39.09B | 37.27B | 61.47B | 54.11B | 50.10B | 53.34B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 4.38B | 8.65B | 1.17B | -3.37B | -9.79B | 3.87B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 6.54B | 10.52B | 4.87B | 1.41B | -4.14B | 6.26B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 1.88B | 1.12B | -3.80B | -4.89B | -3.50B | -2.28B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -935.00M | -1.30B | -1.91B | 1.39B | -1.76B | 12.95B |
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Technical Analysis
Negative
327.00
Price Trends
380.14
Negative
364.64
Negative
357.19
Negative
Market Momentum
-9.67
Positive
42.37
Neutral
59.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6464, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 327 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 357.70, below the 50-day MA of 380.14, and below the 200-day MA of 357.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6464.
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | ¥345.20B | 15.25 | 11.26% | 2.47% | 12.95% | 66.36% | |
70 Outperform | ¥256.45B | 13.66 | ― | 2.33% | 23.70% | 56.28% | |
64 Neutral | ¥282.12B | 29.20 | ― | 1.17% | 39.69% | 58.96% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
63 Neutral | ¥430.62B | 17.90 | 10.72% | 2.77% | 11.79% | 146.87% | |
60 Neutral | ¥135.33B | 19.41 | 3.95% | 2.30% | 3.28% | 58.68% | |
43 Neutral | ¥13.88B | -0.51 | ― | ― | -1.43% | -1450.24% |
* Industrials Sector Average
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Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd Corporate Events
Tsubaki Nakashima Secures Waiver After Breaching Loan Covenants
Aug 10, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima disclosed that it breached certain financial covenants on a loan agreement totaling 42,547 million yen as of June 30, 2026, related to required levels of consolidated net assets and the avoidance of operating losses. The company ...
Tsubaki Nakashima Releases 1H FY2026 Results and Strategy Update
Aug 10, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima has released its first-half fiscal 2026 financial results presentation, which also reviews progress under its Mid-Term Business Plan for 2025–2029. The materials, presented in English as a translation of the original Japane...
Tsubaki Nakashima lifts profits but stays in loss as it targets 2026 turnaround
Aug 10, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. is a Japan-based manufacturer listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that operates under IFRS standards. The company is known for precision components, particularly balls and related products used in industrial and automoti...
Tsubaki Nakashima Overhauls Structure, Cuts Management to Boost Global Efficiency
Jun 2, 2026
Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. has approved a major organizational restructuring that will abolish its existing region- and product-based Business Unit system in favor of a global function-based structure built around Commercial, Operations, Finance,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.