TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. (6166) AI Stock Analysis

JP:6166

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:6166)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:JPY 484.00â–¼(-2.02% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/07/26

The score is held back primarily by weak technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and low-quality valuation signals (negative P/E). Financials provide partial support due to improved 2026 leverage and cash flow, but multi-year volatility and questions around the durability of earnings limit the upside.

Positive Factors
Leverage ImprovementThe sharp reduction in leverage materially improves financial flexibility and lowers refinancing risk. A lightly indebted balance sheet gives Nakamura Choukou more capacity to withstand demand weakness, preserve liquidity, and fund operations without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Revenue VolatilityLarge year-to-year revenue swings make planning and resource allocation less predictable and weaken confidence in a steady growth trajectory. Uneven demand or execution can reduce operating leverage, create earnings volatility, and make future cash generation harder to forecast.

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. (6166) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%JP:6166+72.13%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 5.44B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
113.29K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-70.2
Beta (1Y)
1.52
Revenue Growth
-7.77%
EPS Growth
-139.27%
Country
Japan
Employees
58
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Sakai, Japan, in 1954, Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. is a comprehensive developer, manufacturer, and distributor of cutting-edge industrial products. Its core operations encompass precision equipment, specialized components for chemical f...

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Latest year shows a meaningful reset with much lower leverage and strong operating/free cash flow, reducing near-term financial risk. Offsetting this, revenue and profitability have been highly volatile across years, and 2026 net profitability appears partly supported by non-operating factors alongside compressed gross margins.

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.51B2.64B2.77B2.41B3.32B4.04B
Gross Profit662.63M678.97M643.26M386.42M999.04M1.26B
EBITDA486.54M242.44M44.55M760.27M31.60M-41.20M
Net Income198.74M-32.79M276.30M144.17M-124.47M-257.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.30B5.37B1.71B6.03B4.70B5.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.37B1.31B1.08B1.50B2.00B2.93B
Total Debt2.88B2.92B46.99M3.18B2.50B2.78B
Total Liabilities4.25B4.55B612.93M5.17B3.99B5.06B
Stockholders Equity1.05B819.76M1.10B854.90M714.97M840.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow073.88M379.20M-1.13B-561.70M-345.30M
Operating Cash Flow0123.40M394.02M642.00M-81.99M175.23M
Investing Cash Flow0-45.24M1.67B-1.77B-470.68M-520.07M
Financing Cash Flow0-263.40M-2.30B609.54M-378.40M228.49M

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price494.00

Price Trends

50DMA609.14Negative
100DMA632.52Negative
200DMA649.02Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-34.36Positive
RSI27.94Positive
STOCH34.24Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6166, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 494.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 544.75, below the 50-day MA of 609.14, and below the 200-day MA of 649.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -34.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.94 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6166.

Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:6166 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6149JP:614978OutperformJPY 11.87B5.70―3.48%-13.80%6.13%
JP:6402JP:640276OutperformJPY 8.71B7.51―4.72%4.59%34.39%
JP:6384JP:638472OutperformJPY 9.99B14.08―4.32%-2.00%15.23%
JP:6496JP:649658NeutralJPY 16.77B10.41―2.34%13.02%15.94%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:6166JP:616646NeutralJPY 5.44B-70.17――-7.77%-139.27%
JP:6495JP:649544NeutralJPY 5.19B60.49―1.98%9.69%29.00%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%JP:6166JP:6149JP:6384JP:6402JP:6495JP:6496Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:6166 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6166Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd.494.00207.0072.13%
JP:6149Odawara Engineering Co., Ltd.2014.00-487.20-19.48%
JP:6384SHOWA SHINKU CO., LTD.1622.00239.3417.31%
JP:6402Kanematsu Engineering Co., Ltd.1567.00111.577.67%
JP:6495Miyairi Valve Mfg.Co., Ltd.101.00-11.95-10.58%
JP:6496Nakakita Seisakusho Co., Ltd.4695.00-1430.28-23.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2026