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Rinnai (5947) AI Stock Analysis

JP:5947

Rinnai

(TSE/TYO:5947)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:JPY 4,070.00â–²(16.29% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is primarily driven by strong financial fundamentals—especially a very low-leverage balance sheet and steady revenue/profitability—tempered by a history of free cash flow volatility. Technical indicators are neutral overall, and valuation is reasonable with a supportive dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue and Profit GrowthSustained revenue expansion and strong EPS growth indicate continued demand for Rinnai’s appliance portfolio. This supports scale, strengthens earnings capacity, and provides a durable base for investment across replacement, renovation, and new-construction markets.
Negative Factors
Volatile Free Cash FlowLarge year-to-year swings in free cash flow indicate that capital spending or working-capital requirements can materially affect cash returns. This reduces predictability and may constrain shareholder distributions or discretionary investment in weaker periods.

Rinnai (5947) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:5947+5.90%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.01B
Dividend Yield
2.94%
Average Volume (3M)
353.27K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.4
Beta (1Y)
0.41
Revenue Growth
3.53%
EPS Growth
25.11%
Country
Japan
Employees
11,328
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Rinnai Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rinnai Corporation, established in Nagoya, Japan in 1920 (and known as Rinnai & Co. until its name change in 1971), is a global leader in the development, manufacturing, and sales of a wide array of heating and kitchen appliances. The company distrib...

How the Company Makes Money

Rinnai primarily makes money by selling gas-fired appliances and hot-water/heating systems to residential and commercial customers through distributors, installers, homebuilders, and retail/wholesale channels. The core revenue stream is product sales...

Rinnai Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall financial profile supported by steady revenue growth and solid profitability, plus a very conservatively financed balance sheet (minimal leverage). The main offset is historically volatile free cash flow (including negative FCF in 2023), though cash generation recovered in 2024–2026.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue464.61B460.32B470.39B430.19B425.23B366.19B
Gross Profit160.08B151.61B159.04B133.79B135.02B113.69B
EBITDA69.55B65.44B74.70B60.88B58.00B50.96B
Net Income33.36B29.69B36.16B26.67B26.10B23.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets586.17B606.59B649.57B577.09B547.11B512.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments178.64B176.81B185.12B155.67B158.62B185.49B
Total Debt24.93B3.53B12.80B3.76B2.69B2.06B
Total Liabilities134.46B144.87B155.44B139.65B139.91B134.01B
Stockholders Equity403.07B405.85B437.25B387.77B364.15B343.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow040.66B34.41B6.60B-6.56B8.47B
Operating Cash Flow057.50B49.30B43.35B19.39B28.70B
Investing Cash Flow0-22.68B-30.91B-19.97B-30.09B-25.49B
Financing Cash Flow0-26.50B-21.93B-23.66B-21.31B-27.11B

Rinnai Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price3500.00

Price Trends

50DMA3450.52Positive
100DMA3483.07Positive
200DMA3595.26Negative

Market Momentum

MACD13.86Negative
RSI57.79Neutral
STOCH38.38Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5947, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3500.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3421.15, above the 50-day MA of 3450.52, and below the 200-day MA of 3595.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 13.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5947.

Rinnai Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:5947 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5951JP:595182OutperformJPY 20.23B12.99―2.24%-0.29%21.56%
JP:6484JP:648473OutperformJPY 17.42B8.49―3.70%3.70%-9.08%
JP:5947JP:594773OutperformJPY 489.66B13.368.60%2.94%3.53%25.11%
JP:7981JP:798172OutperformJPY 188.94B13.17―4.24%1.75%7.95%
JP:5946JP:594668NeutralJPY 65.70B22.332.20%2.31%-1.15%31.88%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:5909JP:590953NeutralJPY 26.22B27.30―3.11%-0.78%37.24%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:5947JP:5946JP:5909JP:5951JP:6484JP:7981Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5947 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5947Rinnai Corporation3500.00100.882.97%
JP:5946Chofu Seisakusho Co 1991.0080.014.19%
JP:5909Corona Corporation900.0022.752.59%
JP:5951Dainichi Co., Ltd.1250.00350.3338.94%
JP:6484KVK Corporation2161.00-56.71-2.56%
JP:7981Takara Standard Co., Ltd3020.00633.6826.55%

Rinnai Corporate Events

Rinnai to Use Treasury Stock for Employee Restricted Share Plan

Aug 6, 2026

Rinnai will dispose of up to 224,010 shares of its treasury stock as restricted stock to its Employee Shareholding Association on October 16, 2026, at a price of ¥3,500 per share, with a maximum disposal value of about ¥784 million. The act...

Rinnai Balances Strong Sales Growth With Margin Pressure, Lifts Dividend Outlook

Aug 6, 2026

Rinnai reported consolidated net sales of ¥113.67 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, up 10.6% year on year, while operating income fell 5.2% to ¥9.20 billion and ordinary income slipped 3.5%. Net income attributable to owners of t...

Rinnai Completes Restricted Stock Treasury Share Disposal for Executive Compensation

Jul 24, 2026

Rinnai Corporation has completed the payment process for the disposal of 16,864 treasury shares, which were granted as restricted stock compensation to internal directors and executive officers. The shares, disposed of at ¥3,543 each for a total...

Rinnai to Grant Restricted Treasury Shares to Management Under Incentive Plan

Jun 26, 2026

Rinnai Corporation has approved the disposal of 16,864 treasury shares as part of its restricted stock compensation plan for internal directors and executive officers, with a total value of about ¥59.7 million and a disposal price set in line wi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026