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Rebase, Inc. (JP:5138)
:5138
Japanese Market
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Rebase, Inc. (5138) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5138

Rebase, Inc.

(5138)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥461.00
▼(-47.61% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/10/26
The score is held back primarily by the latest year’s sharp margin compression and the swing to negative free cash flow, which raise questions about earnings durability and cash conversion. Balance-sheet strength and continued revenue growth provide support, but technical indicators are mostly neutral and the very high P/E leaves little room for operational missteps.
Positive Factors
Continued revenue growth
Continued annual revenue growth shows that the business is still expanding its topline despite weaker profitability. Sustained sales growth can support future operating leverage and provide a foundation for recovery if cost intensity moderates over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp margin compression
The steep decline in net margin demonstrates that recent revenue growth has not translated into durable bottom-line performance. Continued margin pressure could reduce earnings resilience, limit internal reinvestment, and make future results more sensitive to changes in operating costs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Continued revenue growth
Continued annual revenue growth shows that the business is still expanding its topline despite weaker profitability. Sustained sales growth can support future operating leverage and provide a foundation for recovery if cost intensity moderates over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Rebase, Inc. (5138) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Rebase, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Rebase, Inc. operates a rental space reservation platform in Japan. It develops and operates instabase, an online marketplace platform that matches people who want to use the space with people who want to rent the space. Rebase, Inc. was incorpora...

Rebase, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Revenue continues to grow (+8.6% YoY), and the business retains very high gross margins (~95%+), supported by a low-leverage balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.08). Offsetting this, profitability deteriorated sharply (net margin down to ~3.4% from ~18.8%) and cash generation weakened materially as free cash flow turned negative (-52.7m) after being strongly positive in prior years.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.01B2.18B1.93B1.49B1.16B890.24M
Gross Profit1.94B2.07B1.85B1.43B1.14B871.80M
EBITDA492.89M146.35M529.56M370.29M274.37M216.14M
Net Income344.65M74.49M362.92M228.78M158.49M139.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.78B2.27B1.96B1.47B1.08B796.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.20B1.19B1.54B1.12B792.63M553.48M
Total Debt0.00100.00M0.000.000.0097.48M
Total Liabilities529.84M988.85M581.85M495.57M339.03M383.20M
Stockholders Equity1.25B1.28B1.38B970.73M740.85M413.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-52.66M455.14M333.66M174.06M171.86M
Operating Cash Flow0.0053.51M461.14M374.76M221.81M249.47M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-331.53M-91.09M-43.56M-47.75M-121.75M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-70.75M46.61M1.09M65.10M1.09M

Rebase, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price880.00
Price Trends
50DMA
448.84
Negative
100DMA
431.86
Negative
200DMA
548.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.74
Positive
RSI
32.55
Neutral
STOCH
6.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5138, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 880 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 435.35, above the 50-day MA of 448.84, and above the 200-day MA of 548.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5138.

Rebase, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥30.78B13.49―3.32%12.93%27.79%
72
Outperform
¥7.34B17.75――9.63%30.86%
69
Neutral
¥7.25B10.25―3.73%-6.94%-37.68%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
¥2.01B149.27―2.40%12.22%-96.26%
50
Neutral
¥3.42B-11.53――10.56%-436.94%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5138
Rebase, Inc.
409.00
-778.00
-65.54%
JP:3674
Aucfan Co., Ltd.
323.00
-18.00
-5.28%
JP:3922
PR TIMES Corporation
2,266.00
-695.77
-23.49%
JP:3981
Beaglee Inc.
1,197.00
-14.22
-1.17%
JP:4176
coconala Inc.
305.00
-42.00
-12.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 10, 2026