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Fines, Inc. (5125) AI Stock Analysis

JP:5125

Fines, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:5125)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:JPY 509.00â–²(4.95% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

The score is held back primarily by deteriorating fundamentals—sharp margin compression and a shift to negative operating/free cash flow in 2026—despite a still-manageable balance sheet. Technicals are a key support, with the stock trading above major moving averages and strong MACD momentum. Valuation is a moderate drag due to a relatively high P/E and no dividend yield provided.

Positive Factors
Strong Gross MarginsGross margins of approximately 79–84% indicate that the company retains substantial value after direct costs. This provides a durable economic base for funding operations and product investment, although maintaining that advantage will depend on controlling the costs below gross profit.
Negative Factors
Severe Margin CompressionThe sharp decline in net margin shows that revenue is converting into substantially less profit than in earlier periods. Similar weakness in operating profitability points to a persistent cost or efficiency problem, reducing earnings quality and limiting internally funded growth.

Fines, Inc. (5125) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:5125-20.75%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.17B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
8,648
Price to Earnings (P/E)
26.0
Beta (1Y)
0.23
Revenue Growth
2.73%
EPS Growth
-75.37%
Country
Japan
Employees
256
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Software - Application

Fines, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 2009 and headquartered in Shibuya, Japan, Fines Inc. delivers comprehensive video creation and live streaming solutions. The company serves a diverse clientele, ranging from large corporate entities to independent business owners. Its...

Fines, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials have weakened materially. Profitability compressed sharply (net margin down to ~2% in 2026) and cash generation deteriorated further with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2026. The balance sheet remains generally solid, but renewed leverage in 2026 adds risk alongside falling returns on equity.

Income Statement

57Neutral

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

41Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.57B2.76B2.69B2.76B2.91B2.60B
Gross Profit2.07B2.18B2.12B2.24B2.44B2.10B
EBITDA282.16M209.77M396.79M376.59M769.72M612.32M
Net Income147.73M58.90M233.71M238.89M510.03M420.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.49B3.54B2.74B2.58B2.39B1.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.82B1.74B1.96B1.76B1.74B965.36M
Total Debt735.81M715.12M00020.00M
Total Liabilities1.29B1.33B548.97M567.08M638.79M660.27M
Stockholders Equity2.20B2.21B2.19B2.01B1.75B818.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-56.56M276.11M8.05M458.45M559.52M
Operating Cash Flow0-52.52M278.68M151.31M464.85M561.61M
Investing Cash Flow0-790.06M-18.25M-141.28M-83.34M-3.40M
Financing Cash Flow0621.19M-61.48M15.96M390.30M-460.01M

Fines, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price485.00

Price Trends

50DMA521.98Negative
100DMA496.37Negative
200DMA581.96Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-9.44Positive
RSI35.72Neutral
STOCH3.30Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5125, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 485.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 572.10, below the 50-day MA of 521.98, and below the 200-day MA of 581.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5125.

Fines, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5125 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4816JP:481682OutperformJPY 632.96B23.93―1.45%-1.55%-1.56%
JP:3791JP:379167NeutralJPY 21.52B28.54―0.79%8.53%-8.74%
JP:4712JP:471266NeutralJPY 17.71B16.13―1.07%7.82%-52.34%
JP:4308JP:430865NeutralJPY 8.75B16.83―3.98%5.15%3.20%
JP:5125JP:512560NeutralJPY 2.26B25.96――2.73%-75.37%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3686JP:368637UnderperformJPY 2.35B-3.44――-24.70%-80.94%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:5125JP:3686JP:3791JP:4308JP:4712JP:4816Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5125 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5125Fines, Inc.485.00-127.00-20.75%
JP:3686DLE, Inc.54.00-70.00-56.45%
JP:3791IG Port, Inc.1070.00-371.27-25.76%
JP:4308J-Stream Inc.352.004.371.26%
JP:4712KeyHolder, Inc.935.00240.9034.71%
JP:4816Toei Animation Co., Ltd.3030.00177.186.21%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026