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Fines, Inc. (JP:5125)
:5125
Japanese Market
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Fines, Inc. (5125) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5125

Fines, Inc.

(5125)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
¥479.00
▼(-34.20% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/19/26
The score is primarily held back by deteriorating fundamentals—especially the drop in profitability and the shift to negative operating and free cash flow in 2026—alongside a modest increase in leverage. Technicals are neutral with some longer-term downtrend pressure, and valuation appears only middling (P/E ~25.6 with no dividend yield provided), offering limited offset to the fundamental risks.
Positive Factors
Strong Gross Margins
Very high gross margins indicate that the core offering retains meaningful pricing power or delivery efficiency. This provides a durable buffer for investment and recovery, although operating-cost control is needed to convert that strength into earnings.
Negative Factors
Sharp Profitability Compression
The steep and multi-year decline in net and operating profitability indicates that strong gross margins are no longer translating into earnings. Unless overhead or other operating costs are reset, the weakened margin structure could persist and reduce earnings quality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Gross Margins
Very high gross margins indicate that the core offering retains meaningful pricing power or delivery efficiency. This provides a durable buffer for investment and recovery, although operating-cost control is needed to convert that strength into earnings.
Read all positive factors

Fines, Inc. (5125) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Fines, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Established in 2009 and headquartered in Shibuya, Japan, Fines Inc. delivers comprehensive video creation and live streaming solutions. The company serves a diverse clientele, ranging from large corporate entities to independent business owners. I...

Fines, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is pressured by a sharp profitability decline (net margin down to ~2% in 2026) and a deterioration in cash generation (negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2026). While gross margins remain very strong and the balance sheet is generally solid, renewed leverage in 2026 and falling returns on equity signal weakened earnings quality and capital efficiency.
Income Statement
57
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.57B2.76B2.69B2.76B2.91B2.60B
Gross Profit2.07B2.18B2.12B2.24B2.44B2.10B
EBITDA282.16M209.77M396.79M376.59M769.72M612.32M
Net Income147.73M58.90M233.71M238.89M510.03M420.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.49B3.54B2.74B2.58B2.39B1.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.82B1.74B1.96B1.76B1.74B965.36M
Total Debt735.81M715.12M0.000.000.0020.00M
Total Liabilities1.29B1.33B548.97M567.08M638.79M660.27M
Stockholders Equity2.20B2.21B2.19B2.01B1.75B818.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-56.56M276.11M8.05M458.45M559.52M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-52.52M278.68M151.31M464.85M561.61M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-790.06M-18.25M-141.28M-83.34M-3.40M
Financing Cash Flow0.00621.19M-61.48M15.96M390.30M-460.01M

Fines, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price728.00
Price Trends
50DMA
472.84
Negative
100DMA
509.68
Negative
200DMA
604.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.27
Positive
RSI
47.71
Neutral
STOCH
66.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5125, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 728 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 474.00, above the 50-day MA of 472.84, and above the 200-day MA of 604.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5125.

Fines, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
¥635.05B23.821.12%-1.08%9.95%
75
Outperform
¥15.59B14.231.40%7.82%-52.34%
65
Neutral
¥8.93B16.373.92%3.36%-0.60%
59
Neutral
¥21.52B31.611.11%-3.66%-23.02%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
51
Neutral
¥2.19B25.272.73%-75.37%
41
Neutral
¥2.61B-3.82-24.70%-80.94%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5125
Fines, Inc.
472.00
-166.00
-26.02%
JP:3686
DLE, Inc.
60.00
-79.00
-56.83%
JP:3791
IG Port, Inc.
1,048.00
-414.98
-28.37%
JP:4308
J-Stream Inc.
358.00
-7.93
-2.17%
JP:4712
KeyHolder, Inc.
825.00
92.45
12.62%
JP:4816
Toei Animation Co., Ltd.
3,015.00
37.16
1.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2026