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Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.
(5021)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,079.00
▲(21.65% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is driven primarily by attractive valuation (low P/E and ~4% dividend yield) and supportive technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). This is moderated by middling financial performance due to cyclical profitability, material leverage, and inconsistent cash conversion despite improved FY2026 free cash flow.
Positive Factors
Integrated and diversified energy platform
The company spans refining, fuel marketing, petrochemicals, and renewable energy rather than relying on one activity. This broad platform can support customer relationships across the energy value chain, diversify earnings sources, and provide a foundation for adapting as energy demand and regulations evolve.
Negative Factors
Cyclical and weakening earnings profile
The normalization of margins from the FY2022 peak and the latest revenue decline show that earnings power remains exposed to the industry cycle. This makes medium-term profitability less predictable and can reduce the funds available for investment, shareholder returns, or balance-sheet improvement when conditions soften.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated and diversified energy platform
The company spans refining, fuel marketing, petrochemicals, and renewable energy rather than relying on one activity. This broad platform can support customer relationships across the energy value chain, diversify earnings sources, and provide a foundation for adapting as energy demand and regulations evolve.
Read all positive factors
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (5021) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥713.72B
Dividend Yield3.79%
Average Volume (3M)598.81K
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.3
Beta (1Y)0.68
Revenue Growth-0.10%
EPS Growth446.81%
CountryJP
Employees6,675
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)994.50
Shares Outstanding165,041,720
10 Day Avg. Volume555,900
30 Day Avg. Volume598,810
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.28
Price to Book (P/B)1.19
Price to Sales (P/S)0.27
P/FCF Ratio5.97
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥4,643.33Price Target Upside11.22% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)518.37
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥3.06T
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd., operating through its subsidiaries, is an energy enterprise with a presence in Japan and globally. The company's diverse activities are organized into four core segments: Petroleum, Petrochemical, Oil Exploration a...
How the Company Makes Money
Cosmo Energy Holdings makes money primarily through (1) petroleum refining and marketing and (2) related energy and chemical businesses. In refining and marketing, group companies purchase crude oil and other feedstocks, process them at refineries...
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.79T | 2.68T | 2.80T | 2.73T | 2.79T | 2.44T |
| Gross Profit | 455.08B | 336.02B | 298.40B | 311.11B | 312.25B | 370.74B |
| EBITDA | 330.92B | 209.29B | 187.38B | 215.00B | 213.54B | 271.95B |
| Net Income | 160.06B | 74.02B | 57.67B | 82.06B | 67.94B | 138.89B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.55T | 2.20T | 2.16T | 2.21T | 2.12T | 1.94T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 130.50B | 165.90B | 217.68B | 117.30B | 168.91B | 80.33B |
| Total Debt | 551.33B | 596.77B | 697.81B | 698.89B | 777.82B | 681.84B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.74T | 1.46T | 1.45T | 1.49T | 1.46T | 1.35T |
| Stockholders Equity | 676.92B | 606.22B | 584.78B | 601.16B | 527.89B | 456.20B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 121.26B | 43.36B | 96.42B | -45.08B | 58.89B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 213.78B | 137.21B | 178.01B | 8.23B | 108.46B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -82.34B | -145.46B | -28.33B | -79.06B | -67.61B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -84.33B | -69.34B | -108.69B | 78.91B | -42.04B |
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
4175.00
Price Trends
4236.12
Positive
3986.24
Positive
4106.81
Positive
Market Momentum
6.40
Negative
59.57
Neutral
88.30
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5021, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4175 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4184.40, below the 50-day MA of 4236.12, and above the 200-day MA of 4106.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5021.
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | ¥260.64B | 11.88 | ― | 2.99% | -3.25% | 28.06% | |
72 Outperform | ¥3.90T | 5.70 | 20.51% | 2.32% | 2.30% | 437.64% | |
71 Outperform | ¥1.93T | 4.98 | 21.79% | 2.28% | -2.72% | 3087.62% | |
71 Outperform | ¥147.38B | 16.25 | ― | 2.61% | -0.31% | -25.03% | |
69 Neutral | ¥713.72B | 4.35 | ― | 3.79% | -0.10% | 446.81% | |
67 Neutral | ¥72.45B | 15.48 | ― | 1.64% | -2.76% | 56.84% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
* General Sector Average
JP:5021
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.
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24.63%
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Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Cosmo Energy Extends Share-Based Pay Plan for Group Executives
Aug 6, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has approved detailed terms for the continuation of its share-based compensation plan covering certain directors and executive officers at the holding company and three core operating subsidiaries. The plan uses a trust struc...
Cosmo Energy’s Q1 Profit Surges as Strong Start Offsets Cautious Outlook
Aug 6, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings reported a sharp rebound in earnings for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027, with net sales up 17.4% to ¥761.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent surging to ¥84.0 billion fro...
Cosmo Energy Details Ties With Iwatani as Hydrogen Alliance Deepens
Jun 29, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has clarified its relationship with Iwatani Corporation, which holds 22.21 percent of its voting rights and is classified as an other affiliated company, while emphasizing that it maintains independent management without oper...
Cosmo Energy sets Vision 2035 with new medium-term plan
Jun 18, 2026
Cosmo Energy Holdings has set a new long-term “Vision 2035” and unveiled its 8th Consolidated Medium-Term Management Plan for fiscal years 2026 to 2028, positioning itself to integrate oil operations with next-generation energy. The co...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.