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Idemitsu Kosan Co Ltd (JP:5019)
:5019
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Idemitsu Kosan Co (5019) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5019

Idemitsu Kosan Co

(5019)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,153.00
▲(8.67% Upside)
Idemitsu Kosan Co's strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators are offset by high valuation concerns. The stock's overbought technical signals and high P/E ratio suggest caution, despite solid cash flow and revenue growth.

Idemitsu Kosan Co (5019) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Idemitsu Kosan Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIdemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. operates in petroleum, basic chemicals, functional materials, power and renewable energy, and resources businesses in Japan and internationally. The company's Petroleum segment engages in the procurement of crude oil and refining of petroleum products; sale of gasoline, diesel oil, kerosene, automotive lubricants, industrial kerosene, heavy oil, and aviation and marine fuel; and operation of hydrogen stations. Its Basic Chemicals segment manufactures and sells olefins, such as ethylene, propylene, and butadiene; aromatics, including benzene, styrene monomer, mixed xylene, and paraxylene; and other chemicals. The company's Functional Materials segment researches, develops, manufactures, and sells automotive, industrial, and marine lubricants, as well as grease; engineering plastic, adhesive materials, derivative products, and solvents; electronic materials, such as OLED; asphalt; microbial pesticides, soil amendments, and livestock related materials; and solid state lithium ion battery materials. Its Power and Renewable Energy segment operates thermal power plants; develops and operates renewable energy sources, including solar, wind, and biomass power plants; engages in the supply, wholesale, and retail of electric power; researches, develops, and manufactures CIS thin-film solar modules; and sells solar power systems. The company's Resources segments explores, develops, and produces oil and gas; produces and sells coal and uranium; operates geothermal power plants; and sale of electric power and steam. Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyIdemitsu Kosan generates revenue primarily through the refining and sale of petroleum products, which include gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. The company operates oil refineries that process crude oil into these products, contributing significantly to its revenue. Additionally, Idemitsu produces a range of petrochemical products, which are essential for various industries, including plastics and synthetic fibers. Revenue is also derived from the sale of lubricants and specialty products. The company has established strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, particularly in overseas markets. Furthermore, Idemitsu is increasingly investing in renewable energy projects, which are expected to diversify its income sources and contribute to long-term growth.

Idemitsu Kosan Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Idemitsu Kosan Co exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and substantial cash flow generation. However, fluctuations in profitability margins and moderate leverage indicate areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Idemitsu Kosan Co has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with a compound increase in total revenue over recent years. However, gross and net profit margins have shown fluctuations, indicating variable profitability. The net profit margin has decreased in the latest year, reflecting potential challenges in cost management or market conditions. Despite this, the company maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, underscoring operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio indicates a moderate level of leverage, which suggests a balanced approach to financing through debt and equity. Return on Equity (ROE) has decreased, reflecting pressure on profitability. The equity ratio has improved slightly, indicating a stable capital structure, though the overall liabilities remain substantial.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Idemitsu Kosan Co's cash flow statements reveal strong operational cash flow performance, particularly in the latest year. Free cash flow has shown significant growth, suggesting effective management of capital expenditures and cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates healthy cash conversion, which is crucial for sustaining operations and funding growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.77T9.19T8.72T9.46T6.69T4.56T
Gross Profit548.49B689.41B847.12B794.02B884.18B559.03B
EBITDA79.25B280.17B455.57B477.47B513.55B247.85B
Net Income14.28B104.05B228.52B253.65B279.50B34.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.39T4.78T5.01T4.87T4.60T3.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments126.20B165.76B139.32B105.19B140.28B131.34B
Total Debt1.22T1.20T1.30T1.46T1.34T1.28T
Total Liabilities2.68T3.04T3.20T3.24T3.16T2.74T
Stockholders Equity1.68T1.72T1.80T1.61T1.41T1.15T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00390.19B300.27B-123.32B38.66B37.64B
Operating Cash Flow0.00476.74B377.39B-32.84B146.11B170.47B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-111.41B-65.81B70.08B-111.63B-109.85B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-343.45B-280.51B-90.42B-30.00B-56.23B

Idemitsu Kosan Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1061.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1016.21
Positive
100DMA
962.57
Positive
200DMA
954.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
18.96
Negative
RSI
56.91
Neutral
STOCH
70.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5019, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1061 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1040.75, above the 50-day MA of 1016.21, and above the 200-day MA of 954.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 18.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5019.

Idemitsu Kosan Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥119.01B9.802.63%9.10%92.69%
70
Outperform
¥130.53B17.954.90%-0.29%-34.41%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
¥201.60B12.463.40%-4.87%26.27%
64
Neutral
¥63.86B20.971.40%-6.97%
63
Neutral
$1.40T110.050.82%3.39%-4.23%-95.01%
62
Neutral
$2.67T20.76-3.19%2.83%-12.88%-55.89%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co
1,061.00
61.40
6.14%
JP:5020
ENEOS Holdings
964.60
202.78
26.62%
JP:8097
SAN-AI OBBLI CO. LTD
2,039.00
193.03
10.46%
JP:8131
Mitsuuroko Group Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,108.00
423.66
25.15%
JP:8132
SINANEN HOLDINGS CO.LTD.
6,430.00
227.90
3.67%
JP:8133
ITOCHU ENEX CO., LTD.
1,801.00
209.17
13.14%

Idemitsu Kosan Co Corporate Events

Idemitsu Kosan Announces Tender Offer for Fuji Oil Shares
Sep 11, 2025

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has announced a tender offer to acquire additional shares of Fuji Oil Company, Ltd., aiming to increase its ownership and eventually delist the company from the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This strategic move is intended to strengthen Idemitsu’s position in the oil refining market, ensuring stable crude oil supply and enhancing corporate value through a sustainable relationship with key stakeholders, including the Government of Saudi Arabia.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5019) stock is a Hold with a Yen1100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Idemitsu Kosan Co stock, see the JP:5019 Stock Forecast page.

Idemitsu Kosan Receives Significant Dividend from Subsidiary
Aug 29, 2025

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. has received a substantial dividend of US$ 400 million from its consolidated subsidiary, Idemitsu Asia Pacific Pte. Ltd. This dividend will be recorded as non-operating income in the company’s non-consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ending March 2026, without impacting the consolidated financial statements.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5019) stock is a Hold with a Yen1100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Idemitsu Kosan Co stock, see the JP:5019 Stock Forecast page.

Idemitsu Kosan Reports Significant Earnings Decline
Aug 9, 2025

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. is a Japanese company primarily engaged in the petroleum industry, with operations spanning across basic chemicals, functional materials, power and renewable energy, and resource exploration. In the latest earnings report for the three months ending June 30, 2025, Idemitsu Kosan reported a significant decline in financial performance compared to the previous year. The company’s net sales fell by 18.5% to ¥1,843.0 billion, and it recorded an operating loss of ¥21.0 billion, a stark contrast to the operating income of ¥122.5 billion in the same period last year. Net income attributable to owners of the parent also plummeted by 94.5% to ¥5.2 billion.

Idemitsu Kosan Reports Significant Decline in Q1 2025 Financial Results
Aug 8, 2025

Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the three months ended June 30, 2025, with net sales dropping by 18.5% compared to the previous year. The company experienced a substantial decrease in net income attributable to owners of the parent, falling by 94.5%, indicating challenging market conditions and potential impacts on its operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5019) stock is a Hold with a Yen1200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Idemitsu Kosan Co stock, see the JP:5019 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025