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Idemitsu Kosan Co
(5019)
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Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,834.00
▲(42.95% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/10/26
The score is driven primarily by improving but still cyclical fundamentals (rebounded earnings, healthier leverage, and positive free cash flow tempered by thin margins and volatility). Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but overbought signals reduce the score. Valuation is a clear positive, led by a low P/E and a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improving Balance Sheet
The decline in debt-to-equity and continued equity growth indicate improving financial resilience after heavier leverage in earlier years. A stronger capital structure can support investment, protect liquidity during weaker refining cycles, and give management greater flexibility in allocating capital.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction
The revenue decline shows that recent earnings improvement was not supported by expanding sales. Lower top-line activity can limit operating leverage and make future profit growth more dependent on refining spreads, product mix, and other cyclical factors rather than durable volume expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Balance Sheet
The decline in debt-to-equity and continued equity growth indicate improving financial resilience after heavier leverage in earlier years. A stronger capital structure can support investment, protect liquidity during weaker refining cycles, and give management greater flexibility in allocating capital.
Read all positive factors
Idemitsu Kosan Co (5019) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥1.90T
Dividend Yield2.29%
Average Volume (3M)5.11M
Price to Earnings (P/E)5.0
Beta (1Y)0.75
Revenue Growth-2.72%
EPS Growth3087.62%
CountryJP
Employees14,392
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)315.74
Shares Outstanding1,223,217,500
10 Day Avg. Volume5,217,160
30 Day Avg. Volume5,106,290
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.14
Price to Book (P/B)0.98
Price to Sales (P/S)0.23
P/FCF Ratio7.95
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥1,770.00Price Target Upside37.96% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)151.51
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥9.71T
Idemitsu Kosan Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd., a diversified global energy and materials company founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1911, conducts extensive business operations both domestically and internationally. Its broad portfolio spans petroleum, basic chemicals, high-p...
How the Company Makes Money
Idemitsu Kosan makes money primarily by manufacturing, distributing, and selling energy and chemical products across domestic and international markets. Key revenue streams include: (1) Petroleum refining & fuels sales: The company purchases crude...
Idemitsu Kosan Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 8.53T | 8.11T | 9.19T | 8.72T | 9.46T | 6.69T |
| Gross Profit | 1.09T | 754.49B | 689.41B | 847.12B | 794.02B | 884.18B |
| EBITDA | 678.18B | 345.21B | 280.17B | 455.57B | 477.47B | 513.55B |
| Net Income | 384.18B | 171.91B | 104.05B | 228.52B | 253.65B | 279.50B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 6.06T | 5.33T | 4.78T | 5.01T | 4.87T | 4.60T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 377.66B | 212.31B | 165.76B | 139.32B | 105.19B | 140.28B |
| Total Debt | 2.30T | 1.36T | 1.24T | 1.34T | 1.50T | 1.36T |
| Total Liabilities | 4.38T | 3.38T | 3.04T | 3.20T | 3.24T | 3.16T |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.65T | 1.92T | 1.72T | 1.80T | 1.61T | 1.41T |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 237.56B | 390.19B | 306.53B | -118.41B | 51.37B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 392.43B | 476.74B | 377.39B | -32.84B | 146.11B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -275.73B | -111.41B | -65.81B | 74.81B | -105.60B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -120.83B | -350.56B | -280.51B | -95.15B | -36.03B |
Idemitsu Kosan Co Technical Analysis
Positive
1283.00
Price Trends
1448.42
Positive
1363.60
Positive
1357.77
Positive
Market Momentum
15.03
Positive
53.00
Neutral
36.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5019, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1283 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1587.29, below the 50-day MA of 1448.42, and below the 200-day MA of 1357.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 15.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5019.
Idemitsu Kosan Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | ¥22.89B | 17.05 | ― | 5.01% | 4.47% | 57.49% | |
74 Outperform | ¥257.14B | 11.60 | ― | 2.99% | -3.25% | 28.06% | |
72 Outperform | ¥3.77T | 5.50 | 20.51% | 2.48% | 2.30% | 437.64% | |
71 Outperform | ¥1.90T | 4.98 | 21.79% | 2.32% | -2.72% | 3087.62% | |
71 Outperform | ¥135.74B | 14.70 | ― | 2.74% | -0.31% | -25.03% | |
67 Neutral | ¥72.35B | 15.10 | ― | 1.74% | -2.76% | 56.84% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
* Energy Sector Average
JP:5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co
1,573.00
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Idemitsu Kosan Co Corporate Events
Idemitsu Kosan Books ¥40 Billion Dividend From Asia-Pacific Subsidiary
Sep 2, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd., a leading Japanese energy company listed on the TSE Prime Market, operates in petroleum and fuel-related businesses with a significant international footprint. Its consolidated subsidiary Idemitsu Asia Pacific Pte. Ltd. p...
Idemitsu Kosan Posts Sharp Profit Rebound and Confirms Unchanged Q1 Results
Aug 14, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan reported consolidated revenue of ¥2.27 trillion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 23.8% year-on-year, with operating income rebounding sharply to ¥307.5 billion and income attributable to owners of the parent su...
Idemitsu Kosan Outlines Q1 FY2026 Results and Progress Under Medium-Term Plan
Aug 7, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan released a presentation on its first-quarter FY2026 results, outlining progress under its medium-term management plan and the performance of its petroleum segment. The materials highlight the company’s financial results, volum...
Idemitsu Kosan Posts Profit Surge in Q1 as It Shifts to IFRS, Keeps Dividend Outlook
Aug 7, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan reported a sharp rebound in profitability for the three months ended June 30, 2026, with revenue up 23.8% year on year to ¥2.27 trillion and income attributable to owners of the parent surging more than sevenfold to ¥217.5...
Idemitsu Kosan Completes ¥30 Billion Share Buyback and Sets 2027 Share Cancellation
Jun 11, 2026
Idemitsu Kosan has completed a ¥30 billion share buyback program authorized in November 2025, acquiring a total of 21,393,000 common shares through market purchases between March 18 and June 10, 2026. This tranche included 3,761,100 shares bo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.