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Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (JP:4996)
:4996
Japanese Market
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Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (4996) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4996

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.

(4996)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥683.00
▼(-3.80% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/12/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but not exceptional financial performance (steady revenue growth and operational efficiency offset by weakening margins, rising debt, and volatile free cash flow). Technicals are a headwind with the stock trading below all key moving averages, despite an oversold Stoch reading. Valuation further constrains the score due to the very high P/E, only partially offset by a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates continued demand for Kumiai Chemical’s agrochemical and related chemical offerings. Although the latest increase is moderate, a steadily expanding top line supports market presence, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a foundation for sustained operations over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability Margins
Declining gross and net margins indicate that revenue growth is not translating fully into bottom-line improvement. If this pressure persists, it could reduce retained cash, weaken returns from the company’s established operations, and limit the financial benefit of future sales expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates continued demand for Kumiai Chemical’s agrochemical and related chemical offerings. Although the latest increase is moderate, a steadily expanding top line supports market presence, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a foundation for sustained operations over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (4996) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells agrochemicals in Japan and internationally. The company provides agricultural chemicals, such as herbicides, such as bensulfuron-methyl, bispyribac-sodium, fenoxasulfone, fenquinotrione, py...
How the Company Makes Money
Kumiai Chemical Industry’s earnings are primarily driven by its agrochemicals operations. The company generates revenue by (1) selling crop protection products: this includes sales of proprietary and/or in-licensed agrochemical active ingredients ...

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows steady revenue growth and solid EBIT/EBITDA margins, but declining gross and net margins point to profitability pressure. Balance sheet is stable with a healthy equity ratio, though rising debt and lower ROE are concerns. Cash flow is supported by positive operating cash flow and a strong OCF-to-net income ratio, but free cash flow volatility suggests uneven cash conversion.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue177.38B170.46B161.05B161.00B145.30B118.18B
Gross Profit32.03B36.95B38.13B41.34B37.93B32.53B
EBITDA14.70B17.08B17.28B19.10B17.55B12.74B
Net Income1.06B4.38B13.59B18.02B16.33B9.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets240.81B248.21B275.47B226.94B204.60B169.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.39B21.98B27.40B27.08B22.30B20.05B
Total Debt43.83B51.90B75.10B46.40B35.44B22.90B
Total Liabilities86.09B97.10B122.53B87.09B82.61B59.22B
Stockholders Equity148.19B144.49B145.92B133.03B115.47B103.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.53B25.53B-25.74B-3.93B-8.98B-2.15B
Operating Cash Flow33.80B33.80B-16.73B4.76B-1.16B4.48B
Investing Cash Flow-8.93B-8.93B-8.76B-10.10B-7.82B-5.31B
Financing Cash Flow-27.85B-27.85B23.61B6.86B5.62B439.00M

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price710.00
Price Trends
50DMA
742.18
Negative
100DMA
741.66
Negative
200DMA
729.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-23.64
Positive
RSI
32.98
Neutral
STOCH
29.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4996, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 710 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 729.15, below the 50-day MA of 742.18, and below the 200-day MA of 729.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -23.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4996.

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥47.93B10.09―2.70%7.06%25.11%
71
Outperform
¥96.11B11.11―3.25%7.34%64.60%
70
Outperform
¥31.87B10.06―2.06%9.61%29.07%
68
Neutral
¥18.70B13.33―3.01%5.00%12.19%
57
Neutral
¥9.61B-8.21―1.88%6.44%-308.66%
56
Neutral
¥84.69B77.22―3.54%6.64%-89.22%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4996
Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
678.00
-122.61
-15.31%
JP:1376
Kaneko Seeds Co., Ltd.
1,596.00
123.58
8.39%
JP:4031
Katakura & Co-op Agri Corporation
1,065.00
78.65
7.97%
JP:4979
OAT Agrio Co., Ltd.
2,918.00
481.61
19.77%
JP:4992
Hokko Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
1,960.00
278.39
16.56%
JP:4997
Nihon Nohyaku Co., Ltd.
1,170.00
180.71
18.27%

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Kumiai Chemical to Adopt Audit and Supervisory Committee Structure
Sep 11, 2026
Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. has resolved at its Board of Directors meeting to transition to a company with an Audit and Supervisory Committee, subject to shareholder approval at the 78th Annual General Meeting scheduled for January 28, 2027...
Kumiai Chemical to Fully Integrate Three Key Subsidiaries via Share Exchanges
Sep 11, 2026
Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. has resolved to make three consolidated subsidiaries—Ihara Construction Industry, KUMIKA LOGISTICS, and Nihon Printing Industry—wholly owned units via simplified share exchanges. The move formalizes e...
Kumiai Chemical Raises Sales Outlook but Slashes Profit Forecast on AXEEV Price Hit
Sep 11, 2026
Kumiai Chemical Industry has revised its full-year consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, projecting higher net sales of 175 billion yen, up 8% from its previous estimate, driven by stronger performance in its Agricultu...
Kumiai Chemical’s Q3 Sales Rise but Profits Hit by AXEEV Price Decline
Sep 11, 2026
Kumiai Chemical Industry reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales of ¥141.4 billion, up 5% year on year, driven by higher revenues in agricultural chemicals and fine chemicals, including a ¥3.3 billion gain in domestic agrochemical s...
Kumiai Chemical Lifts Sales but Slashes Profit Outlook as Margins Tighten
Sep 11, 2026
Kumiai Chemical Industry reported consolidated net sales of ¥141.4 billion for the nine months to July 31, 2026, up 5.1% year on year, but operating profit fell 26.7% to ¥7.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent dropped 36...
Kumiai Chemical Industry Lifts Interim Earnings on Strong Agrochemical and Fine Chemical Sales
Jun 12, 2026
Kumiai Chemical Industry reported interim results for the fiscal year ending 31 October 2026 showing solid top- and bottom-line growth driven by strong performances in its Agricultural Chemicals and Fine Chemicals segments. Domestic sales of agric...
Kumiai Chemical Industry Lifts Interim Profit and Maintains Dividend, Keeps Full-Year Outlook
Jun 12, 2026
Kumiai Chemical Industry reported consolidated net sales of ¥102.9 billion for the six months ended April 30, 2026, up 7.0% year on year, with operating profit rising 10.8% to ¥10.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jum...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2026