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Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (JP:4990)
:4990
Japanese Market
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Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (4990) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4990

Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.

(4990)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥571.00
▲(18.96% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/03/26
The score is primarily supported by improving balance-sheet strength and a favorable valuation (low P/E with a modest dividend). These positives are tempered by weakening profitability and a notable FY2026 revenue contraction, which increases near-term earnings uncertainty. Technicals are mildly constructive but not strongly bullish, keeping the overall score in the upper-mid range.
Positive Factors
Improved balance sheet
The substantial reduction in leverage provides Showa Chemical with a stronger capital base and greater resilience against operating volatility. Lower debt dependence can also preserve financial flexibility for investment and working-capital needs over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
FY2026 revenue contraction
A sharp revenue decline following two largely flat years raises concern about the durability of demand and the company’s ability to sustain scale. Continued top-line weakness would reduce operating leverage, constrain investment capacity, and make earnings recovery more difficult.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved balance sheet
The substantial reduction in leverage provides Showa Chemical with a stronger capital base and greater resilience against operating volatility. Lower debt dependence can also preserve financial flexibility for investment and working-capital needs over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (4990) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. specializes in the production and distribution of diatomite and perlite filter aids, marketed under its Radiolite trademark and the Topco brand (notably in China), with operations extending across China and Japan....

Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet is a clear strength with materially improved leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.36 by FY2025) and a solid equity base. Offsetting this, profitability has weakened from FY2023 levels (net margin down to ~4.5% in FY2025) and FY2026 shows a sharp revenue contraction, raising durability concerns. Cash flow is consistently positive with positive FCF, but FCF volatility and weaker earnings-to-cash conversion in FY2025 limit the score.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.31B9.27B9.24B9.20B9.23B7.78B
Gross Profit2.90B2.91B2.81B2.91B2.95B2.46B
EBITDA829.79M724.63M877.73M1.07B1.13B799.10M
Net Income607.32M624.84M411.84M584.40M616.53M345.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.66B14.57B13.66B13.53B13.04B12.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.60B2.97B3.17B3.15B2.99B3.25B
Total Debt2.08B2.28B2.88B3.21B3.64B4.17B
Total Liabilities5.64B5.18B5.54B5.93B6.28B6.49B
Stockholders Equity10.02B9.39B8.12B7.60B6.76B6.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00436.16M404.05M521.71M371.53M368.35M
Operating Cash Flow0.00826.62M766.55M825.52M625.07M518.79M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-369.02M-135.97M-160.60M-281.75M-185.86M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-665.37M-435.69M-514.30M-581.75M-211.43M

Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price480.00
Price Trends
50DMA
509.51
Positive
100DMA
499.61
Positive
200DMA
504.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.02
Positive
RSI
51.75
Neutral
STOCH
38.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4990, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 480 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 525.60, below the 50-day MA of 509.51, and below the 200-day MA of 504.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4990.

Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥5.95B9.08―1.28%6.22%42.74%
77
Outperform
¥56.91B9.44―5.02%-3.74%19.78%
74
Outperform
¥6.92B8.66―3.24%14.27%13.63%
71
Outperform
¥9.95B6.81―1.89%5.41%―
68
Neutral
¥5.55B9.19―1.91%0.03%30.72%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
¥4.46B-9.52―1.89%3.37%-81.97%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4990
Showa Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
524.00
36.06
7.39%
JP:4119
Nippon Pigment Company, Limited
6,220.00
2,827.69
83.36%
JP:4615
Shinto Paint Co., Ltd.
132.00
5.00
3.94%
JP:4619
Nihon Tokushu Toryo Co., Ltd.
2,591.00
582.95
29.03%
JP:4623
Asahipen Corporation
1,852.00
178.76
10.68%
JP:4624
Isamu Paint Co., Ltd.
3,905.00
297.52
8.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2026