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Access Co., Ltd. (4813) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers
JP:4813

Access Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4813)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:JPY 305.00▼(-4.09% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance—ongoing net losses, a sharp deterioration in operating/free cash flow in 2026, and a materially reduced equity base—despite improving revenue growth and low leverage. Technical indicators reinforce near-term risk with a clear downtrend and bearish momentum (even though the stock appears oversold). Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E reflects unprofitable operations and no dividend yield data is available.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthRevenue growth re-accelerated to 15.6% in 2026 after being roughly flat in 2025, indicating renewed commercial momentum. If sustained, this expansion can improve operating scale and provide a stronger base for eventual earnings recovery.
Negative Factors
Persistent LossesContinuing operating and net losses show that revenue growth has not yet translated into sustainable profitability. The approximately -17.7% net margin weakens retained resources, limits internal funding, and leaves the business exposed if losses persist over coming quarters.

Access Co., Ltd. (4813) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%JP:4813-44.60%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 11.88B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
544.62K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-9.3
Beta (1Y)
1.33
Revenue Growth
24.78%
EPS Growth
83.28%
Country
Japan
Employees
795
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

Access Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Access Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides IT solutions and products in Japan, America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, Oceania, and internationally. It operates through three segments: IoT Business, Web Platform Business, and...

Access Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: revenue growth re-accelerated (+15.6% in 2026) and gross margin is relatively healthy (~42%), but the company remains loss-making with a negative net margin (~-17.7%). Cash flow is a key weakness as operating cash flow turned materially negative in 2026 (about -¥3.9B) and free cash flow stayed deeply negative (about -¥4.4B). Balance sheet leverage is low (debt-to-equity ~0.14), but equity has shrunk substantially over time, reducing financial cushion.

Income Statement

34Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.74B19.22B15.93B15.12B13.06B9.85B
Gross Profit9.51B8.12B7.06B6.58B3.52B977.79M
EBITDA77.25M-1.25B-3.69B3.23B1.44B1.23B
Net Income-1.27B-3.40B-5.38B-280.18M-2.68B-3.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.75B17.10B23.18B21.56B21.31B29.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.06B5.41B10.81B10.92B11.88B15.24B
Total Debt930.40M977.15M1.03B212.03M332.34M0
Total Liabilities10.66B10.31B13.13B6.43B4.41B3.73B
Stockholders Equity6.09B6.79B10.05B15.12B16.89B25.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-4.40B-420.94M-1.18B-1.84B-2.07B
Operating Cash Flow0-3.94B1.13B2.24B953.69M641.94M
Investing Cash Flow0-1.58B-1.07B-3.72B-2.92B-2.35B
Financing Cash Flow0-19.04M-50.88M-27.14M-1.32B-36.95M

Access Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price318.00

Price Trends

50DMA388.56Negative
100DMA381.17Negative
200DMA471.20Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-22.25Positive
RSI38.22Neutral
STOCH23.71Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4813, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 318.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 355.05, below the 50-day MA of 388.56, and below the 200-day MA of 471.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -22.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4813.

Access Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4813 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4709JP:470976OutperformJPY 33.99B13.23―4.70%2.34%-2.26%
JP:3984JP:398476OutperformJPY 21.71B12.88―1.78%15.59%6.88%
JP:3393JP:339371OutperformJPY 30.48B12.16―5.06%9.16%41.23%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:5574JP:557460NeutralJPY 20.20B18.61――27.68%126.99%
JP:8275JP:827558NeutralJPY 26.61B17.31―2.97%-0.57%-25.02%
JP:4813JP:481342NeutralJPY 12.40B-9.31――24.78%83.28%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%JP:4813JP:3393JP:3984JP:4709JP:5574JP:8275Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4813 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4813Access Co., Ltd.318.00-260.00-44.98%
JP:3393Startia Holdings,Inc.3125.00601.4923.84%
JP:3984User Local, Inc.1348.00-611.23-31.20%
JP:4709ID Holdings Corporation1010.0032.243.30%
JP:5574ABEJA,Inc.2041.00-758.00-27.08%
JP:8275Forval Corporation1044.00-133.92-11.37%

Access Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

ACCESS Shares Remain on Tokyo Stock Exchange Special Alert as Control Operations Scrutinized

Oct 26, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. has announced that the Tokyo Stock Exchange will continue to classify its shares as a Security on Special Alert following a review conducted on October 23, 2026. The exchange concluded that, while the company’s internal management sy...

Access discloses data breach at Taiwan e-commerce unit CROS

Oct 15, 2026

Access Co., Ltd. reported that its Taiwanese subsidiary’s CROS business support service for cross-border e-commerce suffered a cyberattack, leading to unauthorized access via a Business Intelligence tool used by a specific client. The breach exposed...

ACCESS Faces Wrongful-Termination Suit Involving U.S. Subsidiary IP Infusion

Oct 6, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. has disclosed that it and its U.S. subsidiary, IP Infusion Inc., are facing a new lawsuit filed in the Superior Court of California, Santa Clara County, by two former executive officers alleging damages from wrongful termination. The...

ACCESS Regains Full Compliance with TSE Prime Market Listing Criteria

Oct 1, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. has announced that as of July 31, 2026, it now satisfies all continued listing criteria for the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, after previously falling short on the market capitalization of tradable shares. Through measures that...

ACCESS Secures ¥3 Billion Commitment Line with Financial Covenants

Sep 30, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. has entered into a commitment line agreement with Resona Bank, securing an unsecured and unguaranteed credit facility of up to 3 billion yen from October 6, 2026, to October 5, 2027. The move is designed to provide agile and stable f...

Access Co., Ltd. Narrows Interim Losses and Targets Full-Year Profit in 2027

Sep 11, 2026

Access Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥10,578 million for the six months ended July 31, 2026, up 16.8% year on year, while significantly narrowing its loss, with operating and ordinary losses reduced and profit attributable to owners im...

ACCESS CO., LTD. Misses Interim Forecasts but Keeps Full-Year Outlook Intact

Sep 11, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. reported that its consolidated results for the interim period ended July 31, 2026 came in below its March 2026 forecast, with net sales slightly lower and operating profit noticeably weaker. The shortfall was driven by conservative c...

ACCESS Books ¥192 Million Forex Gain Without Changing Earnings Outlook

Sep 11, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD. reported non-operating income from foreign exchange gains totaling 192 million yen for the interim period from February 1 to July 31, 2026. The gain includes 91 million yen recognized in the second quarter, mainly arising from the re...

ACCESS Updates TSE on Internal Control System After Special Alert

Aug 27, 2026

ACCESS CO., LTD., whose shares were placed under special alert by the Tokyo Stock Exchange on August 27, 2025, has reported on the establishment and operation of its internal control systems after one year. The company has submitted a Confirmation Le...

Access Co. Reshapes Top Management as Governance Reforms Advance

Aug 26, 2026

Access Co., Ltd. has overhauled its top management, appointing Executive Vice President and CFO Tsutomu Yoshioka as the new Representative Director, President and CEO, while former CEO Kiyoyasu Oishi transitions to the role of Executive Advisor. The...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026