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Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:4645)
:4645
Japanese Market
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Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. (4645) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4645

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd.

(4645)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥480.00
▲(4.58% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by attractive valuation (very low P/E and a solid dividend yield) and reasonably positive technical momentum (trading above key moving averages with positive MACD). Offsetting these positives, overall financial performance is capped by elevated leverage on the balance sheet despite improving profitability and stronger recent free cash flow.
Positive Factors
Consistent positive cash generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow and a material free cash flow recovery in 2025–2026 indicate the business can internally fund operations, service debt and support dividends or selective reinvestment. Over a 2–6 month horizon this underpins balance sheet resilience and execution capacity.
Negative Factors
High leverage limits flexibility
Persistently high debt-to-equity and sizable total debt constrain financial flexibility, increase refinancing and interest rate vulnerability, and limit capacity for M&A or investment. Over the medium term this elevates solvency risk and narrows strategic options during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent positive cash generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow and a material free cash flow recovery in 2025–2026 indicate the business can internally fund operations, service debt and support dividends or selective reinvestment. Over a 2–6 month horizon this underpins balance sheet resilience and execution capacity.
Read all positive factors

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. (4645) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ichishin Holdings Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the education business in Japan. The company operates cram schools for elementary school students, junior high school students, high school students, and high school graduates; entra...

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a clear recovery and improving cash generation, but the balance sheet is a major constraint. Income statement strength (72) reflects stable-to-growing revenue with a sharp 2026 step-up, though margins remain thin and operating profit has softened. Cash flow (70) is consistently positive with improved free cash flow in 2025–2026, but volatility persists. Balance sheet risk (46) is driven by persistently high leverage (debt-to-equity roughly 2.3x–4.1x), limiting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.65B18.46B17.95B17.29B17.32B
Gross Profit3.08B3.08B3.07B2.98B3.04B
EBITDA1.37B1.25B1.26B1.23B1.28B
Net Income628.55M317.30M363.26M365.90M421.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.40B13.87B13.16B12.42B12.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.14B4.39B4.28B4.13B4.60B
Total Debt6.45B7.09B6.29B6.06B6.38B
Total Liabilities10.88B11.67B10.42B10.12B10.64B
Stockholders Equity2.46B2.15B2.70B2.27B2.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.10B891.51M268.98M387.76M1.16B
Operating Cash Flow1.37B1.19B657.91M855.57M1.61B
Investing Cash Flow280.49M-763.18M-261.13M-724.91M-481.63M
Financing Cash Flow-926.60M-356.84M-226.57M-609.36M-276.78M

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price459.00
Price Trends
50DMA
431.14
Positive
100DMA
428.50
Positive
200DMA
433.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.37
Negative
RSI
58.80
Neutral
STOCH
86.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4645, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 459 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 434.10, above the 50-day MA of 431.14, and above the 200-day MA of 433.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4645.

Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥18.42B13.753.54%6.26%21.52%
75
Outperform
¥47.92B17.782.56%7.90%7.66%
74
Outperform
¥35.52B19.595.00%2.77%16.87%
70
Outperform
¥3.56B4.472.20%1.74%304.94%
68
Neutral
¥44.78B12.302.28%7.30%12.44%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
¥2.21B22.463.34%1.03%-62.01%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4645
Ichishin Holdings Co., Ltd.
431.00
3.73
0.87%
JP:4668
Meiko Network Japan Co., Ltd.
772.00
55.22
7.70%
JP:4678
Shuei Yobiko Co., Ltd.
334.00
47.65
16.64%
JP:4714
Riso Kyoiku Co., Ltd.
211.00
6.39
3.12%
JP:4718
Waseda Academy Co., Ltd.
2,536.00
-167.67
-6.20%
JP:9470
Gakken Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,035.00
22.10
2.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026