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Kansai Paint Co (4613) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4613

Kansai Paint Co

(TSE/TYO:4613)

Select Model
Rating:67.2Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,289.00â–²(7.94% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/11/26

The score is driven primarily by healthy but uneven fundamentals (revenue growth and improved gross margin offset by earnings volatility, higher leverage, and inconsistent cash conversion). Technicals add support due to a strong uptrend, though momentum looks stretched. Valuation is balanced, helped by a solid dividend yield and a moderate P/E.

Positive Factors
Diversified Coatings End MarketsExposure to automotive, industrial, infrastructure, construction, and specialty applications diversifies demand across end markets, reducing reliance on one customer cycle and supporting durable relevance through technical coating capabilities.
Negative Factors
Higher Leverage Reduces Financial FlexibilityThe post-2024 increase in debt makes the balance sheet less conservative and reduces flexibility if industrial demand weakens or input costs rise. Although equity remains sizable, higher leverage can constrain investment capacity and increase financial risk.

Kansai Paint Co (4613) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:4613+35.69%EWJ+10.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.08B
Dividend Yield
3.71%
Average Volume (3M)
921.49K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.0
Beta (1Y)
0.68
Revenue Growth
2.53%
EPS Growth
-14.17%
Country
Japan
Employees
16,739
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Kansai Paint Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kansai Paint Co., Ltd. operates as a worldwide manufacturer and supplier of paints and coatings, with a substantial presence across Japan, India, the broader Asian region, Africa, Europe, and various other international markets. The company's extensi...

How the Company Makes Money

Kansai Paint primarily makes money by selling coating products and related services across several end markets, with revenue recognized mainly from product shipments to business customers and distributors. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) A...

Kansai Paint Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement is solid but volatile: revenue growth improved and gross margin rose in 2026, yet net margin declined versus 2025 and is far below 2024 levels. Balance sheet flexibility has weakened as debt increased meaningfully in 2025–2026, though equity remains sizable. Cash flow is improving (better 2026 FCF) but cash conversion has been inconsistent versus earnings.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue583.99B588.83B589.79B562.28B509.07B419.19B
Gross Profit185.83B175.74B191.35B164.77B129.78B118.14B
EBITDA94.96B94.35B88.73B133.00B64.41B63.38B
Net Income38.81B38.31B31.64B67.11B25.20B26.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets750.86B750.70B801.69B689.70B671.95B600.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments98.04B109.14B119.04B100.80B95.14B68.28B
Total Debt207.44B218.42B219.42B122.56B126.22B73.67B
Total Liabilities403.86B400.69B420.48B309.45B318.93B224.94B
Stockholders Equity271.33B269.41B300.06B309.96B292.91B320.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow014.86B26.55B51.12B40.88B955.00M
Operating Cash Flow034.97B52.62B67.08B50.23B15.52B
Investing Cash Flow0-34.89B-27.03B-9.04B-10.47B-2.09B
Financing Cash Flow0-12.32B-22.18B-72.86B-18.47B-64.10B

Kansai Paint Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price3047.00

Price Trends

50DMA2836.95Positive
100DMA2752.37Positive
200DMA2580.80Positive

Market Momentum

MACD24.52Positive
RSI56.88Neutral
STOCH31.77Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4613, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3047.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2899.60, above the 50-day MA of 2836.95, and above the 200-day MA of 2580.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 24.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4613.

Kansai Paint Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4613 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4612JP:461280OutperformJPY 3.06T16.4710.80%1.12%16.22%34.06%
JP:4628JP:462876OutperformJPY 165.46B9.888.48%1.24%8.62%68.78%
JP:4403JP:440375OutperformJPY 615.54B14.6413.70%2.59%21.72%24.69%
JP:4631JP:463175OutperformJPY 453.97B7.3812.05%4.57%6.29%101.67%
JP:4613JP:461367NeutralJPY 492.59B18.0110.26%3.71%2.53%-14.17%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4611JP:461156NeutralJPY 51.28B19.71―3.18%25.27%-70.96%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:4613JP:4612JP:4631JP:4403JP:4628JP:4611Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4613 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4613Kansai Paint Co3047.00740.1732.09%
JP:4612Nippon Paint Holdings1433.00467.5248.42%
JP:4631DIC Corporation4819.001335.6338.34%
JP:4403NOF Corporation2704.00-155.96-5.45%
JP:4628SK Kaken Co 11060.001911.6520.90%
JP:4611Dai Nippon Toryo Company, Limited1826.00649.0155.14%

Kansai Paint Co Corporate Events

Kansai Paint Posts Higher Sales but Lower Profit, Raises Dividend Forecast

Aug 7, 2026

Kansai Paint reported consolidated net sales of ¥157.9 billion for the three months to June 30, 2026, up 9.1% year on year, but operating profit fell 14.3% to ¥10.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent dropped 23.6% to ¥...

Kansai Paint Lifts FY2027 Earnings and Dividend Forecasts on Strong Overseas Performance

Aug 7, 2026

Kansai Paint revised its consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, raising expected net sales from ¥610 billion to ¥630 billion and increasing projections for operating, ordinary, and net profit, citing stronger-than-...

Kansai Paint to Make Turkish Affiliate a Wholly Owned Subsidiary

Jul 29, 2026

Kansai Paint’s board has approved the additional acquisition of shares in its Turkish equity-method affiliate Polisan Kansai Boya, turning it into a wholly owned, consolidated subsidiary. The move reflects the company’s view of Türki...

Kansai Paint Cuts Conversion Price on 2029 and 2031 Convertible Bonds After Dividend

Jun 26, 2026

Kansai Paint has adjusted the conversion prices on its zero coupon convertible bonds due 2029 and 2031, lowering them from ¥2,733.0 to ¥2,676.1 per share, effective April 1, 2026. The move reflects an automatic adjustment mechanism tied to...

Kansai Paint Launches ¥10 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency

Jun 26, 2026

Kansai Paint Co., Ltd. has approved a share repurchase program aimed at boosting capital efficiency and enhancing returns to shareholders. The company is also considering cancelling the repurchased shares, which would reduce the number of shares outs...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026