Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. (4531) AI Stock Analysis

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Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4531)

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Rating:59Neutral

Price Target:JPY 330.00▼(-0.90% Downside)

Action:reiterated

Date:09/24/26

The score is driven mainly by moderate financial fundamentals: earlier improvements are tempered by the 2026 earnings decline and historically inconsistent free cash flow (despite a strong rebound in 2026). Technicals are neutral-to-soft with a negative MACD and price below the 200-day average. Valuation is reasonable with a mid-range P/E and a supportive dividend yield, but not compelling enough to lift the overall rating materially.

Positive Factors

Balance-sheet stabilityA consistently larger equity base than total debt provides financial resilience and supports continued operations through periods of weaker earnings. Moderate leverage also preserves more flexibility for investment and capital allocation than a highly debt-dependent balance sheet would allow.

Negative Factors

2026 earnings deteriorationThe sharp fall in net income, combined with a revenue decline, signals weakened operating performance rather than merely slower growth. Persistent earnings pressure could reduce internally funded investment, weaken returns, and make the earlier improvement less durable.

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. (4531) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 7.15B
Dividend Yield: 3.00%
Average Volume (3M): 44.09K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.0
Beta (1Y): 1.27
Revenue Growth: 3.90%
EPS Growth: -31.32%
Country: Japan
Employees: 296
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Chemicals - Specialty

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. is a Japanese enterprise that globally researches, develops, produces, and markets sophisticated fine chemical products. Their diverse portfolio encompasses food-grade additives, pharmaceutical components, and chemicals for...

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Multi-year improvement through 2025 is offset by a clear 2026 step-down: revenue turned slightly negative (-2.6%) and net income fell sharply (313M vs 896M in 2025), signaling margin/cost pressure. Balance sheet is generally stable with equity above debt and moderate leverage, but debt rose in 2025 and remains elevated. Cash flow improved meaningfully in 2026 (positive FCF after several negative years), yet the prior multi-year volatility keeps confidence moderate.

Income Statement

61Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

54Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	15.74B	15.45B	15.13B	12.93B	12.84B	12.36B
Gross Profit	2.49B	2.55B	3.23B	3.26B	3.05B	2.36B
EBITDA	1.46B	1.62B	2.23B	1.93B	1.62B	1.24B
Net Income	417.00M	313.00M	896.00M	776.00M	556.00M	248.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	25.79B	25.73B	27.29B	24.75B	22.35B	21.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.39B	885.00M	973.00M	588.00M	1.14B	1.86B
Total Debt	6.36B	6.71B	8.51B	6.87B	5.58B	5.54B
Total Liabilities	12.41B	12.24B	14.18B	12.31B	10.87B	10.38B
Stockholders Equity	13.38B	13.49B	13.11B	12.43B	11.48B	11.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	1.72B	-1.20B	-1.37B	-490.00M	1.40B
Operating Cash Flow	0	2.84B	2.14B	388.00M	668.00M	1.79B
Investing Cash Flow	0	-1.01B	-3.25B	-1.89B	-1.24B	-442.00M
Financing Cash Flow	0	-1.92B	1.50B	948.00M	-158.00M	-772.00M

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price333.00

Price Trends

50DMA358.36Negative

100DMA357.68Negative

200DMA377.43Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-9.71Positive

RSI37.75Neutral

STOCH33.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4531, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 333.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 351.55, below the 50-day MA of 358.36, and below the 200-day MA of 377.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4531.

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4531 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:4041	84Outperform	JPY 191.84B	10.41	―	4.82%	-1.25%	34.70%
JP:4040	79Outperform	JPY 9.55B	2.74	―	1.60%	0.56%	238.99%
JP:4093	69Neutral	JPY 13.88B	11.06	―	3.44%	-0.22%	4.42%
JP:4970	61Neutral	JPY 56.75B	16.31	―	0.66%	20.83%	89.46%
JP:4531	59Neutral	JPY 7.29B	15.03	―	3.00%	3.90%	-31.32%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:4366	48Neutral	JPY 14.15B	12.16	―	1.87%	10.12%	43.23%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:4531 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:4531	Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd.	333.00	59.91	21.94%
JP:4040	NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED	4050.00	951.32	30.70%
JP:4041	Nippon Soda Co., Ltd.	3530.00	87.38	2.54%
JP:4093	Toho Acetylene Co., Ltd.	407.00	66.88	19.66%
JP:4366	Daito Chemix Corporation	439.00	174.50	65.97%
JP:4970	Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd.	7610.00	930.51	13.93%

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Projects Profit Rebound Despite Interim Earnings Volatility

Oct 30, 2026

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange under code 4531, operates in the chemical and pharmaceutical-related sector and reports under Japanese GAAP. The company focuses on specialty chemical products, with its performance track...

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026

Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd. AI Stock Analysis