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Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. (JP:4970)
:4970
Japanese Market
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Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. (4970) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4970

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd.

(4970)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥12,331.00
▼(-2.21% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/11/26
The score is supported by improving financial health—especially meaningful deleveraging and a strong free-cash-flow rebound—despite softer margins and declining net income. However, the overall rating is held down by weak technicals (price below key moving averages and negative MACD) and a relatively high P/E with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Recovery and Growth
Revenue growth and continued sales recovery indicate improving demand for Toyo Gosei’s specialty chemicals. Higher volumes in electronics and industrial applications can support operating scale and reinforce customer relationships over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin and Earnings Pressure
Flat gross profit alongside higher revenue indicates margin pressure or rising costs, while declining net income weakens earnings quality. Persistent pressure could limit reinvestment capacity and reduce the benefit of the company’s current revenue recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Recovery and Growth
Revenue growth and continued sales recovery indicate improving demand for Toyo Gosei’s specialty chemicals. Higher volumes in electronics and industrial applications can support operating scale and reinforce customer relationships over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. (4970) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. has operated in the chemical sector since its establishment in 1954, initially as Nihon Acetylene Chemical Engineering Co., Ltd. before adopting its current name in 1961. The company primarily sp...
How the Company Makes Money
Toyo Gosei makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling specialty chemical products (functional materials) to business customers. A key revenue stream comes from supplying materials used in electronics manufacturing processes—particularly pr...

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals improved entering 2026: revenue is higher, the balance sheet strengthened with a sharp debt reduction and higher equity, and free cash flow turned strongly positive with higher operating cash flow. Offsetting this, profitability has cooled versus the 2022–2023 peak, with net income declining in 2026 and indications of margin pressure, plus a recent history of inconsistent/negative free cash flow (2023–2025).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.50B41.96B38.66B31.96B34.16B33.14B
Gross Profit7.77B9.05B9.06B7.60B9.03B8.39B
EBITDA6.59B8.75B7.79B6.29B7.83B7.32B
Net Income2.81B2.69B3.28B2.40B3.83B3.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.83B66.95B66.10B59.72B51.28B47.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.52B3.68B3.60B3.65B3.25B3.68B
Total Debt21.18B27.15B28.55B22.80B18.33B18.55B
Total Liabilities35.73B39.49B41.26B37.90B31.63B30.99B
Stockholders Equity21.10B27.45B24.83B21.82B19.64B16.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.73B-4.12B-3.02B-29.69M2.39B
Operating Cash Flow0.007.49B6.79B4.57B3.66B5.81B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-4.87B-11.97B-7.59B-3.27B-3.42B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.55B5.19B3.60B-406.16M-2.56B

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12610.00
Price Trends
50DMA
14270.60
Negative
100DMA
14598.30
Negative
200DMA
11490.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-732.10
Negative
RSI
39.11
Neutral
STOCH
35.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4970, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12610 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12469.50, below the 50-day MA of 14270.60, and above the 200-day MA of 11490.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -732.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4970.

Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥197.17B15.186.41%3.82%-1.20%29.04%
65
Neutral
¥913.07B8.616.28%2.51%-5.54%995.46%
60
Neutral
¥559.06B68.580.44%2.91%2.93%-46.99%
59
Neutral
¥90.96B24.060.67%16.43%50.52%
57
Neutral
¥845.64B15.185.11%3.52%-0.63%15.92%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
49
Neutral
¥287.66B21.265.26%3.71%-2.99%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4970
Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd.
11,460.00
6,186.87
117.33%
JP:4061
Denka Co
3,338.00
1,158.44
53.15%
JP:3405
Kuraray Co
1,856.50
133.89
7.77%
JP:4005
Sumitomo Chemical Co
555.90
118.92
27.21%
JP:4045
Toagosei Co
1,852.00
376.66
25.53%
JP:4042
Tosoh
2,657.50
402.34
17.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026