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Tobila Systems, Inc. (JP:4441)
:4441
Japanese Market
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Tobila Systems, Inc. (4441) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4441

Tobila Systems, Inc.

(4441)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,333.00
▲(40.02% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—high margins, very low leverage, and solid free cash flow—offset by some recent margin and cash-conversion softening. Technicals are positive with an established uptrend and healthy (not overextended) momentum. Valuation is reasonable but not notably cheap, and the dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
High margins and profitability
Consistently high gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient cost structure. Such profitability supports reinvestment in R&D and sales, funds dividends or buybacks, and provides a cushion versus cyclical revenue swings, underpinning long-term earnings quality.
Negative Factors
Weakened cash conversion
A notable decline in cash conversion signals working-capital or timing pressures that reduce free cash available for investment or shareholder returns. If sustained, this weakens the link between reported earnings and cash generation, limiting financial flexibility and raising funding needs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High margins and profitability
Consistently high gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient cost structure. Such profitability supports reinvestment in R&D and sales, funds dividends or buybacks, and provides a cushion versus cyclical revenue swings, underpinning long-term earnings quality.
Read all positive factors

Tobila Systems, Inc. (4441) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tobila Systems, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Based in Japan, Tobila Systems Inc. specializes in creating and delivering solutions to combat fraud and unwanted communications. Its product portfolio includes filtering services designed to block disruptive prank calls on mobile and corporate te...
How the Company Makes Money
Tobila Systems, Inc. generates revenue by offering subscription-based services for spam call filtering and fraud prevention systems. The company establishes partnerships with telecommunications providers, integrating its solutions directly into ph...

Tobila Systems, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (gross margin ~69–74%, TTM net margin ~22%) and steady revenue growth support earnings quality. Balance sheet is very conservative with low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.06) and consistently high ROE (~19–26%). Cash flow is solid with FCF closely tracking earnings (FCF/NI ~0.97), but recent cash conversion softness and some margin compression temper the score.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.81B2.41B2.06B1.68B1.42B
Gross Profit1.94B1.71B1.43B1.18B1.05B
EBITDA1.05B1.06B936.12M645.52M622.39M
Net Income625.68M601.85M517.73M322.03M386.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.38B4.36B3.65B2.67B2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.94B3.22B2.40B1.44B1.15B
Total Debt145.67M195.71M245.75M295.79M357.71M
Total Liabilities2.79B1.91B1.51B956.38M681.64M
Stockholders Equity2.60B2.44B2.14B1.71B1.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.70B1.20B1.07B498.17M384.32M
Operating Cash Flow1.75B1.31B1.22B641.68M491.92M
Investing Cash Flow-1.38B-78.34M-91.47M-188.74M-652.30M
Financing Cash Flow-549.30M-416.50M-160.65M-162.91M45.80M

Tobila Systems, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price952.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1295.88
Positive
100DMA
1308.60
Positive
200DMA
1208.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
22.73
Negative
RSI
61.10
Neutral
STOCH
80.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4441, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 952 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1220.80, below the 50-day MA of 1295.88, and below the 200-day MA of 1208.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 22.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4441.

Tobila Systems, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥14.25B22.851.66%18.42%-3.97%
68
Neutral
¥25.31B7.6814.95%0.77%1.57%-2.93%
68
Neutral
¥276.26B12.7412.24%2.31%-6.81%72.30%
68
Neutral
¥42.24B17.694.43%-0.53%-31.86%
67
Neutral
¥42.27B16.292.93%-1.36%-9.69%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
50
Neutral
¥5.84B25.063.54%-11.02%8.86%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4441
Tobila Systems, Inc.
1,344.00
346.16
34.69%
JP:6835
Allied Telesis Holdings KK
241.00
78.94
48.71%
JP:6703
OKI Electric Industry Company
3,190.00
1,662.00
108.77%
JP:6718
Aiphone Co., Ltd.
2,680.00
101.66
3.94%
JP:6778
Artiza Networks, Inc.
630.00
1.55
0.25%
JP:6820
Icom Incorporated
2,945.00
126.73
4.50%

Tobila Systems, Inc. Corporate Events

Tobila Systems outlines demand drivers and strategy for TobilaPhone Biz and Cloud
Jun 15, 2026
Tobila Systems has released a QA addressing investor queries on its second-quarter performance, focusing on its core TobilaPhone Biz, Biz Lite, and Cloud solutions. Management said Biz Lite still represents a small share of unit sales and that the...
Tobila Systems Prioritizes Growth as Solution Business Fuels Record Quarterly Sales
Jun 12, 2026
Tobila Systems reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales of JPY887 million, a 27% year-on-year increase and a new quarterly record, driven mainly by strong growth in its Solution Business while the Security Business remained stable. Operating ...
Tobila Systems Grows Revenue but Sees Profit Margins Squeezed in First Half
Jun 10, 2026
Tobila Systems Inc. reported non-consolidated net sales of ¥1,674 million for the six months ended April 30, 2026, up 22.0% year on year, while operating profit fell 7.7% to ¥485 million as higher costs weighed on margins. Net profit dec...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026