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IPS, Inc. (4390) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4390

IPS, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4390)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,836.00â–²(21.39% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/07/26

The score is anchored by strong profitability and improving margins, but is meaningfully constrained by persistently negative free cash flow and volatile cash conversion alongside rising debt. Technical indicators also weaken the outlook due to a clear downtrend (below key moving averages, negative MACD). Valuation is a positive offset, with a low P/E and modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Steady revenue growthSustained revenue expansion indicates continuing demand and broadening business activity rather than reliance on a single period. A larger revenue base can support operating leverage, strengthen market position, and provide resources for further investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistently negative free cash flowNegative free cash flow means reported earnings are not currently converting into cash available for debt reduction, dividends, or discretionary investment. If this persists, the company may need continued balance-sheet funding to sustain its investment and growth requirements.

IPS, Inc. (4390) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:4390+8.02%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 41.37B
Dividend Yield
1.27%
Average Volume (3M)
110.33K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.4
Beta (1Y)
0.93
Revenue Growth
16.49%
EPS Growth
70.51%
Country
Japan
Employees
766
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Telecommunications Services

IPS, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1991, IPS, Inc. delivers a comprehensive suite of information technology and telecommunication services across both Japan and the Philippines. Its primary offerings include internet access, robust data center solutions, an...

IPS, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability is strong with steady revenue growth through 2026 and meaningfully improved margins (net margin ~24.7% in 2026), supporting a solid earnings profile. However, cash generation is a major weakness: free cash flow remains negative in recent years (including -1,786M in 2026) and operating cash flow has been volatile, increasing reliance on funding while debt has risen.

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.51B17.00B15.26B14.12B12.35B10.73B
Gross Profit10.34B9.87B8.28B7.08B5.83B4.12B
EBITDA7.12B7.04B5.44B5.36B3.76B3.30B
Net Income4.38B4.20B2.54B2.83B2.29B1.89B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.34B50.98B42.03B33.53B25.13B18.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.03B3.58B3.92B4.23B6.88B5.78B
Total Debt12.89B12.64B10.07B5.22B3.86B3.05B
Total Liabilities25.19B25.34B21.05B18.34B13.26B9.28B
Stockholders Equity20.46B19.12B15.53B11.57B9.62B7.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-1.79B-551.00M-5.20B-2.69B1.05B
Operating Cash Flow04.58B704.00M-574.00M2.64B3.58B
Investing Cash Flow0-6.92B-2.54B-4.74B-5.51B-2.66B
Financing Cash Flow01.87B1.38B2.31B3.58B1.07B

IPS, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3160.00

Price Trends

50DMA3791.36Negative
100DMA3676.80Negative
200DMA3457.58Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-175.05Positive
RSI28.78Positive
STOCH23.21Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4390, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3160.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3413.25, below the 50-day MA of 3791.36, and below the 200-day MA of 3457.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -175.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.78 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4390.

IPS, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

JP:4390 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3834JP:383477OutperformJPY 15.66B12.80―4.46%2.67%-25.50%
JP:3776JP:377673OutperformJPY 14.35B29.16―1.29%-14.02%16.57%
JP:3774JP:377471OutperformJPY 638.83B25.3216.03%1.16%13.85%21.44%
JP:9445JP:944569NeutralJPY 8.50B10.05―4.73%-2.97%-6.79%
JP:4390JP:439064NeutralJPY 45.42B9.42―1.27%16.49%70.51%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
JP:9424JP:942451NeutralJPY 18.11B26.47――21.77%-25.14%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%JP:4390JP:3774JP:3776JP:3834JP:9424JP:9445Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4390 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4390IPS, Inc.3160.00179.386.02%
JP:3774Internet Initiative Japan 3544.00801.9229.24%
JP:3776Broadband Tower, Inc.233.0067.4040.70%
JP:3834ASAHI Net, Inc.560.00-115.57-17.11%
JP:9424Japan Communications Inc.108.00-45.00-29.41%
JP:9445Forval Telecom, Inc.507.00-58.72-10.38%

IPS, Inc. Corporate Events

IPS to Raise Capital via Domestic Share Offering for Submarine Cable Project

Oct 5, 2026

IPS, Inc. has announced a domestic public offering of up to 1,453,000 shares, comprising 1,263,500 new shares and 189,500 shares for secondary offering through over-allotment. The offering, managed by Mizuho Securities as lead manager and bookrunner,...

IPS, Inc. Confirms Strong Q1 Results and Audit Review Ahead of Share Offering

Oct 5, 2026

IPS, Inc., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market under securities code 4390, is a Japan-based company whose operations are reflected through detailed consolidated financial reporting and active engagement with investors and auditors. The fi...

IPS to Raise Capital for Submarine Cable Expansion and Wakayama Infrastructure Project

Oct 5, 2026

IPS, Inc. has approved the issuance of new shares and a secondary offering to support its expanding international telecommunications operations. The capital move underpins its strategy to build out data communications infrastructure in the Philippine...

IPS Sets Up Human Capital Strategy Committee Ahead of New Management Plan

Sep 18, 2026

IPS, Inc. has established a Human Capital Strategy Committee as an advisory body to its monthly Management Meeting, aiming to align medium- to long-term human capital policies with a new medium-term management plan slated for release in May 2027. The...

IPS Details Candle Cable Contracts and Targets ¥10 Billion Operating Profit

Aug 13, 2026

IPS, Inc. has fielded investor questions following its first-quarter results, clarifying the status and implications of two large indefeasible right of use agreements tied to its Candle submarine cable project. The company said it still retains avail...

IPS Signs Major IRU and O&M Deal for New ‘Candle’ Submarine Cable

Aug 7, 2026

IPS, Inc. has approved an agreement to grant partial indefeasible usage rights and provide long-term operation and maintenance services for its stake in the new international submarine cable known as Candle. The deal, with an undisclosed counterparty...

IPS, Inc. Expands Asian Submarine Cable Network and Philippine Connectivity

Aug 7, 2026

IPS, Inc. outlined its growing role in Asia’s digital infrastructure through multiple submarine cable projects and landing facilities. The company is jointly building the Candle international cable linking Japan, the Philippines and Singapore,...

IPS, Inc. Delivers Strong Q1 FY2026 Earnings and Reaffirms Full-Year Outlook

Aug 7, 2026

IPS, Inc. posted strong results for the three months to June 30, 2026, with net sales rising 14.9% year on year to ¥3.93 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing 27.5% to ¥831 million, lifting basic earnings per share to...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2026