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Cacco, Inc. (4166) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4166

Cacco, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4166)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:JPY 683.00â–²(0.44% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/23/26

Weak financial performance from sustained losses and negative cash flows is the primary drag, partially offset by constructive technical momentum above key averages.

Positive Factors
High Gross MarginsA consistently strong gross margin indicates the core services can generate meaningful value after direct delivery costs. If Cacco can control operating expenses and restore demand stability, this underlying economics could support renewed profitability and provide room to invest in cybersecurity capabilities.
Negative Factors
Sustained LossesPersistent operating and net losses show that strong gross profitability is currently being overwhelmed by the broader cost structure. Unless management restores positive operating leverage, continued losses can erode equity, restrict reinvestment, and weaken the company’s ability to fund durable growth internally.

Cacco, Inc. (4166) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:4166-1.45%EWJ+16.41%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.81B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
180.36K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-10.0
Beta (1Y)
0.46
Revenue Growth
9.28%
EPS Growth
-4.74%
Country
Japan
Employees
36
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Cacco, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cacco Inc. provides SaaS-type algorithm solutions in Japan. It offers fraud detection services in e-commerce and finance fields, payment consulting services, and business optimization solutions through data science, as well as engages in the discover...

Cacco, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Persistent net losses, negative operating cash flow, and weak profitability metrics dominate despite a stable balance sheet with low leverage.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue867.76M819.44M734.02M952.00M1.08B951.14M
Gross Profit631.41M572.11M445.02M586.50M729.95M690.91M
EBITDA-123.31M-96.21M-211.00M-215.67M246.34M191.91M
Net Income-180.40M-137.69M-255.03M-320.00M100.35M120.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.13B1.00B1.03B1.29B1.54B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments666.14M762.44M734.62M941.09M962.07M800.65M
Total Debt386.04M186.65M82.14M96.43M1.80M6.08M
Total Liabilities506.66M299.83M193.35M214.72M162.02M144.28M
Stockholders Equity620.65M702.52M832.17M1.07B1.37B1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-76.69M-200.00M-56.00M212.50M21.94M
Operating Cash Flow0-73.86M-198.00M-49.31M250.38M149.66M
Investing Cash Flow0-2.84M-2.06M-69.68M-86.61M-134.25M
Financing Cash Flow0104.51M-5.68M98.01M-2.34M-507.94M

Cacco, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price680.00

Price Trends

50DMA671.80Positive
100DMA662.50Positive
200DMA691.32Negative

Market Momentum

MACD16.17Positive
RSI46.57Neutral
STOCH19.77Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4166, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 680.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 727.60, above the 50-day MA of 671.80, and below the 200-day MA of 691.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 16.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4166.

Cacco, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4166 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4168JP:416878OutperformJPY 9.43B8.36―2.00%12.61%49.51%
JP:4448JP:444872OutperformJPY 14.12B19.16――14.06%―
JP:5033JP:503366NeutralJPY 7.91B47.40――7.04%-67.36%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:4397JP:439761NeutralJPY 5.90B15.75――23.50%2.72%
JP:4484JP:448458NeutralJPY 4.52B46.59―0.72%20.67%-37.51%
JP:4166JP:416651NeutralJPY 1.88B-9.99――9.28%-4.74%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%JP:4166JP:4168JP:4397JP:4448JP:4484JP:5033Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4166 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4166Cacco, Inc.680.00-18.00-2.58%
JP:4168Yappli, Inc.726.00-185.62-20.36%
JP:4397TeamSpirit, Inc.357.00-133.00-27.14%
JP:4448Chatwork Co.Ltd.331.00-48.00-12.66%
JP:4484Lancers, Inc.278.00-11.09-3.84%
JP:5033Nulab Inc.1220.00470.0062.67%

Cacco, Inc. Corporate Events

Cacco outlines FY2026 first-half results and growth strategy

Sep 1, 2026

Cacco Inc., listed under securities code 4166, operates in the technology and digital solutions space, emphasizing innovation and the development of next-generation tools and services. The company presents itself as a facilitator of new business mode...

Cacco Posts Interim Loss as It Shifts to Consolidated Reporting and Adds Anycloud

Sep 1, 2026

Cacco Inc. reported consolidated revenue of ¥455 million for the first half of 2026, alongside operating and ordinary losses of ¥92 million and ¥93 million, resulting in a net loss of ¥107 million and basic earnings per share of m...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026