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Cacco, Inc. (4166) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4166

Cacco, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4166)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:JPY 661.00â–¼(-0.90% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/23/26

Cacco scores below average, driven primarily by weak fundamentals: three consecutive years of losses, negative free cash flow and a shrinking equity base, only partially offset by improving gross margins, a return to revenue growth and a slower cash burn. Valuation adds little comfort, with negative earnings making the P/E meaningless and no dividend on offer. The main positive is technical momentum, with the stock trading above all key moving averages and a positive MACD, suggesting the market is pricing in an early-stage turnaround. Low beta (0.49) implies limited market-driven volatility, but execution risk around reaching profitability remains the key consideration.

Positive Factors
High Gross MarginA consistently high gross margin indicates that Cacco’s core services retain meaningful economic value before operating costs. If management can control the cost base and restore profitability, this underlying gross profitability could support stronger earnings conversion and provide resilience as cybersecurity and IT-risk services develop.
Negative Factors
Persistent LossesSeveral consecutive years of operating and net losses show that the company’s strong gross margin is not currently translating into viable overall profitability. Continued losses can constrain reinvestment, weaken financial flexibility, and make future growth dependent on a successful reduction in operating costs.

Cacco, Inc. (4166) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:4166-1.19%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.84B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
183.72K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-10.0
Beta (1Y)
0.59
Revenue Growth
9.28%
EPS Growth
-4.74%
Country
Japan
Employees
36
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Cacco, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cacco Inc. provides SaaS-type algorithm solutions in Japan. It offers fraud detection services in e-commerce and finance fields, payment consulting services, and business optimization solutions through data science, as well as engages in the discover...

Cacco, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials remain weak. The income statement (28) shows a third straight year of losses, with a net loss of ¥138 million and a -16.8% net margin, though revenue returned to modest growth (+3.3%) and gross margin improved to a record 69.8%. Cash flow (35) is still negative, with operating cash flow of -¥74 million and free cash flow of -¥77 million, though the burn rate has narrowed sharply from the prior year. The balance sheet (52) is the relative strength, with manageable leverage (debt/equity 0.27) and ¥703 million of equity, but that equity base has eroded steadily from ¥1.37 billion in 2022 as losses accumulate. Overall, a turnaround is visible in the trend lines, but profitability and cash generation remain unproven.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue867.76M819.44M734.02M952.00M1.08B951.14M
Gross Profit631.41M572.11M445.02M586.50M729.95M690.91M
EBITDA-123.31M-96.21M-211.00M-215.67M246.34M191.91M
Net Income-180.40M-137.69M-255.03M-320.00M100.35M120.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.13B1.00B1.03B1.29B1.54B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments666.14M762.44M734.62M941.09M962.07M800.65M
Total Debt386.04M186.65M82.14M96.43M1.80M6.08M
Total Liabilities506.66M299.83M193.35M214.72M162.02M144.28M
Stockholders Equity620.65M702.52M832.17M1.07B1.37B1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-76.69M-200.00M-56.00M212.50M21.94M
Operating Cash Flow0-73.86M-198.00M-49.31M250.38M149.66M
Investing Cash Flow0-2.84M-2.06M-69.68M-86.61M-134.25M
Financing Cash Flow0104.51M-5.68M98.01M-2.34M-507.94M

Cacco, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price667.00

Price Trends

50DMA675.54Negative
100DMA662.92Negative
200DMA685.90Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-8.29Positive
RSI45.89Neutral
STOCH29.23Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4166, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 667.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 707.30, below the 50-day MA of 675.54, and below the 200-day MA of 685.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4166.

Cacco, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4166 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4168JP:416871OutperformJPY 9.61B8.54―1.95%12.19%30.65%
JP:4448JP:444863NeutralJPY 14.07B18.87――14.06%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:4397JP:439760NeutralJPY 5.81B15.40――23.50%2.72%
JP:5033JP:503359NeutralJPY 8.01B47.24――7.04%-67.36%
JP:4484JP:448458NeutralJPY 4.52B45.09―0.74%16.33%-38.56%
JP:4166JP:416650NeutralJPY 1.83B-10.04――9.28%-4.74%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%JP:4166JP:4168JP:4397JP:4448JP:4484JP:5033Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4166 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4166Cacco, Inc.667.00-25.00-3.61%
JP:4168Yappli, Inc.746.00-231.37-23.67%
JP:4397TeamSpirit, Inc.348.00-162.00-31.76%
JP:4448Chatwork Co.Ltd.321.00-33.00-9.32%
JP:4484Lancers, Inc.257.00-26.13-9.23%
JP:5033Nulab Inc.1195.00430.0056.21%

Cacco, Inc. Corporate Events

Cacco outlines FY2026 first-half results and growth strategy

Sep 1, 2026

Cacco Inc., listed under securities code 4166, operates in the technology and digital solutions space, emphasizing innovation and the development of next-generation tools and services. The company presents itself as a facilitator of new business mode...

Cacco Posts Interim Loss as It Shifts to Consolidated Reporting and Adds Anycloud

Sep 1, 2026

Cacco Inc. reported consolidated revenue of ¥455 million for the first half of 2026, alongside operating and ordinary losses of ¥92 million and ¥93 million, resulting in a net loss of ¥107 million and basic earnings per share of minus ¥39.17. Total a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026