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NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED (4040) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4040

NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED

(TSE/TYO:4040)

Select Model
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:JPY 4,750.00▲(17.28% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is primarily supported by stronger profitability and a much healthier balance sheet, plus very attractive valuation (low P/E). These positives are meaningfully tempered by weak cash conversion, with negative operating and free cash flow in the latest year, which is the key risk factor despite favorable technical momentum.

Positive Factors
Margin ExpansionThe substantial improvement in net, gross, and EBITDA margins indicates stronger profitability and operating efficiency. If retained, this gives the company more earnings resilience, supports internal reinvestment, and provides a stronger foundation for navigating moderate changes in revenue over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionNegative operating and free cash flow despite strong reported earnings is the clearest fundamental weakness. This divergence may constrain internally funded investment, reduce financial flexibility, and make the improved earnings profile less durable until cash generation normalizes over the next several quarters.

NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED (4040) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:4040+34.10%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 8.13B
Dividend Yield
1.60%
Average Volume (3M)
10.86K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
2.7
Beta (1Y)
1.02
Revenue Growth
0.56%
EPS Growth
238.99%
Country
Japan
Employees
319
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals

NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1906 and headquartered in Osaka, Japan, Nankai Chemical Company, Limited operates a diverse enterprise with a presence in both Japanese and international markets. The company's principal focus is the production and sale of a wide range...

NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability and leverage trends are strong (income statement score 78; balance sheet score 82), including improved margins, higher ROE, and much lower debt-to-equity. However, cash generation is a major offset (cash flow score 34) with negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow in the latest year, raising cash-conversion and durability concerns despite strong reported earnings.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.18B21.06B20.90B19.99B19.60B17.43B
Gross Profit6.21B5.98B5.51B5.50B4.50B4.13B
EBITDA3.21B2.92B2.44B2.59B1.80B1.72B
Net Income3.02B2.78B1.02B1.16B504.00M462.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.49B19.55B22.47B20.26B18.35B17.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.95B2.04B1.70B1.71B1.30B1.28B
Total Debt3.38B3.68B5.64B5.21B6.07B7.41B
Total Liabilities7.89B8.38B13.96B12.75B13.15B12.54B
Stockholders Equity11.48B11.05B8.40B7.42B5.13B4.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-1.51B-1.85B587.00M152.00M392.00M
Operating Cash Flow0-259.00M181.00M2.65B1.77B1.59B
Investing Cash Flow02.87B-490.00M-1.94B-371.00M-614.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-2.31B243.00M-327.00M-1.40B-858.00M

NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price4050.00

Price Trends

50DMA4051.31Negative
100DMA3828.47Positive
200DMA3607.81Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-7.31Positive
RSI46.17Neutral
STOCH30.88Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4040, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4050.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4214.50, below the 50-day MA of 4051.31, and above the 200-day MA of 3607.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -7.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4040.

NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4040 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4040JP:404077OutperformJPY 9.55B2.74―1.60%0.56%238.99%
JP:6568JP:656873OutperformJPY 9.10B11.24―2.81%12.39%22.04%
JP:4360JP:436071OutperformJPY 8.45B8.02―1.55%19.58%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4960JP:496059NeutralJPY 8.14B22.14―1.01%6.87%300.65%
JP:4531JP:453149NeutralJPY 7.29B15.03―3.00%3.90%-31.32%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%JP:4040JP:4360JP:4531JP:4960JP:6568Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4040 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4040NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED4050.00951.3230.70%
JP:4360MANAC Chemical Partners Co.,Ltd966.00383.1865.75%
JP:4531Yuki Gosei Kogyo Co., Ltd.333.0059.9121.94%
JP:4960Chemipro Kasei Kaisya,Ltd.516.00184.4955.65%
JP:6568KNC Laboratories Co.,Ltd.1176.0085.197.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026