Stamen Co., Ltd. (4019) AI Stock Analysis

0 Followers

Stamen Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4019)

Select Model

Rating:62Neutral

Price Target:JPY 686.00▲(13.76% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/21/26

The overall score of 62 reflects a company with strong revenue growth and an excellent balance sheet, offset by a critical weakness in cash flow generation. The negative free cash flow is the most significant risk factor. Technicals are mixed, with the stock showing short-term strength but remaining in a longer-term downtrend, while the valuation appears fair.

Positive Factors

Strong Revenue GrowthSustained revenue compounding and renewed acceleration indicate expanding customer adoption and market reach. Continued growth provides operating scale and supports the company’s recurring enterprise software model over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Weak Recent Cash GenerationThe sharp deterioration in operating and free cash flow weakens earnings quality and may reflect working-capital pressure or heavier investment needs. Persistent cash underperformance could constrain internally funded growth despite accounting profits.

Stamen Co., Ltd. (4019) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 5.28B
Dividend Yield: 1.00%
Average Volume (3M): 62.60K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 18.0
Beta (1Y): 0.81
Revenue Growth: 38.22%
EPS Growth: 27.54%
Country: Japan
Employees: 198
Sector: Technology
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Software - Application

Stamen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Stmn, Inc. operates an engagement platform business in Japan. The company offers TUNAG, an engagement management platform; Tsunagu, an online community platform; FANTS, a community management platform; Watchy, a cloud security service, that supports...

How the Company Makes Money

Stamen Co., Ltd. primarily makes money by charging client companies for the use of its HR/organizational software and related services. The core revenue model is business-to-business, where companies pay fees to adopt and operate the company’s platfo...

Stamen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is solid at 20.1% and the balance sheet is exceptionally strong with minimal debt. However, the financial performance is significantly weighed down by very weak cash flow generation, resulting in negative free cash flow, which is a critical concern.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

35Negative

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.39B	3.81B	2.69B	1.88B	1.30B	913.80M
Gross Profit	3.17B	2.76B	2.06B	1.44B	1.02B	717.67M
EBITDA	421.59M	327.02M	255.26M	190.89M	151.31M	40.16M
Net Income	294.10M	208.15M	137.34M	125.30M	99.39M	36.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.54B	2.45B	2.17B	1.84B	1.54B	1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.18B	1.11B	1.14B	1.39B	1.18B	1.19B
Total Debt	70.01M	50.00M	6.68M	35.01M	25.01M	35.01M
Total Liabilities	894.81M	915.36M	819.96M	622.72M	508.20M	433.33M
Stockholders Equity	1.64B	1.54B	1.35B	1.22B	1.03B	927.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	-43.10M	349.51M	180.94M	24.20M	70.70M
Operating Cash Flow	0	962.00K	391.85M	202.12M	162.94M	91.45M
Investing Cash Flow	0	-27.29M	-310.60M	-45.83M	136.21M	-674.87M
Financing Cash Flow	0	44.33M	-37.15M	53.00M	-5.20M	-172.29M

Stamen Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price603.00

Price Trends

50DMA626.06Negative

100DMA622.48Negative

200DMA635.07Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.05Positive

RSI43.78Neutral

STOCH23.82Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4019, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 603.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 624.85, below the 50-day MA of 626.06, and below the 200-day MA of 635.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4019.

Stamen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4019 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:4491	75Outperform	JPY 5.70B	10.37	―	2.15%	7.70%	32.16%
JP:4060	72Outperform	JPY 6.60B	24.15	―	0.80%	30.60%	17.83%
JP:4019	62Neutral	JPY 5.48B	18.00	―	1.00%	38.22%	27.54%
Sector *	61Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
JP:4397	60Neutral	JPY 5.81B	15.40	―	―	23.50%	2.72%
JP:5033	59Neutral	JPY 8.01B	47.24	―	―	7.04%	-67.36%
JP:4484	58Neutral	JPY 4.52B	45.09	―	0.74%	16.33%	-38.56%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:4019 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:4019	Stamen Co., Ltd.	603.00	-559.90	-48.15%
JP:4060	rakumo Inc.	1117.00	36.81	3.41%
JP:4397	TeamSpirit, Inc.	348.00	-177.00	-33.71%
JP:4484	Lancers, Inc.	271.00	-17.10	-5.93%
JP:4491	Computer Management Co., Ltd.	2799.00	227.48	8.85%
JP:5033	Nulab Inc.	1209.00	392.00	47.98%

Stamen Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Stmn, Inc. Delivers Strong First-Half Results and Raises Dividend, Full-Year Forecast

Aug 14, 2026

Stmn, Inc., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reported a strengthening balance sheet with total assets rising to ¥2,539 million and an equity-to-asset ratio of 62.6 percent as of June 30, 2026. The company’s capital structure remains stable, with n...

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2026

Stamen Co., Ltd. AI Stock Analysis