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Stamen Co., Ltd. (JP:4019)
:4019
Japanese Market
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Stamen Co., Ltd. (4019) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4019

Stamen Co., Ltd.

(4019)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥692.00
▼(-39.88% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/21/26
The score is primarily supported by strong multi-year growth, high gross margins, and a conservatively financed balance sheet with improved ROE. Offsetting this is a significant 2025 cash-flow deterioration (near-zero operating cash flow and negative free cash flow), which weakens earnings quality. Technicals are mixed (better short-term vs. weak vs. the 200-day), and valuation is broadly average with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue compounding and renewed acceleration indicate expanding customer adoption and market reach. Continued growth provides operating scale and supports the company’s recurring enterprise software model over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak Recent Cash Generation
The sharp deterioration in operating and free cash flow weakens earnings quality and may reflect working-capital pressure or heavier investment needs. Persistent cash underperformance could constrain internally funded growth despite accounting profits.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue compounding and renewed acceleration indicate expanding customer adoption and market reach. Continued growth provides operating scale and supports the company’s recurring enterprise software model over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Stamen Co., Ltd. (4019) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Stamen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Stmn, Inc. operates an engagement platform business in Japan. The company offers TUNAG, an engagement management platform; Tsunagu, an online community platform; FANTS, a community management platform; Watchy, a cloud security service, that suppor...
How the Company Makes Money
Stamen Co., Ltd. primarily makes money by charging client companies for the use of its HR/organizational software and related services. The core revenue model is business-to-business, where companies pay fees to adopt and operate the company’s pla...

Stamen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue compounding with a 2025 acceleration (~20% growth) and consistently high gross margins (~72–81%) support the score, alongside a very low-leverage balance sheet and improved ROE (~13.5% in 2025). The primary drag is cash-flow quality: 2025 operating cash flow was near breakeven and free cash flow turned meaningfully negative despite positive net income, raising questions about working-capital pressure and/or higher reinvestment needs.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.39B3.81B2.69B1.88B1.30B913.80M
Gross Profit3.17B2.76B2.06B1.44B1.02B717.67M
EBITDA421.59M327.02M255.26M190.89M151.31M40.16M
Net Income294.10M208.15M137.34M125.30M99.39M36.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.54B2.45B2.17B1.84B1.54B1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.18B1.11B1.14B1.39B1.18B1.19B
Total Debt70.01M50.00M6.68M35.01M25.01M35.01M
Total Liabilities894.81M915.36M819.96M622.72M508.20M433.33M
Stockholders Equity1.64B1.54B1.35B1.22B1.03B927.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-43.10M349.51M180.94M24.20M70.70M
Operating Cash Flow0.00962.00K391.85M202.12M162.94M91.45M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-27.29M-310.60M-45.83M136.21M-674.87M
Financing Cash Flow0.0044.33M-37.15M53.00M-5.20M-172.29M

Stamen Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1151.00
Price Trends
50DMA
627.76
Positive
100DMA
622.92
Positive
200DMA
688.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
6.88
Positive
RSI
49.14
Neutral
STOCH
34.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4019, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1151 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 641.80, above the 50-day MA of 627.76, and above the 200-day MA of 688.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4019.

Stamen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
¥6.71B12.271.87%6.46%38.58%
76
Outperform
¥7.40B45.807.04%-67.36%
72
Outperform
¥7.09B26.460.57%37.13%-7.58%
68
Neutral
¥6.79B15.2023.42%457.78%
64
Neutral
¥5.59B19.430.49%38.22%27.54%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
¥4.82B49.5820.67%-37.51%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4019
Stamen Co., Ltd.
651.00
-722.98
-52.62%
JP:4060
rakumo Inc.
1,224.00
-69.26
-5.36%
JP:4397
TeamSpirit, Inc.
412.00
-138.00
-25.09%
JP:4484
Lancers, Inc.
298.00
7.92
2.73%
JP:4491
Computer Management Co., Ltd.
3,360.00
520.94
18.35%
JP:5033
Nulab Inc.
1,172.00
308.00
35.65%

Stamen Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Stmn, Inc. Delivers Strong First-Half Results and Raises Dividend, Full-Year Forecast
Aug 14, 2026
Stmn, Inc., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reported a strengthening balance sheet with total assets rising to ¥2,539 million and an equity-to-asset ratio of 62.6 percent as of June 30, 2026. The company’s capital structure remains ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2026