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KARADANOTE INC. (4014) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4014

KARADANOTE INC.

(TSE/TYO:4014)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:JPY 423.00â–²(1.93% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/15/26

The score is primarily held back by inconsistent multi-year fundamentals—especially weak and volatile cash-flow generation—despite a meaningful profitability rebound in 2026. Technically, the stock shows weak near-term momentum (below 20/50-day averages and RSI ~39.6), while valuation is a partial support with a modest P/E (~12.27).

Positive Factors
Profitability reboundThe sharp return to profitability and high margins show that the business can generate attractive economics when operations stabilize. Strong gross-margin retention provides room to fund product development and growth, while healthy operating margins can support durable earnings if demand becomes more consistent.
Negative Factors
Revenue contractionRepeated revenue declines make the company’s growth trajectory difficult to rely on and suggest that demand or business mix remains uneven. Persistent top-line volatility can dilute operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make the recent profitability rebound harder to sustain.

KARADANOTE INC. (4014) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:4014-7.16%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.77B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
31.30K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.8
Beta (1Y)
0.64
Revenue Growth
-16.60%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
45
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

KARADANOTE INC. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Karadanote Inc. specializes in creating and developing mobile applications designed to support individuals throughout pregnancy, childbirth, and early childhood, focusing on health and medication management. Beyond its app development, the company al...

KARADANOTE INC. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability rebounded strongly in 2026 with high gross margin (~74%) and healthy operating/net margins (~19%/~24%), but revenue has been volatile and cash-flow conversion remains weak (operating cash flow ~0.24x of earnings) after several years of negative operating/free cash flow. Leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.94) and improved vs. more stressed periods, but higher than earlier low-leverage years.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

57Neutral

Cash Flow

49Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJul 2026Jul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.06B1.06B1.27B2.19B2.06B1.31B
Gross Profit773.55M784.59M619.00M1.48B1.52B916.51M
EBITDA220.37M214.90M-51.91M102.11M-370.80M-312.56M
Net Income256.20M256.20M-69.00M114.89M-372.46M-271.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.57B1.57B768.60M1.23B1.09B1.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments884.48M884.48M596.08M483.48M686.65M1.04B
Total Debt692.85M692.85M200.00M300.00M400.00M500.00M
Total Liabilities832.38M832.38M288.14M875.75M866.14M906.04M
Stockholders Equity737.36M737.36M480.45M352.65M221.58M573.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow073.81M-116.00M-110.37M-258.22M-349.08M
Operating Cash Flow074.68M-115.00M-107.37M-255.41M-346.91M
Investing Cash Flow0-279.83M143.00M-3.00M-2.81M-3.79M
Financing Cash Flow0493.55M84.63M-92.80M-93.45M424.09M

KARADANOTE INC. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price415.00

Price Trends

50DMA452.14Negative
100DMA478.28Negative
200DMA452.56Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-13.28Negative
RSI44.23Neutral
STOCH64.53Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4014, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 415.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 420.60, below the 50-day MA of 452.14, and below the 200-day MA of 452.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -13.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4014.

KARADANOTE INC. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4014 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5038JP:503889OutperformJPY 34.53B27.85―0.72%25.13%21.04%
JP:5588JP:558863NeutralJPY 6.70B26.56―0.65%21.69%-55.81%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:4397JP:439760NeutralJPY 5.75B15.40――23.50%2.72%
JP:5033JP:503359NeutralJPY 7.84B46.70――7.04%-67.36%
JP:4074JP:407455NeutralJPY 5.15B-27.00――-3.34%-154.21%
JP:4014JP:401455NeutralJPY 2.77B10.83――-16.60%―

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:4014JP:4074JP:4397JP:5033JP:5038JP:5588Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4014 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4014KARADANOTE INC.415.00-34.00-7.57%
JP:4074LaKeel,Inc694.00-219.00-23.99%
JP:4397TeamSpirit, Inc.348.00-162.00-31.76%
JP:5033Nulab Inc.1195.00430.0056.21%
JP:5038eWeLL Co.,Ltd2208.00-396.99-15.24%
JP:5588Fast Accounting Co.,Ltd.566.00-756.09-57.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026