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Fisco Ltd. (JP:3807)
:3807
Japanese Market
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Fisco Ltd. (3807) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3807

Fisco Ltd.

(3807)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
¥83.00
▼(-2.35% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is held down primarily by weak profitability and fragile/volatile cash generation despite improving margins, plus a very high P/E that adds significant valuation risk. Technicals are also soft, with the stock trading below key longer-term moving averages and negative MACD.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Extremely low leverage materially reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, giving management durable financial flexibility to fund operations or strategic initiatives without reliance on external borrowing. That structural balance-sheet strength supports resilience through economic cycles and provides optionality for growth investments.
Negative Factors
Ongoing Unprofitability
Despite margin improvement, persistent net losses and only thin operating profits mean the business has not yet converted structural improvements into sustained earnings. Continued unprofitability constrains retained earnings accumulation and limits the firm's ability to self-fund growth or return capital, keeping reliance on external support.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage
Extremely low leverage materially reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, giving management durable financial flexibility to fund operations or strategic initiatives without reliance on external borrowing. That structural balance-sheet strength supports resilience through economic cycles and provides optionality for growth investments.
Read all positive factors

Fisco Ltd. (3807) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Fisco Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
FISCO Ltd., a Tokyo-based company established in 1994, delivers an extensive range of investment support solutions. The firm conducts thorough analyses of various financial sectors, encompassing Japanese and international equities, foreign exchang...

Fisco Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a meaningful recovery in 2025 margins and losses, supported by a very low-debt balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.01). However, the company remains unprofitable with thin operating profitability, revenue declined slightly (~3% YoY), and cash flow quality is weak/volatile with only modestly positive operating cash flow and near-breakeven free cash flow after prior negative periods.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue720.44M842.94M867.88M450.74M1.18B1.25B
Gross Profit264.98M494.48M208.55M19.38M714.22M774.89M
EBITDA-3.05B4.47M-685.92M-1.55B-2.64B5.37B
Net Income-3.14B-8.29M-530.70M-1.59B-2.76B3.80B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.02B2.67B1.78B2.09B3.81B5.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments149.01M228.36M235.61M528.93M1.08B1.13B
Total Debt122.93M8.00M8.00M109.70M50.51M83.51M
Total Liabilities1.83B1.54B1.54B1.80B1.76B1.76B
Stockholders Equity1.19B1.13B240.50M289.91M2.05B3.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0067.00K-76.84M0.00134.91M298.59M
Operating Cash Flow0.00513.00K-39.92M0.00170.77M321.92M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-7.78M90.36M-46.93M-40.28M45.15M
Financing Cash Flow0.000.00-102.04M-78.08M-163.97M-221.79M

Fisco Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price85.00
Price Trends
50DMA
86.34
Negative
100DMA
93.84
Negative
200DMA
107.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
47.11
Neutral
STOCH
19.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3807, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.30, below the 50-day MA of 86.34, and below the 200-day MA of 107.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3807.

Fisco Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
¥52.34B9.4719.70%4.42%49.56%400.07%
83
Outperform
¥85.14B17.149.89%6.15%18.06%17.31%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
¥178.84B16.768.82%4.18%16.13%
62
Neutral
¥88.88B19.2913.31%3.87%226.95%70.14%
58
Neutral
¥304.10B17.1522.68%5.13%43.71%73.74%
44
Neutral
¥3.99B-387,309,567,953,863,000.00-1.03%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3807
Fisco Ltd.
86.00
-64.00
-42.67%
JP:8624
Ichiyoshi Securities Co
1,696.00
944.40
125.65%
JP:8698
Monex Group
717.00
-49.14
-6.41%
JP:8628
Matsui Securities Co
1,196.00
438.90
57.97%
JP:8613
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.
1,289.00
382.29
42.16%
JP:4765
Morningstar Japan K.K.
632.00
9.65
1.55%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026