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AGS Corporation (JP:3648)
:3648
Japanese Market
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AGS Corporation (3648) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3648

AGS Corporation

(3648)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,240.00
▼(-5.92% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/01/26
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and a strong, low-leverage balance sheet, supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and ~3.28% yield). These positives are tempered by weak technicals (price below all major moving averages) and the sharp 2026 revenue decline alongside uneven operating cash conversion.
Positive Factors
Improving Profitability
AGS has expanded profitability across net, EBIT, and gross margins over time, indicating improved earnings efficiency in its equipment and service operations. If maintained, stronger margins can provide greater resilience against revenue fluctuations and support reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Decline
The sharp 2026 revenue contraction weakens near-term visibility for AGS's equipment and related systems business. Even with better margins, sustained top-line pressure could reduce operating scale, constrain reinvestment, and make future earnings improvement more dependent on further efficiency gains.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Profitability
AGS has expanded profitability across net, EBIT, and gross margins over time, indicating improved earnings efficiency in its equipment and service operations. If maintained, stronger margins can provide greater resilience against revenue fluctuations and support reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Read all positive factors

AGS Corporation (3648) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

AGS Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AGS Corporation, headquartered in Saitama, Japan, is a technology services firm established in 1971. The company delivers a broad spectrum of IT solutions to clients within Japan's financial sector, public administration, and various commercial en...
How the Company Makes Money
AGS Corporation generates revenue primarily by selling gaming and amusement equipment (and related systems) to operators and venues, and by providing ongoing maintenance and support services associated with that installed base. Revenue is also sup...

AGS Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has improved meaningfully (net margin up to ~6.8% and EBIT margin ~8.6% in 2026) and the balance sheet is conservatively leveraged (debt-to-equity ~0.08) with better ROE (~12.1%). Offsetting these positives, revenue fell sharply in 2026 (-16.8%) and operating cash conversion has been inconsistent (OCF to net income ~0.14x in 2025 and ~0.36x in 2026), which adds near-term durability risk.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.96B28.62B24.86B22.09B21.07B21.19B
Gross Profit7.20B7.30B6.16B5.35B4.47B4.57B
EBITDA3.66B3.92B3.15B2.72B2.28B2.29B
Net Income1.81B1.93B1.38B936.47M682.48M638.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.73B23.49B22.01B20.82B20.12B18.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.88B6.37B5.69B6.59B5.88B5.40B
Total Debt1.19B1.32B1.65B2.05B2.06B1.38B
Total Liabilities5.70B7.47B7.35B6.97B6.68B6.01B
Stockholders Equity16.03B16.01B14.66B13.85B13.44B12.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.47B1.87B386.01M1.70B1.09B1.58B
Operating Cash Flow2.00B2.25B742.04M2.51B1.71B2.12B
Investing Cash Flow-477.80M-360.90M-608.45M-595.27M-475.22M-518.83M
Financing Cash Flow-1.17B-1.15B-1.03B-1.20B-756.48M-744.15M

AGS Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1318.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1055.43
Positive
100DMA
1057.02
Positive
200DMA
1122.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
11.31
Negative
RSI
55.32
Neutral
STOCH
28.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3648, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1318 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1073.60, above the 50-day MA of 1055.43, and above the 200-day MA of 1122.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 11.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3648.

AGS Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥33.27B12.70―3.52%10.84%11.95%
80
Outperform
¥21.10B19.97―3.26%-2.50%-17.10%
79
Outperform
¥22.04B11.78―3.69%7.78%9.63%
71
Outperform
¥18.79B10.12―3.28%12.33%13.11%
69
Neutral
¥16.90B7.39―0.89%7.11%146.94%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3648
AGS Corporation
1,099.00
-355.25
-24.43%
JP:3771
System Research Co., Ltd.
1,990.00
-135.79
-6.39%
JP:3835
eBASE Co., Ltd.
458.00
27.25
6.32%
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
1,007.00
-627.59
-38.39%
JP:3921
NEOJAPAN Inc.
1,573.00
-216.99
-12.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2026