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Vega corporation Co., Ltd. (3542) AI Stock Analysis

JP:3542

Vega corporation Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3542)

Select Model
Rating:71.2Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,891.00â–²(23.19% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

The score is driven primarily by improved financial results alongside a strong, debt-free balance sheet, supported by a bullish technical trend (price above major moving averages and positive MACD). Offsetting these positives are historically volatile profitability/cash flows and a modest valuation/income profile (P/E ~19.6 and ~1.0% yield), with RSI indicating somewhat stretched momentum.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Earnings RecoveryRevenue and net income recovery indicates renewed operating demand and improved earnings conversion after the weaker 2023–2025 period. If sustained, this rebound can rebuild scale, support investment in metrology offerings, and strengthen the company’s ability to fund growth from operations.
Negative Factors
Volatile Revenue and MarginsThe 2026 earnings improvement has not yet demonstrated a consistently stable operating trajectory because revenue remains below its 2021 level and margins have varied widely. This volatility suggests earnings remain sensitive to costs, demand, or one-off factors, reducing confidence in durable profitability.

Vega corporation Co., Ltd. (3542) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:3542-8.38%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 16.32B
Dividend Yield
1.11%
Average Volume (3M)
20.03K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
17.6
Beta (1Y)
0.83
Revenue Growth
15.94%
EPS Growth
40.79%
Country
Japan
Employees
138
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Specialty Retail

Vega corporation Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vega Corporation Co.,Ltd. manages online retail platforms dedicated to selling furniture and interior design products across Japan and internationally. Its operations include LOWYA, an e-commerce service that also features proprietary furniture desig...

Vega corporation Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Earnings and revenue improved into 2026 (net income up to ¥884M; revenue rebounded to ¥18.1B) and the balance sheet is very conservative with zero debt and rising equity. The main constraint on the score is multi-year volatility in margins and cash flows, which reduces confidence in the stability of the rebound.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.94B18.13B16.06B16.97B16.83B
Gross Profit7.96B9.33B7.84B8.30B9.21B
EBITDA1.14B1.57B833.68M420.04M782.02M
Net Income591.67M884.31M394.36M120.44M382.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.10B9.39B7.25B7.16B8.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.84B1.90B1.84B2.00B1.23B
Total Debt00001.00B
Total Liabilities2.14B2.15B1.68B1.85B2.76B
Stockholders Equity5.96B7.24B5.57B5.30B5.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow416.71M543.10M189.38M1.97B-1.99B
Operating Cash Flow715.57M908.77M264.00M2.04B-1.92B
Investing Cash Flow-466.61M-759.66M-189.62M-179.00M-229.33M
Financing Cash Flow-165.85M-74.15M-234.86M-1.10B258.04M

Vega corporation Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1535.00

Price Trends

50DMA1518.90Positive
100DMA1421.82Positive
200DMA1540.43Negative

Market Momentum

MACD6.18Positive
RSI50.12Neutral
STOCH11.95Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3542, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1535.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1544.45, above the 50-day MA of 1518.90, and below the 200-day MA of 1540.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.95 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3542.

Vega corporation Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3542 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9278JP:927876OutperformJPY 41.83B13.65―1.51%10.64%96.47%
JP:3093JP:309372OutperformJPY 43.20B12.32―2.50%15.52%22.34%
JP:3542JP:354271OutperformJPY 16.29B17.56―1.11%15.94%40.79%
JP:2674JP:267471OutperformJPY 34.60B10.10―3.41%23.51%56.52%
JP:7685JP:768563NeutralJPY 159.10B18.88―0.48%57.65%100.02%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:9270JP:927061NeutralJPY 22.90B7.15―2.70%25.71%349.09%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:3542JP:2674JP:3093JP:7685JP:9270JP:9278Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:3542 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3542Vega corporation Co., Ltd.1535.00-61.06-3.83%
JP:2674Hard Off Corporation Co., Ltd.2493.00755.5743.49%
JP:3093Treasure Factory Co., Ltd.1803.00166.8410.20%
JP:7685BuySell Technologies Co., Ltd.2582.00898.2253.35%
JP:9270Valuence Holdings, Inc.1667.00708.7573.96%
JP:9278BOOKOFF GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED2384.001078.6482.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026