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HotLand Co., Ltd.
(3196)
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,527.00
▼(-26.80% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weakening fundamentals (sharp margin compression, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow) and a technically weak trend (below major moving averages with subdued momentum). Valuation also detracts due to a high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Multi-year revenue growth shows persistent demand and successful expansion of restaurant footprint. Durable top-line momentum supports scaling of franchise rollouts and recurring sales, providing a structural base for future margin recovery if operating costs are managed.
Negative Factors
Profitability Compression
Sharp drop in net margin signals meaningful cost pressure or elevated operating expenses below gross profit. Persistently weak margins reduce internal funding for growth, make the business more sensitive to sales swings, and constrain management flexibility over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Multi-year revenue growth shows persistent demand and successful expansion of restaurant footprint. Durable top-line momentum supports scaling of franchise rollouts and recurring sales, providing a structural base for future margin recovery if operating costs are managed.
Read all positive factors
HotLand Co., Ltd. (3196) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥43.23B
Dividend Yield0.79%
Average Volume (3M)37.40K
Price to Earnings (P/E)50.7
Beta (1Y)0.28
Revenue Growth8.98%
EPS Growth18.98%
CountryJP
Employees1,099
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)27.88
Shares Outstanding26,324,800
10 Day Avg. Volume38,860
30 Day Avg. Volume37,400
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.34
Price to Book (P/B)3.75
Price to Sales (P/S)0.83
P/FCF Ratio-32.40
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)30.4
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥56.89B
HotLand Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
HOTLAND Co.,Ltd. operates a diverse portfolio of dining establishments across Japan and internationally. Its ventures also encompass the creation and management of Takoyaki outlets, various specialty retail concepts, and bar venues. Furthermore, t...
How the Company Makes Money
HotLand primarily makes money by selling food and beverages to customers through its restaurant operations. Its key revenue streams include (1) sales from directly operated restaurants (company-run stores), where revenue is generated from in-store...
HotLand Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 52.05B | 51.04B | 46.13B | 38.71B | 32.16B | 29.68B |
| Gross Profit | 29.04B | 28.64B | 25.87B | 22.16B | 18.56B | 18.07B |
| EBITDA | 3.53B | 3.77B | 4.28B | 3.10B | 3.29B | 4.40B |
| Net Income | 592.63M | 405.40M | 1.85B | 1.02B | 1.36B | 2.08B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 35.59B | 33.46B | 29.03B | 24.27B | 22.06B | 21.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 6.69B | 4.81B | 3.73B | 2.86B | 3.34B | 3.16B |
| Total Debt | 12.83B | 11.78B | 7.61B | 6.16B | 4.87B | 5.39B |
| Total Liabilities | 23.31B | 21.27B | 16.49B | 13.51B | 11.38B | 12.19B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.47B | 11.34B | 11.84B | 10.28B | 10.20B | 8.68B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.31B | 1.08B | 709.68M | 1.23B | 3.63B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 2.60B | 3.95B | 2.94B | 2.90B | 5.15B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -5.01B | -3.76B | -2.68B | -1.84B | -2.40B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 3.50B | 645.82M | -740.75M | -909.35M | -1.82B |
HotLand Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
2086.00
Price Trends
1611.54
Positive
1646.34
Positive
1827.05
Negative
Market Momentum
14.99
Negative
55.88
Neutral
76.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3196, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2086 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1633.10, above the 50-day MA of 1611.54, and above the 200-day MA of 1827.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 14.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3196.
HotLand Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | ¥68.86B | 52.35 | ― | 0.17% | 18.05% | 9.09% | |
66 Neutral | ¥19.96B | 38.08 | ― | 0.75% | 49.85% | -37.59% | |
65 Neutral | ¥50.45B | 36.31 | 17.09% | 1.25% | 6.56% | -29.50% | |
63 Neutral | ¥62.61B | 17.92 | ― | 2.41% | 17.21% | -27.52% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
45 Neutral | ¥43.23B | 50.72 | ― | 0.62% | 8.98% | 18.98% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:3196
HotLand Co., Ltd.
1,653.00
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-17.12%
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HotLand Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Hotland Finalizes Third-Party Share Allotment to Fund Store Expansion
May 21, 2026
Hotland Holdings has finalized the number of new shares to be issued via third-party allotment, confirming the allocation of 526,400 shares out of 621,400 planned, at ¥1,567.56 per share for total proceeds of about ¥825 million. As a res...
Hotland Holdings Lifts Q1 Profit and Confirms Strong 2026 Outlook
May 15, 2026
Hotland Holdings posted first-quarter 2026 consolidated net sales of ¥13.8 billion, up 7.9% year on year, with operating profit edging up 1.6% to ¥753 million and profit attributable to owners of the parent surging 56.2% to ¥520 mil...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.