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Nextage Co., Ltd.
(3186)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,711.00
▼(-21.87% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/08/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker financial quality (thin and compressing margins, high leverage, and inconsistent cash conversion) and bearish technicals (below all key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by a relatively attractive valuation (P/E ~11) and a moderate dividend yield (~1.71%).
Positive Factors
Strong revenue expansion
Revenue scaling materially expands the company’s operating footprint and demonstrates strong demand for its used-car retail offering. The latest annual increase provides a larger base from which to develop sales and customer services, although maintaining profitability as volume grows remains important.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Falling gross margins and a thin 2% net margin indicate that recent growth is not translating proportionately into profits. Continued margin pressure would leave earnings more sensitive to operating costs and vehicle economics, reducing the durability of returns even if revenue remains strong.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue expansion
Revenue scaling materially expands the company’s operating footprint and demonstrates strong demand for its used-car retail offering. The latest annual increase provides a larger base from which to develop sales and customer services, although maintaining profitability as volume grows remains important.
Read all positive factors
Nextage Co., Ltd. (3186) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥192.60B
Dividend Yield1.81%
Average Volume (3M)729.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.4
Beta (1Y)1.36
Revenue Growth23.54%
EPS Growth111.44%
CountryJP
Employees7,537
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Dealerships
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)199.01
Shares Outstanding80,905,100
10 Day Avg. Volume643,890
30 Day Avg. Volume729,143
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.26
Price to Book (P/B)2.65
Price to Sales (P/S)0.32
P/FCF Ratio67.82
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥4,975.00Price Target Upside43.37% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)231.68
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥791.86B
Nextage Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
NEXTAGE Co., Ltd. operates as a Japanese automotive retailer, primarily focusing on the sale of both new and pre-owned vehicles throughout the country. The company's service offerings extend to comprehensive vehicle maintenance, repairs, and manda...
How the Company Makes Money
Nextage makes money primarily by selling vehicles through its dealership network. The core revenue stream is retail sales of used vehicles to consumers, where revenue is recognized at the time of vehicle delivery/transfer, with gross profit driven...
Nextage Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Nov 2025 | Nov 2024 | Nov 2023 | Nov 2022 | Nov 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 688.27B | 652.07B | 552.78B | 463.46B | 418.12B | 291.26B |
| Gross Profit | 117.07B | 112.17B | 98.67B | 86.83B | 74.03B | 56.73B |
| EBITDA | 29.04B | 25.15B | 17.74B | 20.07B | 21.96B | 17.48B |
| Net Income | 15.65B | 12.81B | 8.01B | 11.56B | 13.89B | 9.66B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 228.12B | 226.78B | 222.27B | 177.50B | 161.26B | 111.03B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 15.50B | 17.69B | 35.71B | 29.63B | 19.84B | 22.75B |
| Total Debt | 99.89B | 96.35B | 109.92B | 77.42B | 76.52B | 51.49B |
| Total Liabilities | 148.47B | 147.58B | 149.54B | 110.99B | 104.95B | 69.41B |
| Stockholders Equity | 79.65B | 79.19B | 72.73B | 66.50B | 56.30B | 41.62B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 3.09B | -11.00B | 13.29B | -30.41B | -4.13B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 9.19B | 3.02B | 33.69B | -17.85B | 3.21B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -7.33B | -18.45B | -23.68B | -13.83B | -8.26B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -19.88B | 21.37B | -227.00M | 28.81B | 317.00M |
Nextage Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
3470.00
Price Trends
3009.72
Negative
3342.36
Negative
3378.95
Negative
Market Momentum
-136.11
Negative
29.99
Positive
12.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3186, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3470 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2663.05, above the 50-day MA of 3009.72, and above the 200-day MA of 3378.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -136.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.99 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3186.
Nextage Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | ¥835.47B | 19.91 | 21.34% | 3.19% | 11.30% | 12.09% | |
72 Outperform | ¥21.25B | 12.88 | ― | 2.26% | 6.93% | 11.18% | |
69 Neutral | ¥59.99B | 10.57 | ― | 4.74% | 13.60% | 12.08% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
57 Neutral | ¥3.21B | 17.02 | ― | 0.65% | 3.64% | ― | |
56 Neutral | ¥192.60B | 10.43 | ― | 1.81% | 23.54% | 111.44% | |
56 Neutral | ¥96.99B | 8.10 | ― | 3.70% | 16.85% | -1.43% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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Nextage Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
NEXTAGE Posts Strong Nine-Month Earnings and Affirms Robust Full-Year Outlook
Oct 5, 2026
NEXTAGE Co., Ltd. reported strong consolidated results for the nine months ended August 31, 2026, with net sales rising 26.0% year on year to ¥600.4 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 74.9% to ¥13.8 billion. Earn...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.