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AP Holdings Co., Ltd. (3175) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3175

AP Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3175)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:JPY 972.00â–²(3.74% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

The score is held back primarily by financial risk from high leverage and recent balance-sheet stress, despite a notable profitability and cash-flow recovery in 2026. Technicals add modest support with price above key moving averages and positive momentum, while valuation appears reasonable at a mid-range P/E with no dividend yield data to add support.

Positive Factors
Profitability TurnaroundThe return to operating profitability and positive net income demonstrates that the operating model can recover when sales conditions improve, supporting stronger internal funding capacity and reducing reliance on external financing over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High Leverage and Balance-Sheet RiskElevated leverage limits financial flexibility and leaves the company more exposed to operating setbacks, refinancing needs, and interest burdens. The recent history of negative equity indicates that balance-sheet resilience remains unproven.

AP Holdings Co., Ltd. (3175) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:3175-0.85%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 12.17B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
12.08K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.4
Beta (1Y)
0.23
Revenue Growth
1.41%
EPS Growth
81.10%
Country
Japan
Employees
735
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

AP Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AP Holdings Co.,Ltd. operates a chain of restaurants across Japan and Singapore. Beyond its dining establishments, the firm's operations extend to overseeing agricultural ventures such as poultry and fruit farms, ranches for livestock, and fisheries....

How the Company Makes Money

AP Holdings primarily generates revenue through the sale of food and beverages at its company-operated and/or franchise restaurant locations. A core driver of its earnings is its vertically integrated approach: the company sources ingredients (notabl...

AP Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability has improved with a clear turnaround into positive operating profit and solid net income in 2026 and strong gross margins (~56–65%). However, the balance sheet is a major drag: leverage remains high, equity was negative as recently as 2025, and cash flows have been inconsistent (negative FCF in 2024–2025), leaving the company sensitive to operating volatility.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

34Negative

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.72B21.82B21.07B20.60B17.18B8.00B
Gross Profit13.71B13.81B13.49B13.40B11.02B4.51B
EBITDA1.18B1.29B539.22M297.33M-617.67M795.26M
Net Income650.17M1.14B-36.86M-452.90M-1.31B31.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.75B8.01B7.69B8.28B9.14B9.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments839.29M1.17B920.33M1.65B1.93B1.49B
Total Debt4.70B4.69B5.80B6.01B6.85B7.77B
Total Liabilities6.76B6.89B7.74B8.11B9.02B9.14B
Stockholders Equity989.13M1.12B-51.51M112.53M40.43M465.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0829.66M-232.82M-136.03M507.07M-430.88M
Operating Cash Flow01.25B541.22M250.00M1.02B113.30M
Investing Cash Flow024.45M-818.12M-68.15M-560.38M-580.79M
Financing Cash Flow0-1.04B-442.57M-386.32M-159.64M-284.05M

AP Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price937.00

Price Trends

50DMA950.94Negative
100DMA943.21Negative
200DMA947.08Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.70Negative
RSI40.41Neutral
STOCH13.70Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3175, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 937.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 937.95, below the 50-day MA of 950.94, and below the 200-day MA of 947.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3175.

AP Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3175 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2798JP:279863NeutralJPY 9.98B21.34――8.44%54.69%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:3082JP:308256NeutralJPY 10.80B49.95―0.76%11.12%-28.09%
JP:3175JP:317555NeutralJPY 12.15B18.39――1.41%81.10%
JP:3063JP:306352NeutralJPY 13.72B84.30―0.45%-2.36%141.91%
JP:3053JP:305349NeutralJPY 12.78B75.94――9.99%―
JP:2764JP:276443NeutralJPY 11.14B58.89――2.36%-88.47%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:3175JP:2764JP:2798JP:3053JP:3063JP:3082Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:3175 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3175AP Holdings Co., Ltd.937.00-8.00-0.85%
JP:2764Hiramatsu Inc.159.0049.0044.55%
JP:2798Y's table corporation3025.00108.003.70%
JP:3053Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd.208.0028.0015.56%
JP:3063j-Group Holdings Corp.1106.00357.6747.80%
JP:3082KICHIRI HOLDINGS & Co., Ltd.985.0071.277.80%

AP Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

AP Holdings lifts July sales and upgrades core dining brands

Aug 14, 2026

AP Holdings reported that total store sales for July 2026 rose to 104.2% year on year, with same‑store sales climbing 106.0% as both customer traffic and average spend remained solid. Specialty store and restaurant segments led the improvement,...

AP Holdings Q1 Profit Slumps; Full-Year Outlook Signals Weak Earnings

Aug 14, 2026

AP Holdings Co., Ltd. reported first-quarter consolidated results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, showing net sales of ¥5,277 million, down 1.8% year on year, and operating profit of ¥91 million, a sharp 47.4% decline. Ordinary p...

AP Holdings Reshapes Restaurant Portfolio as June Sales Dip on Typhoons

Jul 10, 2026

AP Holdings reported that total store sales in June 2026 fell to 97.9 percent year on year as customer traffic slowed due to successive typhoons, although strong advance reservations in specialty store and restaurant segments helped mitigate the impa...

AP Holdings Lifts Same-Store Sales While Accelerating Shift to High-Margin Restaurant Formats

Jun 10, 2026

AP Holdings reported that total store sales in May 2026 declined year on year because of a high comparison base from last year’s TV-driven Tsukada Nojo boom and closures tied to business format changes. However, same-store sales rose 4.0% as in...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026