Cominix Co.,Ltd. (3173) AI Stock Analysis

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Cominix Co.,Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3173)

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Rating:70Outperform

Price Target:JPY 1,447.00▼(-0.07% Downside)

Action:upgraded

Date:08/22/26

The score is driven primarily by strong technical strength (price well above all major moving averages with positive MACD) and supportive valuation (low P/E with a moderate dividend yield). Financial performance is improving with a clear 2026 rebound in revenue and cash flow, but the overall score is capped by weaker multi-year margin durability, higher leverage versus 2024, and historically volatile cash flow.

Positive Factors

Revenue ReboundThe sharp 2026 revenue recovery indicates renewed demand for Cominix’s manufacturing materials and equipment distribution activities. If sustained, stronger sales can improve customer scale, support supplier relationships, and provide a broader base for rebuilding earnings over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Margin CompressionOperating profitability remains below earlier levels despite the strong revenue rebound, indicating that growth has not yet restored historical earnings quality. Persistent margin compression could limit profit growth, weaken resilience to cost or pricing pressure, and constrain reinvestment capacity.

Cominix Co.,Ltd. (3173) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 10.03B
Dividend Yield: 3.11%
Average Volume (3M): 12.79K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.9
Beta (1Y): 0.53
Revenue Growth: 35.46%
EPS Growth: 2616.39%
Country: Japan
Employees: 669
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Industrial - Distribution

Cominix Co.,Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cominix Co Ltd is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the sale of cutting tools, abrasion-resistant tools and optical products. The Company operates through four business segments. The Cutting Tools segment is engaged in the sale of cutting tools...

Cominix Co.,Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are improving but still mixed. Revenue rebounded strongly in 2026 (+26.8% YoY) and net margin recovered (~1.7% vs ~0.1% in 2025), while operating and free cash flow turned positive (OCF ~¥1.77B; FCF ~¥1.65B). Offsetting this, profitability is still structurally weaker than 2022–2024 (EBIT margin ~2.4% vs ~3.0% in 2024 and ~5.6% in 2022), leverage is higher than 2024 (debt/equity ~1.01x vs ~0.60x), and cash flow has been volatile across recent years.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

58Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	43.91B	41.11B	30.13B	28.64B	28.85B	26.93B
Gross Profit	9.02B	8.45B	6.49B	6.14B	6.07B	5.34B
EBITDA	2.50B	1.97B	620.00M	1.11B	1.40B	1.74B
Net Income	1.11B	702.00M	37.00M	539.00M	742.00M	888.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	27.77B	25.54B	25.83B	18.46B	18.55B	18.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	5.63B	5.71B	4.82B	3.38B	2.72B	2.85B
Total Debt	9.75B	8.68B	10.52B	4.69B	5.21B	5.03B
Total Liabilities	18.46B	16.89B	17.98B	10.61B	11.25B	11.98B
Stockholders Equity	9.27B	8.62B	7.82B	7.82B	7.28B	6.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	1.65B	-178.00M	1.38B	-115.00M	-257.45M
Operating Cash Flow	0	1.77B	-96.00M	1.57B	68.00M	-152.00M
Investing Cash Flow	0	1.14B	-2.21B	-3.00M	-235.00M	1.23B
Financing Cash Flow	0	-1.95B	3.64B	-849.00M	-103.00M	-1.32B

Cominix Co.,Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive

Last Price1448.00

Price Trends

50DMA1451.95Negative

100DMA1290.83Positive

200DMA1105.43Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-11.40Positive

RSI51.23Neutral

STOCH54.63Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3173, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1448.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1450.95, below the 50-day MA of 1451.95, and above the 200-day MA of 1105.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -11.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3173.

Cominix Co.,Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:3173 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:5966	73Outperform	JPY 6.44B	8.15	―	3.21%	-3.85%	188.71%
JP:6156	73Outperform	JPY 7.54B	37.42	―	5.45%	12.52%	―
JP:3173	70Outperform	JPY 9.79B	8.95	―	3.11%	35.46%	2616.39%
JP:6157	61Neutral	JPY 18.17B	9.15	―	4.10%	12.77%	60.06%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:5990	53Neutral	JPY 4.38B	133.45	―	3.42%	7.56%	―
JP:7726	38Underperform	JPY 7.72B	112.11	―	1.10%	22.69%	―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:3173 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:3173	Cominix Co.,Ltd.	1448.00	591.92	69.14%
JP:5966	Kyoto Tool Co., Ltd.	2650.00	297.88	12.66%
JP:5990	Super Tool Co., Ltd.	1903.00	22.18	1.18%
JP:6156	A-One Seimitsu, Inc.	1836.00	158.12	9.42%
JP:6157	NS Tool Co., Ltd.	732.00	-83.28	-10.22%
JP:7726	Kuroda Precision Industries Ltd.	1358.00	425.46	45.62%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2026

Cominix Co.,Ltd. AI Stock Analysis