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CREAL Inc. (2998) AI Stock Analysis

JP:2998

CREAL Inc.

(TSE/TYO:2998)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:JPY 431.00â–²(5.12% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/16/26

The score is held back primarily by volatile financial performance—especially the 2026 revenue drop, higher leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow—despite remaining profitable. Valuation is relatively supportive (low P/E and modest yield), while technical signals are mixed with a weak longer-term trend.

Positive Factors
Historical Revenue and Profit GrowthThe strong expansion in revenue and net income through 2025 indicates that CREAL built a materially larger earnings base over several years. This history supports business scalability and provides a foundation for recovery if the latest revenue volatility proves temporary.
Negative Factors
Severe Revenue VolatilityThe abrupt revenue contraction materially weakens confidence in the predictability of CREAL’s business model over the next several quarters. Such volatility makes planning and resource allocation more difficult and raises the risk that prior growth and earnings trends were influenced by non-recurring drivers.

CREAL Inc. (2998) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%JP:2998-53.20%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 14.91B
Dividend Yield
1.91%
Average Volume (3M)
121.53K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.5
Beta (1Y)
0.98
Revenue Growth
-7.78%
EPS Growth
55.36%
Country
Japan
Employees
299
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

CREAL Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, CREAL Inc., established in 2011, is an asset management company offering diverse financial solutions. The firm operates three primary platforms: CREAL, an online marketplace facilitating real estate fund investments for...

CREAL Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Multi-year revenue and profitability improved into 2025, but 2026 shows clear instability: a sharp revenue contraction (-71.1%), materially higher debt, and a swing to negative operating/free cash flow. Overall profitability remains positive, but volatility and weaker cash conversion reduce confidence in sustainability.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

56Neutral

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.10B37.80B41.82B21.04B16.44B10.58B
Gross Profit7.36B7.69B5.65B3.56B2.21B1.55B
EBITDA2.38B2.86B2.01B1.04B609.73M372.49M
Net Income1.57B1.94B1.35B647.57M336.17M172.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.56B44.26B52.94B35.75B21.49B10.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.38B18.63B19.21B9.54B7.55B1.99B
Total Debt9.00B8.69B4.76B5.94B3.03B1.18B
Total Liabilities29.72B32.79B47.66B31.94B18.38B9.88B
Stockholders Equity10.83B11.47B5.27B3.81B3.11B1.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-8.28B10.96B-1.26B1.27B196.17M
Operating Cash Flow0-8.21B10.02B-1.21B1.29B274.83M
Investing Cash Flow0-676.10M-1.17B-134.78M-122.80M237.44M
Financing Cash Flow08.08B-1.11B2.91B3.57B-1.09B

CREAL Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price410.00

Price Trends

50DMA498.00Negative
100DMA498.58Negative
200DMA631.63Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-21.21Negative
RSI33.37Neutral
STOCH8.44Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2998, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 410.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 441.50, below the 50-day MA of 498.00, and below the 200-day MA of 631.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -21.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2998.

CREAL Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

JP:2998 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8739JP:873984OutperformJPY 74.34B11.0821.29%6.11%30.22%45.03%
JP:3454JP:345473OutperformJPY 17.82B4.89―2.75%11.72%131.44%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
JP:2998JP:299856NeutralJPY 15.09B8.46―1.91%-7.78%55.36%
JP:3121JP:312154NeutralJPY 8.27B-73.94―1.19%-33.35%-180.21%
JP:2134JP:213439UnderperformJPY 8.50B-5.68――263.03%23.09%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:2998JP:8739JP:2134JP:3121JP:3266JP:3454Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:2998 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2998CREAL Inc.418.00-569.15-57.66%
JP:8739Sparx Group Co., Ltd.2372.00917.9063.12%
JP:2134Sun Capital Management Corp.15.00-27.00-64.29%
JP:3121MBK Co., Ltd.253.003.191.28%
JP:3266Fund Creation Group Co., Ltd.76.00-14.94-16.43%
JP:3454First Brothers Co., Ltd.1271.00126.5511.06%

CREAL Inc. Corporate Events

CREAL Unveils Q1 FY2027 Results Framework and Outlook

Aug 14, 2026

CREAL Inc. has released presentation materials outlining its financial results for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027. The document, structured around an executive summary, company overview, segment-by-segment Q1 results, earnings...

CREAL Swings to Quarterly Loss but Holds Full-Year Forecast and Dividend Plan

Aug 14, 2026

CREAL Inc. reported a sharp year-on-year decline in first-quarter performance for the three months ended June 30, 2026, with net sales falling to ¥7.377 billion and gross profit down to ¥987 million. The company swung to an operating and or...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2026