Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd (2916) AI Stock Analysis

Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd

(TSE/TYO:2916)

Select Model

Rating:69Neutral

Price Target:JPY 816.00▲(13.02% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and a strengthening balance sheet (declining debt and rising equity), tempered by volatile earnings/free cash flow and only modest top-line growth. Technicals add support with the price trading above key moving averages and neutral-to-positive momentum, while valuation is reasonably attractive with a low-teens P/E and a ~2% dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Strengthening Balance SheetLower leverage and rising equity improve financial resilience and borrowing capacity. This reduces balance-sheet risk and gives the company greater flexibility to fund operations, absorb industry volatility, or pursue investment over the next several months.

Negative Factors

Modest Revenue GrowthA slow-growing top line limits the company’s ability to leverage fixed costs and expand earnings rapidly. The 2025 revenue decline also suggests demand is not consistently accelerating, leaving longer-term growth dependent on market expansion or stronger execution.

Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd (2916) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 8.22B
Dividend Yield: 2.08%
Average Volume (3M): 2,100
Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.8
Beta (1Y): 0.18
Revenue Growth: 4.98%
EPS Growth: 149.17%
Country: Japan
Employees: 491
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Food Confectioners

Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd. is a Japanese firm specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of food ingredients, primarily within Japan. Their diverse product portfolio encompasses caramel items like caramel colorants and roasted g...

Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are solid but not top-tier. Profitability has improved meaningfully since the weaker 2023 year and gross profit dollars have expanded, but revenue growth is modest with a dip in 2025 and earnings have shown volatility. The balance sheet is a clear strength with declining debt and rising equity, while cash flow is generally positive but free cash flow has been uneven (including a notable decline in 2025).

Income Statement

67Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

61Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	19.77B	19.42B	18.70B	19.14B	18.62B	18.42B
Gross Profit	4.40B	4.36B	4.16B	4.18B	3.56B	4.02B
EBITDA	1.72B	1.69B	1.57B	1.62B	1.24B	1.67B
Net Income	698.14M	554.88M	319.61M	495.37M	232.90M	540.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	21.53B	21.44B	20.66B	23.01B	21.67B	21.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.38B	3.38B	3.08B	3.45B	3.18B	3.31B
Total Debt	3.68B	3.33B	3.64B	4.51B	4.64B	4.91B
Total Liabilities	8.77B	8.68B	8.80B	10.29B	10.09B	10.25B
Stockholders Equity	12.75B	12.75B	11.84B	11.90B	10.82B	10.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	805.71M	538.51M	888.36M	402.28M	728.84M
Operating Cash Flow	0	1.23B	1.01B	1.37B	822.56M	1.75B
Investing Cash Flow	0	-423.74M	-1.41B	-742.14M	-432.40M	-996.83M
Financing Cash Flow	0	-512.99M	-63.52M	-385.96M	-562.37M	-797.09M

Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price722.00

Price Trends

50DMA733.24Negative

100DMA731.99Negative

200DMA723.38Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-1.90Negative

RSI42.90Neutral

STOCH18.18Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2916, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 722.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 723.60, below the 50-day MA of 733.24, and below the 200-day MA of 723.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2916.

Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:2916 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:2208	84Outperform	JPY 73.03B	11.61	―	1.45%	5.66%	24.88%
JP:2216	80Outperform	JPY 43.61B	14.19	―	3.11%	7.25%	-11.18%
JP:2916	69Neutral	JPY 8.22B	11.77	―	2.08%	4.98%	149.17%
JP:2209	66Neutral	JPY 29.27B	11.75	―	1.70%	4.60%	12.15%
JP:2207	58Neutral	JPY 54.70B	18.03	―	2.23%	3.45%	-33.84%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:2211	48Neutral	JPY 63.23B	53.58	―	1.22%	5.76%	-38.25%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:2916 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:2916	Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd	722.00	4.27	0.60%
JP:2207	Meito Sangyo Co., Ltd.	3360.00	1276.98	61.30%
JP:2208	Bourbon Corporation	3040.00	645.27	26.95%
JP:2209	Imuraya Group Co., Ltd.	2237.00	-205.47	-8.41%
JP:2211	Fujiya Co., Ltd.	2453.00	-92.94	-3.65%
JP:2216	KANRO Co., Ltd.	1030.00	-387.35	-27.33%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026

Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd AI Stock Analysis